coley
Well-Known Member
On Losing Struggle Military Power in an Age of Raiding
Any sensible threat assessment starts from capability of adversaries and then looks to intent. Russian capability always loomed large. There was just an assumption Russia was a permanently beaten down power that could be arrogantly shoved about like Iran. Russia was "a 3rd world country with oil and ICBMs" was a common opinion in 2012. The worst thing we had to worry about was puny but scary Salafi-Jihadis staging the odd murder raid.
Trump even tries to ignore a very dangerous to its neighbours, deranged, North Korea with its nukes because it spoils this clash of civilisations fairytale world. He pushes against China on trade confident they'll back down. The Chinese are the only power with much influence over NorK.
Trump clearly does not share Romney's 2012 position on Russia. What's amusing here is the smugly self blinkered British government fixated on terrorism didn't agree with Romney either a few years ago. That didn't survive a naive Obama being very publicly confronted by Russia that really wasn't afraid to push its luck and close down US options in Syria. An ice bucket challenge for the British security establishment.
This sort of delusional wishful thinking is very common. In a quarter century from the triumphalist Unipolar Moment in 91, via great disappointment in Baghdad to Trump's whiny American Carnage that just assumes Russia will makes nice and China will bend over for him.
Excellent article, but no links to who wrote it?