Hamas/Israel conflict: news and discussion

[teqniq]

Some interesting analysis on the ceasefire deal, the position of France and the ICC warrants:

International law is real

The Hague's arrest warrant against Israeli leaders seemed to have had effects on the ground in Lebanon.

www.pettimatthew.com

 

[mojo pixy]

Some interesting analysis on the ceasefire deal, the position of France and the ICC warrants:

International law is real

The Hague's arrest warrant against Israeli leaders seemed to have had effects on the ground in Lebanon.

www.pettimatthew.com

It makes the main point that basically, this is realpolitik at work. Whatever the truth of it, it certainly seems this was some concession or another made to get netanyahu to agree to stop the guns. I mean we already know this whole insane shitshow is at heart about keeping himself out of the dock, so how would that not be a prerequisite for him once France were co-running the negotiations. France having already implied it wasn't against arresting him on the ICC warrant.

However, I was intrigued by this:

powerful countries will shield their allies (and particularly their golden calf Israel)

I can't see why, of all the many ways he could have described Israel, he thought "golden calf" was what he'd go with. I can't say I care for it very much. At best it's just a bizarre analogy but at worst it .. smells bad.

Anyway, some guns have stopped, and on balance I think that's good however it was achieved.

 

[Gramsci]

I was listening to Mouin Rabbini last night.



This was just before the ceasefire.

On the so called "axis of resistance"

Iran, Hezbollah, Yemen and Hamas he was saying it's a coalition. That is I think he means Iran isn't using proxies. He did say he reckons Hamas hadn't told Iran their plans for attacking Israel.

That each component of this loose coalition had there own agency. And whilst agreeing on some issues they had their own policies.

Israel after successful assassination in Iran and the pager attack started to think it had opportunity to reshape the middle east as it had done with it's victory in 67.

One way to do this is to decouple each member of the coalition individually.

Despite Israel Hezbollah and Iran aren't into a regional war with Israel.

Hezbollah has it's own internal issues in Lebanon. It's not some terror outfit.

With the ceasefire Hezbollah can rebuild itself as a Lebanese political actor.

I can't help but feel for Israel state this is a decoupling of one part of the axis of resistance from supporting Palestinians.

One thing it also shows as comes up in the video is that compared with 67 Arab regimes have shown they won't stand up to Israel.

Palestinians are being killed in thousands in Gaza an Arab state is bombed and invaded as the rest of Arab states have done little.