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Israel-Iran conflicts - news and discussion

Only Gaza ceasefire will delay retaliation, say Iranian officials

DUBAI/BEIRUT, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Only a ceasefire deal in Gaza stemming from hoped-for talks this week would hold Iran back from direct retaliation against Israel for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh on its soil, three senior Iranian officials said.

Iran has vowed a severe response to Haniyeh's killing, which took place as he visited Tehran late last month and which it blamed on Israel. Israel has neither confirmed or denied its involvement. The U.S. Navy has deployed warships and a submarine to the Middle East to bolster Israeli defenses.
One of the sources, a senior Iranian security official, said Iran, along with allies such as Hezbollah, would launch a direct attack if the Gaza talks fail or it perceives Israel is dragging out negotiations. The sources did not say how long Iran would allow for talks to progress before responding.

With an increased risk of a broader Middle East war after the killings of Haniyeh and Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr, Iran has been involved in intense dialogue with Western countries and the United States in recent days on ways to calibrate retaliation, said the sources, who all spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.
In comments published on Tuesday, the U.S. ambassador to Turkey confirmed Washington was asking allies to help convince Iran to de-escalate tensions. Three regional government sources described conversations with Tehran to avoid escalation ahead of the Gaza ceasefire talks, due to begin on Thursday in either Egypt or Qatar.

"We hope our response will be timed and executed in a way that does not harm a potential ceasefire," Iran's mission to the U.N. said on Friday in a statement. Iran's foreign ministry on Tuesday said calls to exercise restraint "contradict principles of international law."
 
Washington has approved a further 20 billion dollar arms supply to Israel, whilst today US forces report sinking 2 houthi vessels
Absolutely fuck all chance of Israel being held to account for anything it does and just continued support from USA
Will there eventually be a real split between USA and the EU over the conflict with EU countries deploying real sanctions?, Germany is the main problem.
 
Sounds like Iran is going to delay till after Israel's demands which will basically be full surrender of Hamas with no real offer of scaling down its subjugation of the Palestinians bring talks to stalemate.
Maybe you could rearrange those words into a meaningful sentence
 
I'd expect any military organisation which had suffered the number of assassinations over the years as hezbollah would be a) largely decentralised rather than rigidly hierarchical, and b) have a well prepared succession plan for senior leaders. While the zionists have wiped put some really important people, the people they knew, who knows what the people who step into their shoes will be like. For me its a really weird calculation as intelligence assessments of hezbollah are now less likely to be accurate as many known factors have been taken off the table
 
I'd expect any military organisation which had suffered the number of assassinations over the years as hezbollah would be a) largely decentralised rather than rigidly hierarchical, and b) have a well prepared succession plan for senior leaders. While the zionists have wiped put some really important people, the people they knew, who knows what the people who step into their shoes will be like. For me its a really weird calculation as intelligence assessments of hezbollah are now less likely to be accurate as many known factors have been taken off the table

TBF you think they would have learned about how effective targeted assassinations are by observing by how much Hamas was degraded when they killed Yasin (and various people who happened to be stood nearby).
 

Reading between those lines... "It was all fun and games while our guys were firing missiles into Israel and calling for its destruction, but when it starts punching back then oh! Suddenly the destruction of Israel is bad for business, the locals can deal with the blowback and we'll negotiate over their corpses."

Inspirational stuff from Iran :thumbs:
 
I have read this post more than once and reluctantly, to me it makes a ghastly kind of sense:

1727541048656.png

followed up with this:

1727541143022.png
 
Hmm teqniq I don't really go along with the idea that the US is a larger Israel on the face of it tbh and think that idea needs a bit of explanation as it ends up sounding a bit too similar to ZOG type conspiracies tbh. I don't really know anything about this guy or what he's getting at though, so I'm willing to hear it out but at the moment it seems like an edgy x/twitter soundbite without further details:(
 
Hmm teqniq I don't really go along with the idea that the US is a larger Israel on the face of it tbh and think that idea needs a bit of explanation as it ends up sounding a bit too similar to ZOG type conspiracies tbh. I don't really know anything about this guy or what he's getting at though, so I'm willing to hear it out but at the moment it seems like an edgy x/twitter soundbite without further details:(
Absolutely fair enough and I've put it up here to see what other people think tbh. One has to wonder though why the US keeps unremittingly suppling Israel with armaments and money when they could have pulled the plug on all this death and destruction months ago.

Meanwhile this looks like blowback in Iraq:

 
Absolutely fair enough and I've put it up here to see what other people think tbh. One has to wonder though why the US keeps unremittingly suppling Israel with armaments and money when they could have pulled the plug on all this death and destruction months ago.

Meanwhile this looks like blowback in Iraq:


Just a guess but I'm thinking it probably has something to do with AIPAC/Dershowitz type Democrats, and the huge number of Christians who think that supporting Israel will bring about the end of the world - there is also an election coming up and I am guessing that the US government don't want to make any decisions re Israel, are counting on the fact that anyone pro Gaza will just hold their nose in November, whereas the who support zionism/Netanyahu but might be persuaded not to vote Trump because of his stance on abortion, or being rude once about Ted Cruz's Dad once, etc might be seen as winnable ... I dunno though. However as with Starmer's labour, the existence of these groups in reality might be debatable ... but it might not stop the Dems acting as if they're not though.

I have no fucking idea though and I'm not speaking from any authority...it's just a guess
 
I have read this post more than once and reluctantly, to me it makes a ghastly kind of sense:

View attachment 444568

followed up with this:

View attachment 444570

I agree with some of this but not all of it - the heavy bombs for example, there is nothing to say that those used werent part of the original stockpiles that they (the IDF) had kept for this purpose. I also think its more likely that the US government was mugged off by the Israelis, given that we know this has happened multiple times since October 7th (Biden's attempt at a regional tour, which was cancelled as the result of the al-Ahli hospital bombing being the first). The US government is clearly not an impartial broker in those circumstances either of course, but I think if they were actively complicit in everything then this war would look rather different than it does.
 
Israel says it has imposed a military blockade on Lebanon:


Below is the relevant part of the above linked article, the rest talks about the killing of Nasrallah

1727544036249.png

Wrt to the land border crossings and the attacks on bulldozers. I saw a vid a couple of days ago of a massive crater in a road, this probably explains why.
 
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