Recent years, particularly following the Arab uprisings in the region, have seen an upsurge in Palestinian activism in the occupied territories. During operation cast lead, the West Bank was virtually silent. The PA had it totally locked down and under control. However during the recent pillar of cloud operations the West Bank erupted and the PA security forces lost control.
This is what the PA fears the most, a rise in popular grassroots activism that it can't control and which may threaten the regime itself. The PA then needs to shift public anger into a realm it can control and to divert popular struggle into an institutional, diplomatic and legislative struggle and this is the context of the UN bid. In fact it is the context of the PAs entire international strategy, something given added urgency as the PA watches the rise of popular resistance and the rising reputation of Hamas.
The US gave the PA its role as Israel's collaborator. It put Abbas into power and it pays the bills. During the Bush years, they specifically isolated Arafat following the Israeli siege of his compound and promoted Abbas in his place. Following Arafat's death, Abbas and his gang moved quickly to consolidate their hold over the security services (something they had been denied by Arafat) Since then it has loyally policed the occupation and served to pacify the population for the US and Israel.
The PA then feels betrayed by the US, its paymasters. It feels like it has done Israel and the US' dirty work and has received nothing in return and it is hemorrhaging its legitimacy and public support as a result. It is locked into a peace process and negotiation process with no end goal and which is just a barely concealed cover for further Israeli settlements. Frustrated and desperate and seeing their legitimacy evaporate in the face of an upsurge in the popular resistance struggle (and a rise of Hamas) they are turning to the UN to force the US and Israel's hand. They hope the UN vote will grant them more legitimacy in the eyes of their people and strengthen their hand in future negotiations.
Why then, should those of us who support the popular resistance struggle in Palestine, support a strategy deliberately aimed at isolated that struggle and diverting it into another round of worthless legalistic measures. The PA put forward the idea that this UN vote will somehow make it easier to hold Israel to account in front of world opinion and international law. But the UN vote decides nothing new. The UN has long recognised that the occupation is illegal. This opinion has been echoed by over 70 UN resolutions, all of which have been ignored by Israel and 41 security council resolutions, all of which have been vetoed by the US.
The idea that the Palestinians have previously been denied the legal tools to challenge Israel is nonsense. The Illegality of Israel's actions has been recognised by many institutions already on many occasions. Not only the UN but the International Court of Justice which ruled Israel's security wall to be illegal. Israel ignored it. The international conference of the fourth Geneva convention which ruled that the transfer of prisoners out of the occupied territories was illegal, Israel ignored it.The International Commission of Jurists, the International Committee of the Red Cross, the list goes on. All have declared the occupation to be illegal. Israel has ignored them all. The problem is not Palestinian access to those legal tools. The problem is Israel's impunity before them and their rulings. We had a stark example of this in the UK recently when the principle of universal jurisdiction was invoked to indict Israeli leaders visiting the UK. The response of the British government was to change the law to protect Israel.
The idea that this will change and Israel will somehow become more accountable because Palestine is now a UN member state is illusory.
So, when we balance these things. The motives of the PA, the damage this move is intended to cause to the popular struggle, the strengthened hold it will give the PA over the occupied territories, the continued impunity of Israel before international legal rulings. Then the only conclusion is that it will cause more damage than good.
There is no alternative to real struggle. Popular grassroots resistance amongst ordinary Palestinians and solidarity for their struggle from the Arab world and the world in general and no amount of legalistic bargaining and institutional recognition is going to change that. If legal and diplomatic measures were sought as part of a strategy of ongoing popular resistance then yes, they may have some value but this is not the case. The opposite is true. The authority following this strategy is actively crushing all resistance in its territory. These measures are being put forward as a substitute for popular struggle and as a method of undermining them. The PA is not part of teh solution. It is part of the problem and an obstacle to be overcome by those who genuinely seek the realisation of Palestinian national rights. As such I will not be celebrating this morning