Week One: "The Farce of Rishi Sunak"
Week Two: "Labour vs Labour"
Week Three: "The Rise (... again) of Nigel Farage"
Heaven knows what comes next.
It hides the fact his brain is pickled in whiskyNot sure why he loves that hat so much
Week 4: A poll is going to show Reform on a higher national %age than the Conservatives.
That's what mad nads thinks.
No chance of it happening then.
Just when you think they've hit bottom, you realise they still haven'tI think there is a significant chance it will happen, even though I'd normally discount or ignore anything that Dorries says.
Yes, its one of the main things they fiddle with as the polling goes on.Do polling organisations take into account a party's ability to get the vote out on the day?
It might possibly reduce their majority to merely being in (high) double figures.Horrible thought - but what if significant numbers of Reform supporters actually end up voting Tory? Is that beyond the realms of possibility? It would seriously fuck Labour up.
going by the polls - even if every REfuker went tory (which wont happen) - labour would probably still win a majority. The resurfacing of the Farge turd in the electoral toilet bowl will likely see the Refuk vote hold up - i still doubt they will get more than 10% though.Horrible thought - but what if significant numbers of Reform supporters actually end up voting Tory? Is that beyond the realms of possibility? It would seriously fuck Labour up.
The Conservatives underlined their indifference to universities’ financial plight by announcing last week that, if re-elected, they would pass a law permitting the Office for Students to close “rip-off” courses with high dropout rates, low job progression and low earnings potential. The party estimated that it could save nearly £900 million this way, which it would use to create 100,000 new apprenticeships. The Conservative-supporting Daily Mail said this could amount to one in eight courses being closed, currently taken by 130,000 students.
The Labour Party described the plan as “laughable”, but the party has made no announcements on university funding and, on the ground in the sector, and especially in England, there is a growing fear that Braverman and her ilk could get their wish regardless of the election result. The sense of crisis around university finances is growing as the impact of the long-running freeze in the fee cap is exacerbated by high inflation and signs of falling international recruitment amid tightened visa policy.
What would happen if a UK university went bankrupt?
No British public university has ever had to close its doors, but funding pressures are leading to vast numbers of redundancies and fuelling dire warnings that some institutions are close to the edge. So what would a collapse actually mean for students, staff and wider economies? John Morgan reportswww.timeshighereducation.com
Young persons railcard is £30 ...that's quite the discount for doing national serviceNine quid. What a ridiculously patronising wanker.
It seems - thinking back to the GE's that I can remember - polls tend to over-estimate the Labour vote. So I always knock a bit off - and then when you consider that much of the Reform support now probably won't translate into actual votes on the day - or into votes for the Tories - I think it might end up being quite close. Which is ridiculous when you consider how absolutely shit the Tories have been.It might possibly reduce their majority to merely being in (high) double figures.
Within seconds, kieth will have it down to £20.99.Nine quid. What a ridiculously patronising wanker.
Dead Cat Bounce save this particular deceased feline is weighted down with concrete blocks.The government, whoever they are, usually receive a 'bounce' the closer the election gets because we are a truly conservative country that hates change.
This may be the first GE in my memory where that doesn't happen. It still might. But they are so shit it's hard to see where any bounce will come from.
Dead Cat Bounce save this particular deceased feline is weighted down with concrete blocks.
Are you are that's not some fiendish propaganda from Tory Central Office?Reform even going in at 5% is a huge problem for many Conservative seats.
Anyway here is a nice election swing page
2024 General Election Predictor with Tactical Voting
livedataoxford.shinyapps.io
I've already gone into at least 2 elections with plans to celebrate a Tory defeat - and its turned into a misery fest instead. So I'm extremely cautious about polls. Yes you would think the better ones would be more accurate by now but i just think that polling is little better than educated guess work - even these days.
As a matter of interest, which ones? The last election I can remember where the polls got it badly wrong was 1992, where a Labour win was widely expected.I've already gone into at least 2 elections with plans to celebrate a Tory defeat - and its turned into a misery fest instead. So I'm extremely cautious about polls. Yes you would think the better ones would be more accurate by now but i just think that polling is little better than educated guess work - even these days.
I can see it as early as next weekNo chance of it happening then.
That didn't happen in 2017. Even a week before, May was predicted a majority by most polls iirc. Things got better for Labour by the day.The government, whoever they are, usually receive a 'bounce' the closer the election gets because we are a truly conservative country that hates change.
This may be the first GE in my memory where that doesn't happen. It still might. But they are so shit it's hard to see where any bounce will come from.
Probably wishful thinking then as I was a Labour Party member for the ones i can remember, where i thought Labour would win. I remember the candidate had bought champagne for us to celebrate with in 1987 and we ended up drinking it just so we could get through all the bad news that was coming in.As a matter of interest, which ones? The last election I can remember where the polls got it badly wrong was 1992, where a Labour win was widely expected.
1997, 2001 and 2005 were all predicted to be Labour wins and so it proved.
Nobody was expecting a Labour win in 2010 or 2015.
2017 and 2019 were both predicted to be Tory wins (although 2017 in my view was showing a clear trend towards a hung Parliament).
I've already gone into at least 2 elections with plans to celebrate a Tory defeat - and its turned into a misery fest instead. So I'm extremely cautious about polls. Yes you would think the better ones would be more accurate by now but i just think that polling is little better than educated guess work - even these days.