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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

Any views (speculation) on what would happen if a Russian aircraft crossed into Polish airspace at the moment? Would Nato fighters just chivy it back over the boarder as in 'normal' times, or would there be a risk of it being shot down because of the posturing and threats by Russia to strike materiel over the border?

think they be met with american air forces and politily told to get to fuck
 
Any views (speculation) on what would happen if a Russian aircraft crossed into Polish airspace at the moment? Would Nato fighters just chivy it back over the boarder as in 'normal' times, or would there be a risk of it being shot down because of the posturing and threats by Russia to strike materiel over the border?
I suspect a few seconds grace after the pilot gets beeped about being an aquired target. They can regaffer tape the Garmin once they have vector ed out of airspace
 
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Beware of framing the conflict in 'civilisational' terms...



'We are in an unprecedented and extremely difficult situation. But it seems to me that we have to pivot. The aim must be to do all we can to avoid a further escalation (while taking seriously the possibility that Putin may himself escalate, for example, through the use of chemical or even nuclear weapons), and to end the war. But instead, experts in Europe and the US are urging all kinds of economic, political and military steps whose consequences we have barely begun to think through and that have the potential to drag Nato into a war with Russia.'

'Apart from the risk of escalation, there is something else troubling about the EU’s embrace of Ukraine. The European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen – the figure who embodies the idea of a “geopolitical” EU – recently that said that Ukraine was “one of us”. That statement was indicative of a wider tendency in the west to frame this conflict in civilisational terms. Countless reporters and commentators have expressed shock that such a brutal conflict could have happened in “civilised” Europe – as opposed to the uncivilised world beyond. In particular, many people seem to feel sympathy for the Ukrainians because they “look like us”. A few days after the war started, one senior Ukrainian official even told the BBC that what made the situation so emotional for him was that it was “European people with blue eyes and blond hair” who were being killed. The EU’s generous approach to refugees from Ukraine, led by Poland, which in the refugee crisis in 2015 was one of the European countries most vehemently opposed to accepting asylum seekers from Syria and Afghanistan, also seems to have been influenced by a sense of ethnic solidarity.'
 
Beware of framing the conflict in 'civilisational' terms...



'We are in an unprecedented and extremely difficult situation. But it seems to me that we have to pivot. The aim must be to do all we can to avoid a further escalation (while taking seriously the possibility that Putin may himself escalate, for example, through the use of chemical or even nuclear weapons), and to end the war. But instead, experts in Europe and the US are urging all kinds of economic, political and military steps whose consequences we have barely begun to think through and that have the potential to drag Nato into a war with Russia.'

'Apart from the risk of escalation, there is something else troubling about the EU’s embrace of Ukraine. The European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen – the figure who embodies the idea of a “geopolitical” EU – recently that said that Ukraine was “one of us”. That statement was indicative of a wider tendency in the west to frame this conflict in civilisational terms. Countless reporters and commentators have expressed shock that such a brutal conflict could have happened in “civilised” Europe – as opposed to the uncivilised world beyond. In particular, many people seem to feel sympathy for the Ukrainians because they “look like us”. A few days after the war started, one senior Ukrainian official even told the BBC that what made the situation so emotional for him was that it was “European people with blue eyes and blond hair” who were being killed. The EU’s generous approach to refugees from Ukraine, led by Poland, which in the refugee crisis in 2015 was one of the European countries most vehemently opposed to accepting asylum seekers from Syria and Afghanistan, also seems to have been influenced by a sense of ethnic solidarity.'
I would have to concede there has been a difference in approach to how Ukrainian refugees and Syrian refugees have been treated. Though as with Syria the vast majority have looked for sanctuary for the immdiatemail neighbouring country. With Syria it was Turkey whom stood up to the plate..This time it's the EU who can hear the bangs from it side of the border.

As long as we don't find the idea of sheltering refugees funny as Vice President Harris did
 
What’s the word for ‘Irony’ in Gaelic?
( By now I think everyone will have seen that the car the Guards sent to cover the gate was in blue and yellow Battenburg livery- I’m not sure if all there cars are like that now or if someone was able to do that deliberately…)
jam sandwich is out of fashion
 
Beware of framing the conflict in 'civilisational' terms...



'We are in an unprecedented and extremely difficult situation. But it seems to me that we have to pivot. The aim must be to do all we can to avoid a further escalation (while taking seriously the possibility that Putin may himself escalate, for example, through the use of chemical or even nuclear weapons), and to end the war. But instead, experts in Europe and the US are urging all kinds of economic, political and military steps whose consequences we have barely begun to think through and that have the potential to drag Nato into a war with Russia.'

'Apart from the risk of escalation, there is something else troubling about the EU’s embrace of Ukraine. The European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen – the figure who embodies the idea of a “geopolitical” EU – recently that said that Ukraine was “one of us”. That statement was indicative of a wider tendency in the west to frame this conflict in civilisational terms. Countless reporters and commentators have expressed shock that such a brutal conflict could have happened in “civilised” Europe – as opposed to the uncivilised world beyond. In particular, many people seem to feel sympathy for the Ukrainians because they “look like us”. A few days after the war started, one senior Ukrainian official even told the BBC that what made the situation so emotional for him was that it was “European people with blue eyes and blond hair” who were being killed. The EU’s generous approach to refugees from Ukraine, led by Poland, which in the refugee crisis in 2015 was one of the European countries most vehemently opposed to accepting asylum seekers from Syria and Afghanistan, also seems to have been influenced by a sense of ethnic solidarity.'
Just to further illustrate that last sentence

 
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Beware of framing the conflict in 'civilisational' terms...

I'm not aware of anyone framing it in 'civilization terms' on here.

I also don't buy this line

That statement was indicative of a wider tendency in the west to frame this conflict in civilisational terms. Countless reporters and commentators have expressed shock that such a brutal conflict could have happened in “civilised” Europe – as opposed to the uncivilised world beyond. In particular, many people seem to feel sympathy for the Ukrainians because they “look like us”.

Firstly, there are plenty of people who have previously expressed hostility to migrants from the EU despite them 'looking like us' and secondly the fact that war has returned to Europe is genuinely shocking. You don't need to think about it in 'civilization terms' to feel the shock and horror at the unwinding of the past 70 years.
 
I'm not aware of anyone framing it in 'civilization terms' on here.

I also don't buy this line



Firstly, there are plenty of people who have previously expressed hostility to migrants from the EU despite them 'looking like us' and secondly the fact that war has returned to Europe is genuinely shocking. You don't need to think about it in 'civilization terms' to feel the shock and horror at the unwinding of the past 70 years.
except that of course war returned to europe some years ago, it's not like 75 years of peace and then ukraine
 
that's very different from agreeing not to


This is what China rep reportedly said

"China’s position on the Ukraine issue is consistent and clear, and China has been playing a constructive role in promoting peace talks,” Zhao said. “It is imperative that all parties exercise restraint and cool down tensions, not add fuel to the fire.”
From the article quoted in my previous post
 
I'm not aware of anyone framing it in 'civilization terms' on here.

I also don't buy this line



Firstly, there are plenty of people who have previously expressed hostility to migrants from the EU despite them 'looking like us' and secondly the fact that war has returned to Europe is genuinely shocking. You don't need to think about it in 'civilization terms' to feel the shock and horror at the unwinding of the past 70 years.
I, for one, wasn't in the least shocked about the European wars in Yugoslavia (although I was somewhat horrified.) Neither am I shocked by war in Ukraine. It isn't as if there weren't plenty of signs of it coming, after all.

Arguably, other wars which have taken place on the soil of the former USSR since the early '90s could also be said to be European wars.
 
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China’s foreign ministry has reacted angrily to reports of US government claims that Russia had asked China’s government for military equipment, Helen Davidson writes.

The reports in multiple US outlets cited US officials saying Moscow had been seeking weapons from Beijing for some time.

At the regular press briefing in Beijing on Monday afternoon, China’s foreign ministry spokesperson, Zhao Lijian, said the US was spreading “malicious disinformation”, with “sinister intentions”, according to translations by journalists in the room.

LINK
 
except that of course war returned to europe some years ago, it's not like 75 years of peace and then ukraine

I think the way it is perceived makes it different.

The war in Ukraine is widely believed to be an old fashioned war of annexation, to wipe out a country from the map (although we don't know Putin's intentions for sure, this isn't an unreasonable assumption). This kind of war hasn't happened in Europe since WW2 and has been fairly uncommon around the world since then.

The image of tanks rolling across the border to invade and occupy an entire country is something which seemed to many to be consigned to history and is fundamentally more shocking to Europeans than civil conflicts, perhaps because it raises the spectre of larger scale inter-state war, or because it concerns their own security (as it does for Finland, Sweden, the Baltics, Moldova, Poland etc) in a way that the Northern Irish troubles or break up of Yugoslavia did not.
 
I think the way it is perceived makes it different.

The war in Ukraine is widely believed to be an old fashioned war of annexation, to wipe out a country from the map (although we don't know Putin's intentions for sure, this isn't an unreasonable assumption). This kind of war hasn't happened in Europe since WW2 and has been fairly uncommon around the world since then.

The image of tanks rolling across the border to invade and occupy an entire country is something which seemed to many to be consigned to history and is fundamentally more shocking to Europeans than civil conflicts, perhaps because it raises the spectre of larger scale inter-state war, or because it concerns their own security (as it does for Finland, Sweden, the Baltics, Moldova, Poland etc) in a way that the Northern Irish troubles or break up of Yugoslavia did not.
right you are - the other wars weren't really wars, or if they were wars they were the wrong sort of war.
 
I think the way it is perceived makes it different.

The war in Ukraine is widely believed to be an old fashioned war of annexation, to wipe out a country from the map (although we don't know Putin's intentions for sure, this isn't an unreasonable assumption). This kind of war hasn't happened in Europe since WW2 and has been fairly uncommon around the world since then.
That's quite a selective view of post-WWII history, is it not?
 
That's quite a selective view of post-WWII history, is it not?

Maybe, I'm talking about popular perception, not objective reality though.

That said... has there been any war of annexation in Europe since the end of WW2? Not that I can think of...
 
That's quite a selective view of post-WWII history, is it not?
Selective or not that is certainly how it is seen by many and goes someway towards explaining the response to this war.

There are several factors about this war that makes people look at it and go, that could be us. There are less degrees of separation than with many others.

Although I think it is very unlikely I am having to consider the possibility of Russia attacking Sweden and if Sweden then it could be us next. And it mist feel very close to home for anyone is Sweden.
 
Maybe, I'm talking about popular perception, not objective reality though.

That said... has there been any war of annexation in Europe since the end of WW2? Not that I can think of...
At least: Czechoslovakia, 1968. Turkey/Cyprus, 1974. Then lots of them involving Russia depending on where you think the limits of Europe are, including Crimea in 2014.
 
Much as the regime here are a rotten shower, the US does subject China to all sorts of fuck knucklery and are quite possibly just making up the weapons story. Obviously no idea either way, just saying I wouldn't trust either's word.
China threatemed anyone arming Taiwan b4 the weekend. I think there s a bit of a parellel dance going on
 
Much as the regime here are a rotten shower, the US does subject China to all sorts of fuck knucklery and are quite possibly just making up the weapons story. Obviously no idea either way, just saying I wouldn't trust either's word.

There's this interesting take on it, which would seem to make some sense.

However Sung said the US’s public airing of Russia’s requests - which were still of real concern - also allowed it to pressure Beijing on its civilian trade with Russia, which could include non-military parts and components which could be used in weapons production.

"By flagging the possibility of the Chinese providing military aid, Washington actually is laying down talking points to nudge China into limiting ‘civilian trading relationship’ with Russia and semi-joining (however partially) the international economic sanctions against Russia.

If it works, it will reduce China-Russia trade and further weaken Russia; if it doesn’t, it will help shore up the ‘China is Russia’s enabler’ image, and claim moral high ground for the US vis-a-vis China."

LINK
 
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