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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

Ukraine’s foreign minister, Dmytro Kuleba, voiced his anger as EU heads of state and government appeared likely to decide against blocking Russia from an international payments system through which it receives foreign currency.

With casualties mounting, Kuleba warned that European and US politicians would have “blood on their hands” if they failed to impose the heaviest toll on Moscow by cutting Russia from the so-called Swift payments system.

“I will not be diplomatic on this,” he tweeted. “Everyone who now doubts whether Russia should be banned from Swift has to understand that the blood of innocent Ukrainian men, women and children will be on their hands too. BAN RUSSIA FROM SWIFT.”
 
Another little snippet of BBC reporting from their live updates page that implies documents are being burnt.



( 17:34 entry of https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-60454795 )

On Sky this morning they were focused on 3 soldiers burning documents on a huge bonfire, (Sky presenter thought it was a missile impact because of the smoke). I couldn't make out their uniforms so wasn't sure if it was an embassy or a Ukrainian govt. building. They all seemed fairly relaxed about it but I guess that's a plum job to be given at that point.
 
There was no chance of Ukraine joining NATO anytime soon, Russia had ensured that by the their backing of the rebels in the east, because any new country has to be unanimously approved by NATO members and factors taken into account will include, among others, “unresolved external territorial disputes”.

The whole NATO thing is just a red herring, used as an excuse by Putin.
Well the context is not just Ukraine joining or not it is other countries having already joined.

But going on about NATO is all a bit silly NATO is not an independent entry, it is a tool of large Western countries largely the US.

While obviously the responsibility for the invasion of Ukraine is Putin's alone the US and other NATO members have played a role in creating a international political landscape where this is a possibility.

It's been nearly 20 years since I was in the SWP but fuck it "neither Washington nor Moscow" sounds pretty fucking relevant to me right now.

I mean let's not kid ourselves. The US and UK governments are capable of just the same or worse in the right situation.

They are all a bunch of imperialist fucks who could not give a shit about the lives of people in Ukraine, Russia the US or the UK.

Fuck them all.
 
Well the context is not just Ukraine joining or not it is other countries having already joined.

But going on about NATO is all a bit silly NATO is not an independent entry, it is a tool of large Western countries largely the US.

While obviously the responsibility with the invasion of Ukraine is Putin's the US and other NATO members have played a role in creating a international political landscape where this is a possibility.

It's been nearly 20 years since I was in the SWP but fuck it "neither Washington nor Moscow" sounds pretty fucking relevant to me right now.

I mean let's not kid ourselves. The US and UK governments are capable of just the same or worse in the right situation.

They are all a bunch of imperialist fucks who could not give a shit about the lives of people in Ukraine, Russia the US or the UK.

Fuck them all.


The US and UK wrote the book.
 
On Sky this morning they were focused on 3 soldiers burning documents on a huge bonfire, (Sky presenter thought it was a missile impact because of the smoke). I couldn't make out their uniforms so wasn't sure if it was an embassy or a Ukrainian govt. building. They all seemed fairly relaxed about it but I guess that's a plum job to be given at that point.

If it was the same one the BBC live updates page mentioned much earlier, that I also mentioned on the this thread some hours before my last post on that theme, it was outside the defence intelligence building.
 
If it was the same one the BBC live updates page mentioned much earlier, that I also mentioned on the this thread some hours before my last post on that theme, it was outside the defence intelligence building.

Ah right, cheers, I didn't see your earlier post, there's been a lot going on...
 
Apart from his 2014 precedent.

In 2014 Russia was responding to a crises - the (western backed) overthrow of a pro-Russian regime in Ukraine. Its was ruthless and cuntish - but the seizure of the Crimea and instigating an "independence" struggle in the east of the country was a rational act to protect of Russian strategic interests - Russia would have been strategically and politically weaker if it hadn't done it.
A completely unprovoked full on invasion is way, way beyond that and unprecedented in its scale and potential repercussions in post WW2 European (or world?) history. Its also batshit - it can only really end badly for Putin - it will unite all Russia's rivals and push all it western neighbours into NATO. This is strategy driven by paranoia and ardent nationalism rather than rational self interest - so is hugely dangerous. That's what i meant by kicking the table over.
 
The US and UK wrote the book.

Also note the book I mentioned earlier:


I dont like to focus on that shitty chessboard and empires exclusively because otherwise it just becomes a story of large powers and individual humans lives and circumstances are lost from the picture, and I'll be no willing apologist for states and regimes of any stripe. But there isnt much point denying the large geopolitical games that have been played in Ukraine for long over a decade, and their implications and the raising of the stakes. And of course the way such things are reported on in the west, which is usually well in tune with the standard US rhetoric we heard again from Biden today, staking claim to concepts like democracy and freedom and rejecting competing empires right to be empires and to make use of brute force, invasion and other forms of hard power, whilst reserving the right to justify and make use of such power ourselves.

Likewise it does a disservice to people and to the struggle against regimes and dictators to characterise the 'colour revolutions' including the one Ukraine had in the same terms as the likes of Russia do, to imply that they are only the result of external meddling and propaganda by the likes of the USA. But to entirely dismiss those aspects also does a disservice to the truth. Somehow we have to find ways to acknowledge and discuss all of these aspects without falling into some traditional traps of crude anti-imperialism or the mindset and propaganda of the powers and ideological landscape we've lived under in our own countries in our lifetimes. And of course moments like this where war and death are underway can pose additional challenges in getting beyond the crudest of propaganda storylines and polarised simplifications.
 
Can you picture the scenes in Washington if Trump was in the White House. Despite the invasion, he would have said: "I looked Putin in the eye and asked him: are these Russian troops that are in Ukraine and he said "No". And I believe him" :D
We don't have to imagine what he'd say, he's still out there:
Donald Trump has said that Vladimir Putin is “very savvy” and made a “genius” move by declaring two regions of eastern Ukraine as independent states and moving Russian armed forces to them.

Trump said he saw the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis on TV “and I said: ‘This is genius.’ Putin declares a big portion of the Ukraine … Putin declares it as independent. Oh, that’s wonderful.”

The former US president said that the Russian president had made a “smart move” by sending “the strongest peace force I’ve ever seen” to the area.

Trump, a long-term admirer of Putin who was impeached over allegations he threatened to withhold aid to Ukraine unless it could help damage the reputation of Joe Biden, praised the Russian president’s moves while also claiming that they would not have happened if he was still president.

“Here’s a guy who’s very savvy … I know him very well,” Trump said of Putin while talking to the The Clay Travis & Buck Sexton Show. “Very, very well. By the way, this never would have happened with us. Had I been in office, not even thinkable. This would never have happened.”
 
Common down in the balkans from recent conflicts iirc. Zeljava complex was built with access points to facilitate this - and was used by the retreating Serbs/ variants
 
Also note the book I mentioned earlier:


I dont like to focus on that shitty chessboard and empires exclusively because otherwise it just becomes a story of large powers and individual humans lives and circumstances are lost from the picture, and I'll be no willing apologist for states and regimes of any stripe. But there isnt much point denying the large geopolitical games that have been played in Ukraine for long over a decade, and their implications and the raising of the stakes. And of course the way such things are reported on in the west, which is usually well in tune with the standard US rhetoric we heard again from Biden today, staking claim to concepts like democracy and freedom and rejecting competing empires right to be empires and to make use of brute force, invasion and other forms of hard power, whilst reserving the right to justify and make use of such power ourselves.

Likewise it does a disservice to people and to the struggle against regimes and dictators to characterise the 'colour revolutions' including the one Ukraine had in the same terms as the likes of Russia do, to imply that they are only the result of external meddling and propaganda by the likes of the USA. But to entirely dismiss those aspects also does a disservice to the truth. Somehow we have to find ways to acknowledge and discuss all of these aspects without falling into some traditional traps of crude anti-imperialism or the mindset and propaganda of the powers and ideological landscape we've lived under in our own countries in our lifetimes. And of course moments like this where war and death are underway can pose additional challenges in getting beyond the crudest of propaganda storylines and polarised simplifications.
Well said Elbows
 
In 2014 Russia was responding to a crises - the (western backed) overthrow of a pro-Russian regime in Ukraine. Its was ruthless and cuntish - but the seizure of the Crimea and instigating an "independence" struggle in the east of the country was a rational act to protect of Russian strategic interests - Russia would have been strategically and politically weaker if it hadn't done it.
A completely unprovoked full on invasion is way, way beyond that and unprecedented in its scale and potential repercussions in post WW2 European (or world?) history. Its also batshit - it can only really end badly for Putin - it will unite all Russia's rivals and push all it western neighbours into NATO. This is strategy driven by paranoia and ardent nationalism rather than rational self interest - so is hugely dangerous. That's what i meant by kicking the table over.
How is the threat of Ukraine becoming a member of NATO not a provocation to Putin?
 
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