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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

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I was at the theatre at the weekend to see patriots - the boris beresovsky play….. odd things happened in that when Putin got the arse
I saw that a few weeks ago (good, wasn’t it?). The line that stays with me is when Putin is advised “keep your friends close but your enemies closer” and his response is “why would I keep my enemies close when I can just destroy them?”

Maybe Prigozhin should have gone to see the play too.
 
I saw that a few weeks ago (good, wasn’t it?). The line that stays with me is when Putin is advised “keep your friends close but your enemies closer” and his response is “why would I keep my enemies close when I can just destroy them?”

Maybe Prigozhin should have gone to see the play too.
I mean, nothing bad ever happens to people going to see plays... :D
 
Ukraine high command are doing this so well given what cards they have. They're certainly trying to force Russia to move to support Crimea, but it's also a psychological play. People in Crimea are already paranoid, and it has to have an effect on the regular Russian soldier anywhere in Ukraine.
 
Bleak assessment of the war on Novara - skip past all the Prigozhin speculation sideshow to 13.40


...includes quotes from this article in The Economist which explores some of the negativity and disillusionment within Ukraine itself
 
Ukraine high command are doing this so well given what cards they have. They're certainly trying to force Russia to move to support Crimea, but it's also a psychological play. People in Crimea are already paranoid, and it has to have an effect on the regular Russian soldier anywhere in Ukraine.
Regular Russian Soldiers in Ukraine are waiting behind their defence lines for the Ukrainians to start their Counter Offensive
 
Not sure that's actually been discussed anywhere though has it? The only hint of it I have seen was the suggestion repair teams could move close to the border (in Poland?) to fix damaged tanks etc.

The implications of it are obvious though aren't they; an increased risk of an escalation between Russia and NATO, even if by accident.
It’s going to be a topic in the news before too long. If the Ukrainians don’t have the manpower, are stalled, what now? So much has been invested, both politically and financially that realising no real progress will be made without more troops will beg the question.
 
Shame the Ukrainians can't get behind the Russian lines, get them to retreat across the mine fields. They might start clearing them then.
 
ISW's map has had another tweak - they've added another blue tone to indicate land liberated in the past 24hrs.
Makes scanning the long front line a tad easier.

Using that aid, yesterday {and the day before} the Ukrainians have made some advances in the Robotyne / Verbove area, producing quite a decent salient.

Counting up the light blue patches of liberated territory, I made that advances - some small, some much bigger - have been in over 30 areas on a very long front line.

The width / depth of the minefields - and concentration of mines in them - must be making life very difficult for the sappers.

Very late last night a friend made the slightly flippant suggestion that the sappers should fill well-labelled (Achtung minen) dumpy bags with the removed mines and use choppers to dump them back over the border. Being very mean, I was wondering if you could actually do that, but with added booby traps ? Maybe float them into the piers of the Kerch Bridge ?
 
Ukraine is apparently going to make a push from Robotyne, which they've just taken, towards Tokmak and then Melitopol. Russia threw a lot of special forces at Robotyne and still lost.
 
Ukraine is apparently going to make a push from Robotyne, which they've just taken, towards Tokmak and then Melitopol. Russia threw a lot of special forces at Robotyne and still lost.
At least part of their plans ...
Note that this area is often referred to as the "Berydansk direction" in the daily report. There's certainly a decent salient towards Verbove after the advances of past few days.

The other medium term aim will be to sever or seriously disrupt the "land bridge" to/from Crimea.
Plus keep smacking the Chondar / Heniseck / Arabat Spit bridges, as well as the Armyansk area. {as per the Antonisky bridge last year}
 
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