So, Starmer has been down here in West Sussex to deliver his first key-note speech of the election, in Lancing (Worthing East and Shoreham constituency), and now I can see why he chose West Sussex for this 'launch'.
I knew both the Worthing seats, plus Crawley were likely to switch to Labour, and OMG I must be bored, as I've just checked all the constituencies, and I am a bit taken back with the idea that they could at least take Chichester as well, and blimey is it tight in the other four seats too!
There're 8 parliamentary constituencies in West Sussex, currently all held by the Tories, however according to the
electoral calculus site predictions they are likely to lose at least 4 to Labour, and with a bit of tactical voting from LDs switching to Labour, the other 4 seats could go that way too!
Arundel and South Downs - Tory win, not sure why, as they have them on 48% chance of winning, against Labour on 49%.
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton - Tory win - 52% chance, Labour 46%.
Horsham - Tory win - 34% chance, Labour 34%, LDs 32%
Mid Sussex - Tory win - 40% chance, Labour 36%, LDs 24%
Chichester - Labour win - 75% chance.
Crawley - Labour win - 94% chance.
Worthing East and Shoreham - Labour win - 97% chance.
Worthing West - Labour win - 84% chance.