What chance does Trump have of winning the 2024 Presidential Election?
- Thread starter singsongfun
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wemakeyousoundb
hopefully not gimboid
I have no idea how to understand those, please translate, thank you.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
Trump is about evens to win, v 2-1 against Biden
wemakeyousoundb
hopefully not gimboid
ok, thanks.
Jeff Robinson
Marxist-Lentilist: Jackboots and Jackfruit
There’s a BBC documentary series - which I haven’t listened to yet - called ‘the kids are alt-right’, it’s about how youth are increasingly the driving force behind far right electoral victories across Europe. It doesn’t surprise me tbh, the internet is a sewer of rightwing reactionary nonsense these days - much of targeted towards younger audiences.
BBC Sounds - The Kids Are Alt Right? - Available Episodes
Listen to the latest episodes of The Kids Are Alt Right? on BBC Sounds.
www.bbc.co.uk
bluescreen
tofu eating wokerati
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ska invita
back on the other side
Tomorrow belongs to themThere’s a BBC documentary series - which I haven’t listened to yet - called ‘the kids are alt-right’, it’s about how youth are increasingly the driving force behind far right electoral victories across Europe. It doesn’t surprise me tbh, the internet is a sewer of rightwing reactionary nonsense these days - much of targeted towards younger audiences.
BBC Sounds - The Kids Are Alt Right? - Available Episodes
Listen to the latest episodes of The Kids Are Alt Right? on BBC Sounds.
will give it a listen
tim
EXPLODED TIM! (Help me!!!)
This being the JFK who launched the war in Vietnam, was responding for the Bay of Pigs fiasco, and led the profoundly racist Democrat Party whose Southern members were responsible for introducing and enforcing Jim Crow legislation.
8ball
Merr xmas...
There’s a BBC documentary series - which I haven’t listened to yet - called ‘the kids are alt-right’, it’s about how youth are increasingly the driving force behind far right electoral victories across Europe. It doesn’t surprise me tbh, the internet is a sewer of rightwing reactionary nonsense these days - much of targeted towards younger audiences.
BBC Sounds - The Kids Are Alt Right? - Available Episodes
Listen to the latest episodes of The Kids Are Alt Right? on BBC Sounds.
Does this mean this very popular meme may have had its day on urban?
Jeff Robinson
Marxist-Lentilist: Jackboots and Jackfruit
Yeah, I used to think kids only turned into gits when they get on the property ladder, but that thanks to the alienation of late stage capitalism and the internet, they’re increasingly become bastards at younger ages
i take it for granted that bourgeois politicians are ruthless scoundrels not worth the snot out of our noses, obviously including JFK. But in a choice of who should be assassinated - Trump or JFK, i reckon it is safe to assume most decent types would not select JFK? There are degrees of shade between top politicos eh? That said - i used a clumsy example
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moochedit
I'm not feeding seagulls
He'll probably pick trump jnr as his vp running mate. Keep it in the family.
tim
EXPLODED TIM! (Help me!!!)
I'd have thought Ivanka would be his preference.
Israel too. Very large far right element among young men.There’s a BBC documentary series - which I haven’t listened to yet - called ‘the kids are alt-right’, it’s about how youth are increasingly the driving force behind far right electoral victories across Europe. It doesn’t surprise me tbh, the internet is a sewer of rightwing reactionary nonsense these days - much of targeted towards younger audiences.
BBC Sounds - The Kids Are Alt Right? - Available Episodes
Listen to the latest episodes of The Kids Are Alt Right? on BBC Sounds.
So much for Gen Z all being woke purple-haired types or whatever the far right think they are.
marty21
One on one? You're crazy.
Hope i'm wrong but the cunt is going to be president again and everyone will have to suck it up - unless a massive street movement develops and throws him out. Fat chance.
Not that i'm defeatist at all. The only positive that i can imagine is the spectacle of useless git Starmer kowtowing with the utter utter fucker at every opportunity. What a world eh?
Not that i'm defeatist at all. The only positive that i can imagine is the spectacle of useless git Starmer kowtowing with the utter utter fucker at every opportunity. What a world eh?
planetgeli
There's no future in England's dreaming
These are interesting odds, though not quite up to date, though that's a minor quibble.
Why are they interesting? Because they mean, if you are convinced the next President will be either Trump (it will be) or Biden, you can bet on both of them and still be guaranteed to make a profit.
How does that work Geli?
Well, taking Sass's odds.
Trump 11/10 - put £47.62 on him, returns are £100 including your stake back.
Biden 7/4 - put £36.36 on him, returns are £100 including your stake back.
Total layout equals £83.98. Returns guaranteed = £100.
£16 profit for every £84 spent.
The odds can only be like this, in an essentially 2 horse race, because there must be some doubts over whether Trump will be able to run (away from any convictions). Also I guess, Biden might die. But if you're convinced one of them will be President, it's free money.
Yossarian
Get thee behind me, Santa
I'm not so sure about a conviction now - DA Fani Willis' alleged improper relationship with a prosecutor might have derailed the Georgia case, the Supreme Court might quash or delay the federal cases, and the New York case looks a little on the weak side.
andysays
Love and solidarity
There is also still a small theoretical chance (though it's significantly smaller now than when those odds were posted) that someone other than Trump gets the Republican nomination and goes on to win.
) snuffs it.
kebabking
Not a Girly Swot, but I like them....
That updated Kebabking prediction?
Trump will be convicted of something, but he'll still be elected.
Jan 6th is going to be nothing compared to what's going to happen - I think states/counties will declare for him and declare him POTUS, while other declare for Biden.
Actual civil war? Dunno, but certainly armed confrontations between different organs of state and federal government - and that Trump will eventually win. The US will look a lot like Russia/Belarus within a year.
Don't book a holiday there any time soon....
Trump will be convicted of something, but he'll still be elected.
Jan 6th is going to be nothing compared to what's going to happen - I think states/counties will declare for him and declare him POTUS, while other declare for Biden.
Actual civil war? Dunno, but certainly armed confrontations between different organs of state and federal government - and that Trump will eventually win. The US will look a lot like Russia/Belarus within a year.
Don't book a holiday there any time soon....
planetgeli
There's no future in England's dreaming
Liked for the rapid escalation.
I think you're largely right, just dunno about the timescale. But the few things I hear from America, people's views, suggest it is on the edge of what you say. Armed confrontations certainly.
Your post might look shocking. But as I say, not far off, and the only reason people will be shocked (here) is because this isn't really ever being presented as what the scenario is. I don't think it's generally what people are getting to hear. But it's what I hear from my small sample.
Sasaferrato
Super Refuser!
littlebabyjesus
one of Maxwell's demons
Geli's point still stands with those odds.
Bookies appear to have serious doubts as to whether Biden will make it to polling day.
I'm not convinced by Trump being odds-on. There is a ceiling to his support, and him standing is likely to get the never-trump vote out. I see no convincing reason why he would do better than last time.
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