If Trump could generate some energy, the fact all the polls show early voters to be overwhelmingly democrat could perhaps galvanise a mass republican turnout on the day. No evidence for it, but covid early voting is of course unprecedented and so unpredictable. Some of JTG's numbers are undeniable, though - they show higher turnout than last time in certain areas, and that's bad for Trump.
There's a lot to suggest that he may. Rapidly changing and growing suburban counties that swung heavily (10-15 points) from Trump in '16 to O'Rourke in '18. Those same counties have universally exceeded 100% of their 2016 vote already.
Sure. I was being as generous as possible to DT while still addressing the data as it stands and Joe Biden still gets to 270 without winning any of the really vague calls and losing PA. He's winning, that's it.
I note that Trump continued with his Covid denialism at rallies in Wisconsin this week - just as it's sweeping the upper Midwest again. Sure that'll go down well
He's in Arizona today after abandoning his supporters in the middle of nowhere in Omaha last night
The Lincoln Project think Trump could win a third term
I think it may have done but doesnt quite get the point
The Lincoln Project think Trump could win a third term
The Lincoln Project think Trump could win a third term
www.forbes.com
Excellent, they guessedTrump By A Landslide In Texas? Early Voting Numbers Are Diverging Strongly From The Polls
NBC News has created a useful early voting resource that tracks (early voting)... using TargetSmart’s analysis to infer partisan leanings... What it tells us doesn’t match what we’re hearing from the pollsters—who continue to insist that Texas is turning blue, or at least a little purplish.
Article written by a Republican member who works for a conservative think tank. Huge pinch of salt.Trump By A Landslide In Texas? Early Voting Numbers Are Diverging Strongly From The Polls
NBC News has created a useful early voting resource that tracks (early voting)... using TargetSmart’s analysis to infer partisan leanings... What it tells us doesn’t match what we’re hearing from the pollsters—who continue to insist that Texas is turning blue, or at least a little purplish.
Pinch of salt maybe. I really, really hope they're wrong. But I'm bored of us all getting our hopes up for elections and then having them dashed.
There's been a fair bit of this sort of crap around, trying to devine who's ahead, especially in states with no party registration. It's pretty pointless tbh
Well find more credible sources for your pessimism then
Looked up that author's organisation, the lovely Texas Public Policy Foundation. Among its many missions, it seeks to "explain the forgotten moral case for fossil fuels"Trump By A Landslide In Texas? Early Voting Numbers Are Diverging Strongly From The Polls
NBC News has created a useful early voting resource that tracks (early voting)... using TargetSmart’s analysis to infer partisan leanings... What it tells us doesn’t match what we’re hearing from the pollsters—who continue to insist that Texas is turning blue, or at least a little purplish.
you never do though.
