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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

Doesn't matter though how he comes across, it only matters what he does and so far it isn't looking pretty, in fact his view of the immediate future seems grim and bleak for quite a lot of people.
Yes grim and bleak, and whatever we post here can't change that, and so none of these posts really matter. However, since I am posting here, I see no reason not to say that he's a less cunning cunt than some posters here seem to believe: a stupid cunt is still a cunt.
 
Looks like Russian airspace is closed, and there seems to be lots of reports of Russian military hardware (tanks, helicopters, transport planes, self propelled artilery) on the move on Twitter. Obviously hard to verify those videos.

Zelensky has given a speech which reads like the speech the leader of a country would give just before they were invaded.


eta the rumour is that it's going to kick off at 4am Ukraine time, or 2am our time.

:(
 
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If Putin does send troops to support the rebels, isn't there a risk they will end up getting into clashes with the Russian peacekeepers that are also being sent? Seems like an obvious planning error.
 
Peter Hitchens provides another sensible view from the right (sorry it has to be from the DM). Although you have to smile at his naive impressions of the 1991 coup and its aftermath. I was there as well and, even in my mid-20s, couldn't bring myself to be so starry-eyed. I suspect he has to present himself this way to appease his audience... I opposed it at the time (even if only in my own daft fucking head), but I can't help thinking that if the 1991 coup had succeeded, we wouldn't be in this position now...

 
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A lot of live reporting saying explosions have been happening in Kyiv since about 5am local time. That's not Donbass. I found this article saying Russia began testing long range artillery in December that can reach 50 miles, exactly the distance between Kyiv and the closest part of the Belarussian border :(


Edit: MSNBC live saying missile attacks (not sure what their source is)
 
If Odessa actually has been invaded this is the full-scale deal aiming at a major (punitive) defeat of the Ukrainian army and government, no salami slicing. Take the territory he can hold, humiliate NATO, demonstrate to other states in Russia's historic sphere of influence what happens if you flip.

Minor tangent: Long term this pretty much secures the formation of an EU army.
 
So how will this go, I wonder? Protracted messy war or Ukraine realising the inevitability of the outcome and choosing to effectively acquiesce to allow those two republics to go to Russia, in order to reduce the bloodshed and cost? Will outside allies come to Ukraine’s aid and fight alongside them? Seems very unlikely as surely no one wants to choose a war with Russia?

Or maybe I’m misreading it and Ukraine do have enough military strength to repel the invaders? Hard to see how such a long planned operation would be launched by Russia if they hadn’t ensured they would succeed though.
 
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