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Does a sharp drop like that indicate a whale selling off or a low volume of transactions meaning a single sale could bring the market price down like that?
Seems weird, even for bitcoin, to lose about £400 in about 20 minutes.
https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin chart is from here.

I don't know what causes it tbh but it's certainly not a one off - it's happened quite frequently over the last few months. A big dump onto the market from some source I suppose.
 
All you're saying is 'buy the dip'.

It will work until it doesn't.

Nobody knows if it will work this time. All anyone can say is that it worked for them last time. But the mystical talk of cycles is just that, mystical. Magical thinking. Belief that it will continue to work is a variant of linegoesup.



I don't know if that's entirely fair. I think it's possible that enough 'buy the dip' sentiment could push the price up and if you time it right you could make some money. It's an incredibly risky business - you could have made the same argument when the price hit fifty thousand dollars and that wouldn't have worked out well - but it's not magical thinking per se. It's not quite the same as pointing at some graph and going 'the next peak is due to be at 200k' or something like that.
 
I don't know if that's entirely fair. I think it's possible that enough 'buy the dip' sentiment could push the price up and if you time it right you could make some money.
Yes, it is. And it has happened before. But the fact that it has happened before is the only thing pointing at it happening again. There are no reasons behind any of the speculation other than anticipation of future speculation.

And by its nature, 'buy the dip' is zero-sum overall. Your gain is someone else's loss. You can only make money if someone else loses money.
 
An interesting Twitter account to follow. Mainly people confessing to putting all their money into crypto and are now skint. It's a good deterrent (for me).

Having watched this forum during this bear market and the LUNA collapse it'll give you all a good schadenfreude fix.

You're doing a good line in passive aggression at the moment on this thread.

I don't rejoice in people losing money, but as I said in the post above, the only way anyone can make money out of a speculation bubble is if others coming in after them lose money. That is the dynamic here and it stinks.
 
You're doing a good line in passive aggression at the moment on this thread.

I don't rejoice in people losing money, but as I said in the post above, the only way anyone can make money out of a speculation bubble is if others coming in after them lose money. That is the dynamic here and it stinks.

That does come across cantankerous and I apologise. Certainly wan't directed at you personally. I honestly cant remember anything you said at that time. The vibe on here for a while was uncomfortable reading. but I've edited my post. A few of you. Certainly not all.
 
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View attachment 329764

Does a sharp drop like that indicate a whale selling off or a low volume of transactions meaning a single sale could bring the market price down like that?
Seems weird, even for bitcoin, to lose about £400 in about 20 minutes.
https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin chart is from here.
Probably not whales as such but either miners or exchanges liquidating under pressure (dumping Bitcoin onto exchanges). So just a an indication of a quick increase in supply.
 
Slightly off topic, over £3.3bn scammed off people. :bigeyes:

A woman known as the “Cryptoqueen” who is accused of defrauding investors out of $4bn (£3.3bn) by selling a fake cryptocurrency has been placed on the FBI’s list of its 10 most-wanted fugitives.

The story of Ruja Ignatova became came to prominence in 2019 via the BBC’s The Missing Cryptoqueen podcast, which detailed her alleged role in a crypto scam called OneCoin. The FBI is offering a reward of up to $100,000 for information leading to the arrest of Bulgarian-born Ignatova, who disappeared in 2017.

 
I am betting on NFTs being a weird blip that will disappear in ignominy quite soon never to be spoken of again, making it unnecessary to even try to understand what they ever were.
Thing is that a cryptocoin is an NFT. A crypto-token is something that you get as an incentive for doing the work necessary to keep track of the things the blockchain was set up to do. It doesn’t really make sense to consider crypto-tokens outside this context.

Mostly, the use case for these things is in really boring stuff, like allowing companies to keep track of which suppliers have fulfilled their contracts across multiple counterparties. The kind of thing that can be done using normal ledgers but NFTs provide a more automated and thus efficient option, buried deep within an app in a way that the users don’t even notice. That kind of use will quietly continue.
 

Voyager Digital - a major crypto exhange/broker - suspended all withdrawals, deposits and rewards yesterday.
They made a huge loan to 3AC which has defaulted plus of course all the drop in value of crypto generally I'm sure.

"not your keys, not your crypto"
 
Thing is that a cryptocoin is an NFT. A crypto-token is something that you get as an incentive for doing the work necessary to keep track of the things the blockchain was set up to do. It doesn’t really make sense to consider crypto-tokens outside this context.

Mostly, the use case for these things is in really boring stuff, like allowing companies to keep track of which suppliers have fulfilled their contracts across multiple counterparties. The kind of thing that can be done using normal ledgers but NFTs provide a more automated and thus efficient option, buried deep within an app in a way that the users don’t even notice. That kind of use will quietly continue.

The coins that (supposedly) want to be currencies would disagree with this. For a privacy coin like monero I think it's actually true. One XMR is the same as any other XMR. BTC etc can be tracked through the blockchain so they are not really fungible but it's quite a lot of work (at the moment at least) to distinguish specific BTC or Satoshis or whatever from each other. You can't do that with XMR so I think they are genuinely fungible, maybe even more so than £/$ etc which have serial numbers on them.
 
The coins that (supposedly) want to be currencies would disagree with this. For a privacy coin like monero I think it's actually true. One XMR is the same as any other XMR. BTC etc can be tracked through the blockchain so they are not really fungible but it's quite a lot of work (at the moment at least) to distinguish specific BTC or Satoshis or whatever from each other. You can't do that with XMR so I think they are genuinely fungible, maybe even more so than £/$ etc which have serial numbers on them.
True. What I originally wrote was that “NFTs are crypto-coins”, but I reversed the phrasing to make it more relevant to cryptocurrency, and forgot to get rid of the “non-fungible” bit in the process. All I was really trying to say is that the “token” part refers to the fact that it exists only as compensation/incentivisation within a specific ecosystem, namely that of the blockchain that needs people to do things to keep the blockchain alive. Bitcoin is no different in this regard — the coin itself is fundamentally there to reward the people updating the ledgers. Trying to abstract the token from the thing that the token actually exists for is missing half the story.
 
You're doing a good line in passive aggression at the moment on this thread.

I don't rejoice in people losing money, but as I said in the post above, the only way anyone can make money out of a speculation bubble is if others coming in after them lose money. That is the dynamic here and it stinks.
 
That is understandable, given the squeeze on exchanges over the last month or two.
People moving bitcoin from an exchange has no relevance other than showing that people are increasingly taking custody of their bitcoin - which is bullish bitcoin imo.
It's like people withdrawing their money from Northern Rock in 2007 and stashing it under their mattress.
 
That is understandable, given the squeeze on exchanges over the last month or two.
People moving bitcoin from an exchange has no relevance other than showing that people are increasingly taking custody of their bitcoin - which is bullish bitcoin imo.
It's like people withdrawing their money from Northern Rock in 2007 and stashing it under their mattress.

Would you consider people depositing their bitcoin (back) into exchanges to be a bearish signal for bitcoin then? Ie if that starts happening it’s time to cash out?
 
Would you consider people depositing their bitcoin (back) into exchanges to be a bearish signal for bitcoin then? Ie if that starts happening it’s time to cash out?
Not really. Holding bitcoin in an exchange wallet, and trading bitcoin from an exchange wallet are two different things.

A mass depositing on a similar scale we've seen with the recent withdrawal would initially only indicate restored trust in non custodial wallets (i. e. online wallets held by the exchange).
Now if those depositors put their coins up for sale, then yes, that would be bearish and based on simple supply & demand mechanisms the price would drop (as it did with the recent sell off)
 
Not really. Holding bitcoin in an exchange wallet, and trading bitcoin from an exchange wallet are two different things.

A mass depositing on a similar scale we've seen with the recent withdrawal would initially only indicate restored trust in non custodial wallets (i. e. online wallets held by the exchange).
Now if those depositors put their coins up for sale, then yes, that would be bearish and based on simple supply & demand mechanisms the price would drop (as it did with the recent sell off)
It's bearish either way if they got out of Bitcoin its a decline in suckers if its out of exchange wallets its a lack of faith in the institutions that find new suckers (promote Bitcoin and make trading it as idiot proof as possible)
 
It's bearish either way if they got out of Bitcoin its a decline in suckers if its out of exchange wallets its a lack of faith in the institutions that find new suckers (promote Bitcoin and make trading it as idiot proof as possible)
Taking bitcoin off the exchange and into self-custody isn't a "get out of bitcoin" move, but rather an endorsement of bitcoin.
If they wanted to "get out" they would have sold their bitcoin not withdrawn it.
 
Suspect many of you have already seen it as it's listed on Molly's site but this wholly egregious bug surely has to be one of the daftest in "smart contract" history:

A user tried twice to swap $5 of the USN stablecoin for Tether on the Decentral Bank platform. Both times, the transaction failed due to a bug that prevented users who didn't already hold Tether from swapping other currencies for Tether. The refund mechanism also had a bug, and both times the system failed to process the transaction, the user ended up being refunded $5 trillion instead of $5.

Even Richard Pryor and Michael Bolton didn't get their decimal points wrong by several orders of magnitude.
 
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