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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-24

would depend on how long it lasts....Getting into China at mo is pretty difficult at the mo anyway

This is my sad face at being told that unfortunately, there are technical problems with enacting my request to be trebuched into the sun....
 
New text from Ukranian anarchists:

Slightly older text that's worth a look if you've not read it already (and you're interested in what Ukranian a's have to say, I suppose):
 
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I'm not overly worried, I grew up in the 80's listening to 2 tribes by FGTH, having the 12" mixes and utterly terrified by the sirens, 'Threads' on tv and adverts telling us to tape diagonal crosses on our windows. It didnt happen then and if it happens now Il be scared for a sec and then it will be onto my next stage, whether that be energy shifting, re-incarnation, or nothing, or even worse Christianity is true
 
Reading through that article I posted above, and it's nothing new, the picture's from 2014, but fuck me what a depressing image/caption:
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Anti-fascists receiving training at the Right Sector base in Desna. It is worth noting that this photo includes two Moscow anti-fascists who joined the armed conflict.
:(
 
tbf most of it is a depressing read

mirror the idea of having fuckwits and headcases like putin and trump being in power really

even positions and moves in europe


cannie argue with the russia misinformation capabilities mind
 
Might be something, might be nothing. Not that being shelled is anything less than something but you know what I mean...



 
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Ukarines got a fuck load of new anti tank weapons.
Javelins long range fire and forget.
Nlaw is short range but ideal for urban warfare.
Russias spent money on decoy systems but they have been well known for years.
Putins best plan is use his tank army and a threat.
 
Car bomb in Donetsk, allegedly the car of the separatist government's security chief according to russian accounts.
(nobody killed)



Civilians had been told to evacuate to russia just hours earlier. Buses all lined up to take them away and eveything.
 
I wonder if this is a false flag op, ordered by Putin.

Not sure that blowing up a jeep at night without killing anyone is that a false flag op that he'd need to plan; it could easily just be that lot (edit) trying to kill each other (which is by no means unknown).

I'd have thought if they are going to do something like that it would be necessarily grim - a school being shelled / rocketed maybe, or one (or more) of the evacuation buses getting hit, or even something in/over Russia itself.
 
Not sure that blowing up a jeep at night without killing anyone is that a false flag op that he'd need to plan; it could easily just be that lot (edit) trying to kill each other (which is by no means unknown).

I'd have thought if they are going to do something like that it would be necessarily grim - a school being shelled / rocketed maybe, or one (or more) of the evacuation buses getting hit, or even something in/over Russia itself.

Well something is going on.

Putin tells Russian govt to house people leaving Donbass

President Vladimir Putin on Friday ordered the Russian government to house and feed people leaving two self-proclaimed east Ukrainian breakaway republics once they arrived in southern Russia.

Russian-backed separatists announced the sudden surprise evacuation of their regions earlier on Friday, a shock turn in a conflict the West believes Moscow plans to use to justify an all-out invasion of its neighbour.

 
The above tweets in my post appear to be referring to this video.

CW: combat and possible casualty.




"attack"
 
How strongly committed are Russian ruling circles to the idea that the USA is a power in decline, and a federal state in the process of breaking down? There are memes floating about claiming that Russian social scientists (among others) believe that the USA is fated to go the way of the USSR (not such a daft idea, since 2016).

But does the Russian establishment, foreign policy wonks etc., actually believe this? If so, it would make sense to just keep acting the maggot on a regular basis, engaging in managed crises that rattle sabres without ever fully drawing them from their sheaths, and wait for the attendant stresses to speed their rival onwards to the dustbin of history?

E2A:

This is the 'meme' (well, blog post, more like?) I was thinking of:


Thanks for posting that. The collapse of economies and political systems has become a minor study of mine recently. The reports I've read of conditions in places like Belarus after collapse are pretty terrifying. This article makes some good points, mainly that civilizations reach a point of complexity that can't be maintained. Once a number of stresses occur that overwhelm the level of complexity, you get collapse. That does seem to be something that we're seeing in the US.


Their prediction is that if the US collapses, given how interwoven the world economy has become, it will be a world-wide collapse, rather than a localized one. I expect to be off the planet in 40-50 years, so it can wait until then as far as I'm concerned.
 
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Just the right time for a nuclear drill tomorrow overseen by Putin and Lukashenko. Meetings between Bliken / Lavrov next week still going ahead unless further escalation.

Still don't think full blown invasion is on the cards, but we're now in the "events quickly spiralled out of control" territory.
 


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Just the right time for a nuclear drill tomorrow overseen by Putin and Lukashenko. Meetings between Bliken / Lavrov next week still going ahead unless further escalation.

Still don't think full blown invasion is on the cards, but we're now in the "events quickly spiralled out of control" territory.


I long ago concluded that national governments are nothing more than elaborate protection rackets. Once in a while, they have to bust a few knee caps to keep everyone scared and in line.
 
The videos announcing the evacuations today were actually filmed 2 days ago, so very obviously planned.

(worth reading the thread)

And now this:


I disagree with the fella saying they're stupid. They aren't, they just don't care because from what I understand this sort of thing just (metadata gotchas) doesn't register back in Mother Russia.
 
I think spitfire is right - if you look at Russian Int/covert action cover stories over the last decade or so (think Salisbury, and as many others as you like) it's actually pretty crap - they simply have no interest in covering their tracks in the outside world, it's simply about the internal audience.

Russian fieldcraft was always good. If they are being laughably indiscreet it's because they're choosing to be.
 
I think spitfire is right - if you look at Russian Int/covert action cover stories over the last decade or so (think Salisbury, and as many others as you like) it's actually pretty crap - they simply have no interest in covering their tracks in the outside world, it's simply about the internal audience.

Russian fieldcraft was always good. If they are being laughably indiscreet it's because they're choosing to be.

Not sure about this last bit - the problem with having a rep for years and years is that eventually you get to a point where stupid people take over but everyone assumes for a while that their ineptitude is planned as part of a great scheme.

I mean, observing from a distance this episode and who’s they’ve gone about it doesn’t really suggest competence does it?

Yes, he might have something mad up his sleeve like getting Orban to quit NATO and the EU, get Trump to defect or release everyone’s internet search history but it’s perhaps as likely that he is yet another old powerful man surrounded by advisors who don’t tell him how shit his idea is.
 
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