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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

Preconditions won’t help no?
Any negotiation starts with preconditions, whether they are explicit or implicit. I can't think of a situation like this where the parties are going to go in without some red lines that they're not prepared to cross. And it's better if they're explicit and clear - if nothing else, it saves wasting a lot of time. There's not much point Russia and Ukraine sitting round a table if Russia has already decided that giving up Donbas is non-negotiable...or that they are expected to stick to the terms of the negotiated agreement once it has been reached.

And if one of Zelenskiy's preconditions is "a return to 2014 borders", who is anyone to say he shouldn't set that precondition? Especially since Russia has not shown itself capable of sticking to the terms of previous negotiated agreements.
 
There seems a bit of confusion as to how Nuzhin ended up in Wagner custody with it allegedly being a prisoner exchange with Ukraine but some reports also saying he was kidnapped. :(
 
Much in the way of evidence of electoral fraud post 2004?
TBF, Ukraine has acknowledged that corruption is endemic - indeed, Zelenskiy was elected on an anti-corruption platform - and it's pretty deeply embedded. But they've made a lot of progress since 2004 towards at least having a reasonably credible election system...certainly, far more progress than Russia has made in the past 30 years.
 
Russia fired a huge volley of missiles at Ukraine today in its latest toddler tantrum.

Two of them ‘went astray’ and landed over the Polish border, killing two people. Polish Prime Minister is urgently convening a security council meeting to determine a response. Shit might get real here.
 
I recall there being quite a lot of international observers in the 2014 and 2019 elections, but don't recall any serious concerns being raised. But I wasn't paying that close a notice.
 
Much in the way of evidence of electoral fraud post 2004?
It’s hardly been wholly free or fair. There was mass intimidation on various sides. It was still run by oligarchs who bought votes, whether for the pro-Russians or the pro-eu lot. The 2014 election was marked with appalling violence.

Just cos the Russian invasion was appalling, we shouldn’t whitewash the fact that Ukraine was a fucking basket case before the invasion.
 
Russia fired a huge volley of missiles at Ukraine today in its latest toddler tantrum.

Two of them ‘went astray’ and landed over the Polish border, killing two people. Polish Prime Minister is urgently convening a security council meeting to determine a response. Shit might get real here.

It's all over twitter but nothing in the Graun or beeb yet, they're always quite slow as they have verifications to do.

Wonder what the deal with is re Art. 5 if it was unintentional? I don't realistically think that Art. 5 would be triggered by such an act but it's the first step on a very scary road.

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It's all over twitter but nothing in the Graun or beeb yet, they're always quite slow as they have verifications to do.

Wonder what the deal with is re Art. 5 if it was unintentional? I don't realistically think that Art. 5 would be triggered by such an act but it's the first step on a very scary road.

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hmm where they that upset by getting a blocking at the G20 and saying matey went to hospital

sure they come out shortly to proclaim fake news

hmm populist and right wing party in Poland sure they have a measure response




**mention on sky now
 
A 23-year old Zambian man who moved to Russia to study at the Moscow Engineering Physics Institute has ended up dead in Ukraine. Lemekhani Nathan Nyirenda had been serving a nine-year sentence in a prison in Tver; the student's father said his son "was working as a part-time courier when an unknown person handed him a package containing drugs."

The father also said "we don't know" who conscripted his son from prison, and added that the family only "received a message from a man we do not know in Russia who told us that there was a will, which our son left, and we should travel to Russia".

Zambia has traditionally sent students to Russia to study on scholarships, as was the case with Mr Nyirenda.

The circumstances of his release from prison are unknown, but Russia has offered freedom to some prisoners in exchange for fighting in its war in Ukraine.

Now the Zambian authorities want answers.

Ukraine war: Zambia demands answers for death of student Lemekhani Nyirenda
 
Russia fired a huge volley of missiles at Ukraine today in its latest toddler tantrum.

Two of them ‘went astray’ and landed over the Polish border, killing two people. Polish Prime Minister is urgently convening a security council meeting to determine a response. Shit might get real here.
So could this draw Poland or Nago into the conflict?
 
So could this draw Poland or Nago into the conflict?
Depends what it was. Some speculation it could have been a stray air defence missile(s) fired by Ukraine, in which case nothing will happen. If it’s Russian kit, even if unintended, then they are responsible. There will be a response of some kind, not necessarily military.
 
So could this draw Poland or Nago into the conflict?

believe it will cause international condemnation and plenty of strong words from Poland

Birds in the air hopefully unlikely

new recruit from poland for the Ukraine army i'd say nationalism in poland is quite high
and wounds from the second world war are not healed
 
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