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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

Sadly, a ceasefire would only benefit Putin by allowing him to reconstitute & train & build up supplies for his forces - and then, after a few years, they'll have another go, but with a closer to Kyiv starting point.
If the border with Russian occupied territories is formalised Ukraine will join the EU and NATO and Putin would not then "have another go"
 
Sadly, a ceasefire would only benefit Putin by allowing him to reconstitute & train & build up supplies for his forces - and then, after a few years, they'll have another go, but with a closer to Kyiv starting point.
At the moment they are throwing untrained convicts at the frontlines as well as more highly trained specialists in infantry roles, neither of which are sustainable long term, and whilst they are winning some territory it is at a terrible cost to both sides.
It's not yet devolved to the stalemate of "fixed" trench warfare that characterised WW1.
Until the Germans thought about it and introduced shock troops.
 
Will take this with a large grain of salt, as the WaPo has been pinning the pipeline bombing on various entities every few months. That said, it's quite credible compared to "US marines blew it up".
"Unnamed sources"
Will hurt relations with Germany if it's proven, but the Americans couldn't care less I'm sure.

Germany is another reason that the US will try to shut this shit down soon I guess. I don't think it would want either the AfD or Wagenknecht in charge. :D
 
And the Russians would stick to that settlement would they? And not simply regroup, rearm and have another go in a year's time, only this time starting off a couple of hundred kilometres closer to Kyiv?
At this stage, what are other plausible endings? Following the reasoning above, even if they beat them right back to the border, what happens next?
 
Sadly, a ceasefire would only benefit Putin by allowing him to reconstitute & train & build up supplies for his forces - and then, after a few years, they'll have another go, but with a closer to Kyiv starting point.
At the moment they are throwing untrained convicts at the frontlines as well as more highly trained specialists in infantry roles, neither of which are sustainable long term, and whilst they are winning some territory it is at a terrible cost to both sides.
It's not yet devolved to the stalemate of "fixed" trench warfare that characterised WW1.
Russia isn’t asking for a ceasefire for the same it would only benefit the West allowing them to build up and train their forces and have another go
 
So why the fuck did it invade then Mr Fucking Geopolitical Expert ?
Wasn’t Yushchenko talking about joining the EU and NATO in 2005 and then in 2008 NATO made a promise that one day Ukraine would join the Alliance ? And then Vladimir Putin came along


Putin openly questions the legitimacy of Ukraine's contemporary borders.[9] According to Putin, the modern-day Ukraine occupies historically Russian lands,[9] and is an "anti-Russia project" created by external forces since the seventeenth century, and of administrative and political decisions made during the Soviet Union.[5] He also discusses the Russo-Ukrainian War, maintaining that "Kiev simply does not need Donbas".[10]

Putin places blame for the current crisis on foreign plots and anti-Russian conspiracies.[9] According to Putin, the decisions of the Ukrainian government are driven by a Western plot against Russia as well as by "followers of Bandera".[11]

Putin ends the lengthy essay by asserting Russia's role in modern Ukrainian affairs.[9]

And with that I am done with you and will file you alongside the other posters not worth engaging with on this subject.

They’re not even pretending it was NATO.
 
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Putin openly questions the legitimacy of Ukraine's contemporary borders.[9] According to Putin, the modern-day Ukraine occupies historically Russian lands,[9] and is an "anti-Russia project" created by external forces since the seventeenth century, and of administrative and political decisions made during the Soviet Union.[5] He also discusses the Russo-Ukrainian War, maintaining that "Kiev simply does not need Donbas".[10]

Putin places blame for the current crisis on foreign plots and anti-Russian conspiracies.[9] According to Putin, the decisions of the Ukrainian government are driven by a Western plot against Russia as well as by "followers of Bandera".[11]

Putin ends the lengthy essay by asserting Russia's role in modern Ukrainian affairs.[9]

And with that I am done with you and will file you alongside the other posters not worth engaging with on this subject.

They’re not even pretending it was NATO.


When Russian media and its president says “I want to wipe Ukrainian culture and it’s citizens from the map (if they don’t convert to Russia citizenship) who is to say what they really mean behind the subterfuge - must be because NATO did it
 
Your feelings is not a criteria of what is true or false.
What was his post to do with feelings?

The definition of proxy war is "a war instigated by a major power which does not itself become involved." The war was instigated by Russia which is directly involved. That the US and Europe support Ukraine does not make it a proxy war and even if you play semantic games to define it as so, it was not chosen by the US so to say "the proxy war failed" because Ukraine has not defeated the invasion is absolute bullshit. The US certainly didn't want this war for one thing, and secondly, European countries actually spend more than twice as much supporting Ukraine than the US does now.


I know your fucking game. Your every post here is about geopolitics from a perspective of opposing America yet you have not a single thing to say about left wing politics in general. You're a Putinbot or Wumao.

And let me tell you this - Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a threat to Europe, not the US, people in Europe aren't against it just because the US told them to be however much you want it to be true.
 
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What was his post to do with feelings?

The definition of proxy war is "a war instigated by a major power which does not itself become involved." The war was instigated by Russia which is directly involved. That the US and Europe support Ukraine does not make it a proxy war and even if you play semantic games to define it as so, it was not chosen by the US so to say "the proxy war failed" because Ukraine has not defeated the invasion is absolute bullshit. The US certainly didn't want this war for one thing, and secondly, European countries actually spend more than twice as much supporting Ukraine than the US does now.


I know your fucking game. Your every post here is about geopolitics from a perspective of opposing America yet you have not a single thing to say about left wing politics in general. You're a Putinbot or Wumao.

And let me tell you this - Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a threat to Europe, not the US, people in Europe aren't against it just because the US told them to be however much you want it to be true.
Throwing a hissy fit generally does not persuade.

The main problem with the whole Russia issue is that it is virtually impossible to discuss, as the liberals seem to march in a parade over the issue, and others following in line.
 
“The issue”? What is “The issue”? Are you referring to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, including mass-murder, the capture and forced movement of children and rape as a weapon of war? I mean, I guess those are “issues” that people tend to care about, yes.
 
Throwing a hissy fit generally does not persuade.

The main problem with the whole Russia issue is that it is virtually impossible to discuss, as the liberals seem to march in a parade over the issue, and others following in line.
You haven't attempted to discuss anything. You just post stupid opinions (typically based on right wing realist geopolitical theory) and then act evasive when challenged like you're doing here.
 
The latest edition of the Financial Times' Rachman Review podcast is excellent: Is the balance tilting towards Russia in Ukraine?

Mistakes made by Ukraine, lack of production by the West, need for a long term plan, Russia's shift to a war economy and ability to maintain the conflict, and prospects for negotiation. Not an optimistic picture, but not lost, as far as the commentator thinks.
Not read the article yet, but from you post It sounds like there may be some truth to it.

But we need to remember relative to what? Relative to predictions of a successful Ukrainian offensive? That was wildly optimistic anyway in my opinion.

Or Relative to when the war started? Because based on expectations at the time things are going pretty good for Ukraine. In a purley military sense at least.
 
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