Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

[HAL9000]

Belgorod in Russia just been hit by missiles overnight.
So that's happening then. Hardly surprising I suppose.

Reports that 3 ammo dumps were hit last night, in 3 cities, this is the explosion seen in Belgorod. What's not clear is if the explosion in Belogorod hit the target, rumour at the moment is that a OTR-21 SRBM missile was used.

 

[Dogsauce]

Yet another goodwill fireworks display for the natives to enjoy,

 

[teqniq]

Interesting analysis:

Can Ukraine Win?

A Ukrainian soldier shows off a HIMARS multiple rocket launcher - part of the package of US military aid (Photo by Anastasia Vlasova for The Washington Post via Getty Images) ‘Despise the enemy strategically, but respect him tactically’ - Mao Zedong

samf.substack.com

 

[The39thStep]

Just a quick amendment update regarding both Aslin's and Pinner's route into the Marines .

Both joined the Georgian National Legion

Aslin is on the far left , next to him another 'career volunteer' Tony Giddings , on the far right John Harding

View attachment 327216

Pinner on the right

View attachment 327217

Pinner was also featured in a fascinating documentary Ukraine -Europe's Forgotten War made by ex Royal Marine Emile Ghesson (which I would thoroughly recommend) when he later joined Azov to do his NATO standard training

( Pinner interview starts about 56min 55 secs)

​

Update on the other two Brits who joined Azov from the Georgian Division . Tony Giddings ( first photo above next to Aslin) is now MIA last seen in Mariupol John Harding ( first photo above last man on the right ) was last seen on a bus being evacuated from Avostal but surprisingly no further news despite the fact that would be linked with Pinner and Aslin

 

[HAL9000]

 

[Dogsauce]

This is some utterly mad terrifying footage filmed by Russian/seperatist soldiers working in one of the big arms depots that went boom a few days ago. Just descends further into hell, the noise is incredible. All that stuff going off is happening there, not thudding into civilian apartment blocks in Ukrainian cities.

 

[spitfire]

This is some utterly mad terrifying footage filmed by Russian/seperatist soldiers working in one of the big arms depots that went boom a few days ago. Just descends further into hell, the noise is incredible. All that stuff going off is happening there, not thudding into civilian apartment blocks in Ukrainian cities.

I watched that, was utterly terrifying.

Fuck that for a game of soldiers.

 

[Dogsauce]

I watched that, was utterly terrifying.

Fuck that for a game of soldiers.

It’s the hesitation at the beginning where they’re just hanging out around a massive pile of ammo crates watching other stuff cook off nearby. Fuck sake, just peg it.

 

[David Clapson]

Here it is from another angle. Horrifying.

 

[HAL9000]

 

[HAL9000]

 

[8ball]

This is some utterly mad terrifying footage filmed by Russian/seperatist soldiers working in one of the big arms depots that went boom a few days ago. Just descends further into hell, the noise is incredible. All that stuff going off is happening there, not thudding into civilian apartment blocks in Ukrainian cities.

The phrase “hell on earth” gets overused, but fuck me..

 

[Dogsauce]

Another goodwill firework display this evening in Kherson Oblast. Demilitarisation in action.



There was also a recent hit on a command centre in the same area that allegedly took out five high-ranking generals.

 

[The39thStep]

Off tangent but in ww2 in the U.K. it was decided to release a lot of the Borstal population early way before the end of their sentence on the belief that they would enlist . Which of course wasn’t the case .

 

[Yossarian]

"We can supply plenty of murderers and rapists, but a lot of them don't have combat experience."

"No problem, we'll deploy them to control civilian areas."

 

[Artaxerxes]

"We can supply plenty of murderers and rapists, but a lot of them don't have combat experience."

"No problem, we'll deploy them to control civilian areas."

“How is that different to the VDV?”

 

[HAL9000]

 

[teqniq]

Another goodwill firework display this evening in Kherson Oblast. Demilitarisation in action.



There was also a recent hit on a command centre in the same area that allegedly took out five high-ranking generals.

That will i surmise be this:

 

[tim]

That will i surmise be this:

Not the most objectively written announcement I've ever read, so I wouldn't be surprised if this model of a modern major-general appeared live on a TV screen soon

 

[HAL9000]

Phillips P. OBrien comments..

The Russians left a ludicrously easy to locate, major supply depot exactly where someone would expect to find it. Either the Russians are unable to react because of command failure or they cant actually move the depots because they lack the road movement (dont have enough trucks)

Why this is important, is that its as predictable a location for a depot for an army at peace and without any worry of attack as one could choose. Its exactly where anyone would look for a depot, right next to a large rail line in a town near a transport hub. Depots for dummies

 

[WhyLikeThis]

If true, going cap in hand to Iran for military hardware is pretty embaressing for Putin...

White House says Iran is preparing to supply Russia with weapons-capable drones | CNN Politics

Newly declassified US intelligence indicates that Iran is expected to supply Russia with "hundreds" of drones -- including weapons-capable drones -- for use in the war in Ukraine, with Iran preparing to begin training Russian forces on how to operate them as early as late July, according to...

edition.cnn.com

 

[HAL9000]

Phillips P. OBrien comments..






View attachment 331824View attachment 331825

On Sunday Ukrainians blew up a warehouse on the northside of the river (Dnipro) near the railwayline. Yesterday they blew up another depo on the southside of the river near a railway line

 

[WhyLikeThis]

If true, going cap in hand to Iran for military hardware is pretty embaressing for Putin...

White House says Iran is preparing to supply Russia with weapons-capable drones | CNN Politics

Newly declassified US intelligence indicates that Iran is expected to supply Russia with "hundreds" of drones -- including weapons-capable drones -- for use in the war in Ukraine, with Iran preparing to begin training Russian forces on how to operate them as early as late July, according to...

edition.cnn.com

...and it's worth pondering what Iran will get from Russsia in return. Especially considering Iran has made significant progress enriching uranium.

U.N. Says Iran Has Enough Uranium to Produce Nuclear Weapon

The United Nations atomic agency said Iran hadn’t offered credible answers to its probe into nuclear material found there, making it likely its investigation will continue.

www.wsj.com

 

[kebabking]

Putin is off to Tehran next week - he's meeting up with Erdogan while he's there. Officially the subject on all their lips will be Syria, but I don't doubt there'll be other conversations going on. Putin is going to fucking love Erdogan for letting Finland in and Sweden into NATO...

 

[editor]

"The size of the mushroom cloud in relation to the apartment blocks in the foreground of this shot (probably between 6-10 stories tall) gives you an idea of how big this bang actually was... "

 

[kebabking]

Lots of chat on the Ru telegram channels about Ukr simply chewing through its logistics and HQ hubs - it's all on the normal OSINT twitter accounts - they are also of the view that the Ru Army simply can't disperse it's logs/HQ's away from 'one really big one' because it's a) fundamentally contrary to everything the Ru Army teaches about warfare, and b) they simply don't have the trucks and the automation necessary to run a disperses logistics system.

The work of year/decades they reckon....

 

[spitfire]

Lots of chat on the Ru telegram channels about Ukr simply chewing through its logistics and HQ hubs - it's all on the normal OSINT twitter accounts - they are also of the view that the Ru Army simply can't disperse it's logs/HQ's away from 'one really big one' because it's a) fundamentally contrary to everything the Ru Army teaches about warfare, and b) they simply don't have the trucks and the automation necessary to run a disperses logistics system.

The work of year/decades they reckon....

Igor Girkin is spitting feathers. Which is nice.

eta found a handy compendium of Ru feather spitting here: Russians react to Nova Kakhovka explosion • WarTranslated - Dmitri Masinski

 

[Pickman's model]

Lots of chat on the Ru telegram channels about Ukr simply chewing through its logistics and HQ hubs - it's all on the normal OSINT twitter accounts - they are also of the view that the Ru Army simply can't disperse it's logs/HQ's away from 'one really big one' because it's a) fundamentally contrary to everything the Ru Army teaches about warfare, and b) they simply don't have the trucks and the automation necessary to run a disperses logistics system.

The work of year/decades they reckon....

What the Russians want to do is place their ammo dumps by their targets

 

[JimW]

Meduza has seen a Kremlin poll that says 30% of Russians want the war to end now versus 57% in favour of continuing: 30 percent of Russians say they want the war to end immediately What the latest Kremlin-commissioned opinion poll reveals about domestic support for the war — Meduza Age splits unsurprisingly put those more likely to be sent to fight it as most opposed but even that headline figure is pretty solid given the climate and information availability, seems to me. Wonder how much that will affect policy if at all.

 

[Dystopiary]

It seems that a Belarusian border guard crossed into Ukraine, to fight on the Ukrainian side.
The mustachioed dictator of course denies it and has said the man resigned.

https://mil.in.ua/en/news/a-belarus...fight-against-russia-was-detained-in-ukraine/

The Ukrainian border guards in the Volyn region detained a man without identification documents who illegally crossed the border from the territory of Belarus.

The detainee claimed that he is a Belarusian border guard serving in the Brest border group and wants to join the Defence Forces of Ukraine in the war against the Russian invasion forces.

The man claimed that he was coming to Ukraine with a fellow supporter, but on the way to the border, they were discovered and chased with fire by the Belarusian military or border guards.