The 2024 UK General Election - news, speculation and updates

[Pickman's model]

I don't know about the student vote thing. Seems to me that term time vote= students voting predominantly in seats the Tories have no chance in, whereas summer vote = student vote spread out all over including in marginals.

I mean I'm not saying that isn't their thinking, just that if it is it looks like a bad idea.

have you heard of postal votes, which students may avail themselves of if they wish to vote in their term-time constituency when they're not there?

 

[moochedit]

I've had one email and three SMS texts from Labour since 5pm - two asking for money, and two asking for volunteers. Disappointedly it seems they aren't making my constituency - Wyre Forest - a priority, but want help in Worcester, Wolverhampton, and Coventry.

Not sure why coventry is so urgent. The tories were close last time in 2 of the seats due to brexit but i'd be amazed if labour lost this time round in any of the 3 cov seats. Would have thought there were other priorities.

 

[BusLanes]

He must have a deal with Reform

 

[brogdale]

He must have a deal with Reform

I dunno; the reported anger from the right of his party would suggest precisely the opposite, tbh.

 

[kebabking]

Führage isn't standing - he fully supports Tice and Anderson, but his focus is in the US.

Yes, this will help the Tories.

 

[moochedit]

Führage isn't standing - he fully supports Tice and Anderson, but his focus is in the US.

Yes, this will help the Tories.

Bottled it again

Does he think anyone in america cares what he thinks?

 

[moochedit]

Holiday booked

 

[Silas Loom]

Holiday booked

There’s more money for grifters in Washington than in Westminster. Working holiday.

 

[moochedit]

There’s more money for grifters in Washington than in Westminster. Working holiday.

No i meant i've booked the friday off but you are probably right!

 

[moochedit]

Also if Farage stands then i think ofcom rules would stop him presenting his gb news show during the election? Vaguely remember reading that somewhere? Guess that applies to rees-mogg as well.

 

[Kaka Tim]

I think some of the ReFuk vote was always going to slide back to the vermin - and farage sitting this out will be a relief. But - and I think there's some research to back this up - the tories will still struggle to gain 5% points from refuk. A large chunk of the gammon vote utterly hate the tories - even more so than they do labour. And some of their voters may go to labour. Tories are currently polling in the low 20s - I think a 30% vote share is the most they can realistically expect.

 

[brogdale]

I think some of the ReFuk vote was always going to slide back to the vermin - and farage sitting this out will be a relief. But - and I think there's some research to back this up - the tories will still struggle to gain 5% points from refuk. A large chunk of the gammon vote utterly hate the tories - even more so than they do labour. And some of their voters may go to labour. Tories are currently polling in the low 20s - I think a 30% vote share is the most they can realistically expect.

I think that's right; the hatred that comes from perceived betrayal is a strong motivator for the gammons. They really thought 'their referendum vote' would put an end to the brown people coming here.

 

[weepiper]

Calling it for the first week of the Scottish school holidays is a bit of a cunt's trick. Lots of people will already have holidays away booked.

 

[Chz]

I'm just hoping that the Tory backbenchers actually follow through on their attempt to oust Sunak before the election even happens. I don't think it will work, but it will be delicious to watch it in action.
And if they did somehow pull it off, that's one crack-fuelled goat rodeo I want to watch.

 

[brogdale]

Calling it for the first week of the Scottish school holidays is a bit of a cunt's trick. Lots of people will already have holidays away booked.

But hardly any pensioners in the borders will have.

 

[brogdale]

But, tbf, I don't suppose the panicked vermin even gave Scotland or its holiday dates a first thought

 

[Kaka Tim]

I think that's right; the hatred that comes from perceived betrayal is a strong motivator for the gammons. They really thought 'their referendum vote' would put an end to the brown people coming here.

Also - Sunak has just confirmned that there will be no Rwanada flights until after the election. Cant imagine that is going to win may people over in ReFuk land where they already see him as an duplicitous blowhard who will backslide at the first opportunity.
and another example of Sunaks ability to shoot himself in the foot.

 

[weepiper]

But, tbf, I don't suppose the panicked vermin even gave Scotland or its holiday dates a first thought

Business as usual then

 

[Pickman's model]

Führage isn't standing - he fully supports Tice and Anderson, but his focus is in the US.

Yes, this will help the Tories.

more like his focus is on the $$

 

[rubbershoes]

Tories are currently polling in the low 20s - I think a 30% vote share is the most they can realistically expect.

Not the same as number of seats though.

 

[Dogsauce]

ReFuk are Putin-adjacent so the bots will be swarming to their aid. Their vote isn’t going anywhere, they will see it as a stepping stone to becoming a more viable opposition party, like Le Pen/AFD etc.

 

[moochedit]

ReFuk are Putin-adjacent so the bots will be swarming to their aid. Their vote isn’t going anywhere, they will see it as a stepping stone to becoming a more viable opposition party, like Le Pen/AFD etc.

They are not going to win seats under fptp and will take more votes from the tories than labour so i say bring it on

 

[Kaka Tim]

Not the same as number of seats though.

No - but tactical voting will work agasint them there as well. 200 seats probably best they can hope for.

 

[Bahnhof Strasse]

The level of Doublethink going on here...

 

[MickiQ]

The next big decision for me is over which Marx Brothers movie to watch after Mrs Q has gone to bed whilst I am waiting for the results to start coming in. I have the complete set and will probably go for Duck Soup the ultimate commentary on the foolishness of politicians.

 

[brogdale]

Shit crowd for the Rainham Road End.
COYG!

 

[kebabking]

The level of Doublethink going on here...

It's Trumpian - that's where a solid slice of the CP is, and as ever, it's important to understand that Trumpism isn't just about this or that sweep of policies, it's about how you operate.

It's not about a bizarre cherry-picked, incoherent political standpoint, it's about being all of the things, all of the time.

Schrödingers politics.

 

[A380]

It sounded like he used pretty intense sound compression to have maximum impact.

Noticeable you are able to trundle that size of black boxes along Whitehall without being tasered, presumably a euro umbrella and beer fed countenance is enough to convince the peelers one is not carrying things that go bang.

One of the loons* on Conservative Home was calling for the whole of Whitehall to be closed to anyone but people who work in Government party members of the government because of this guy…

(* Boringly there aren’t many loons on today. Just lots of Tories saying how fucked they are.)


*

 

[Voley]

The level of Doublethink going on here...

Oh that's brilliant. It's so stupid it's almost genius.

 

[A380]

You think things can't get worse and then Genny lecs comes along and you think maybe an asteroid.
View attachment 425585

Can a passing mod change this thread title to

Jenny Lecs please.