The 2024 UK General Election - news, speculation and updates

[teuchter]

Tory 22 labour 44 (apols if already posted. Do we have a polling thread by the way? Thought we did but can't find it)

Voting Intention: Con 22%, Lab 44% (23-24 May 2024) | YouGov

Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention figures

yougov.co.uk

Guessing there will be loads of polls out in next few days.

One noticeable change we have observed, however, is a five point increase in the proportion of people rating their likelihood to vote as a 10 out of 10, from 53% prior to the election announcement to 58% now.

This includes a full 17pt increase in the number of 18-24 year olds saying they are certain to vote. In our poll on Tuesday 35% of this age group had rated themselves 10/10 to vote, now it stands at 52%.

 

[moochedit]

REFUK 15%.

Mostly disgrunted tory voters presumably, but fuck me. They'll be trying to frame the agenda again, presumably.

If it splits the tory vote then it's probably not a bad thing. I doubt any of them will get elected.

 

[gosub]

I can't agree Sunak is doing well, he's been hopeless, just one inflation figure to help him out.

I do agree Starmer was terrible on Today. I was driving to work and it was so bad, especially when he got to the 2 child cap, I had to turn it off.

All you have to is wait a year and an inflation spike falls off the figures

 

[Puddy_Tat]

If it splits the tory vote then it's probably not a bad thing. I doubt any of them will get elected.

dunno really.

UKIP never got anyone elected (at westminster at least) but arguably had an influence in the conservative party turning more far-right.

which in turn pulled the labour 'centrists' in to triangulating further right.

faintly worrying that there's a significant minority who think the current bunch of tory twunts aren't right-wing enough...

 

[gosub]

Chris Greyling is standing down.


On past form probably get reelected by accident

 

[moochedit]

dunno really.

UKIP never got anyone elected (at westminster at least) but arguably had an influence in the conservative party turning more far-right.

which in turn pulled the labour 'centrists' in to triangulating further right.

faintly worrying that there's a significant minority who think the current bunch of tory twunts aren't right-wing enough...

Yeah long term that is true.

 

[gosub]

dunno really.

UKIP never got anyone elected (at westminster at least) but arguably had an influence in the conservative party turning more far-right.

which in turn pulled the labour 'centrists' in to triangulating further right.

faintly worrying that there's a significant minority who think the current bunch of tory twunts aren't right-wing enough...

Dead ringers had a decent bit last night with Caroline Lucas pondering why she, an elected MP had had less media time over the years than Nigel Farage

 

[Silas Loom]

Chris Greyling is standing down.


On past form probably get reelected by accident

Announced that last year - ill health.

 

[Raheem]

Announced that last year - ill health.

Chris Ailing

 

[brogdale]

Do we have a polling thread by the way? Thought we did but can't find it)

It's here.
Been ticking over, but I guess it'll get a bit more interest over the next 6 weeks?

 

[brogdale]

On the subject of polling, for those less familiar with the polling chatter, the Politico poll of polls tracker is quite a good page to bookmark.

eg. last 3 years:

 

[PR1Berske]

The rumour mill is starting up that Boris is considering standing in Michael Gove's former seat.

 

[littlebabyjesus]

If it splits the tory vote then it's probably not a bad thing. I doubt any of them will get elected.

None of them will be elected. But they exert a disproportionate influence despite almost never being elected.

 

[JimW]

Sunak should defect to Labour, no one will see that coming.

 

[moochedit]

It's here.
Been ticking over, but I guess it'll get a bit more interest over the next 6 weeks?

Cheers. Posted it there now.

 

[Silas Loom]

The rumour mill is starting up that Boris is considering standing in Michael Gove's former seat.

That would definitely secure Surrey Heath for the LDs. Johnson needs somewhere much more Brexity.

 

[littlebabyjesus]

First election leaflets through today. From Andrew Feinstein.

Nothing from the major parties yet. This is a safe Labour seat and usually none of the parties bothers to canvas here.

About Andrew Feinstein - OCISA

It's a good plan. Let's see how far he can get and whether the apathy of the rest will continue.

 

[teqniq]

I see they are predictably backing Galloway but also Chris Williamson - not a good look imo:

 

[Pickman's model]

I see they are predictably backing Galloway but also Chris Williamson - not a good look imo:

Captain Yvonne Ridley is something of an oddity

 

[Zapp Brannigan]

The rumour mill is starting up that Boris is considering standing in Michael Gove's former seat.

Boris has still got a parliamentary suspension to serve, hasn't he? Elected, suspended, recalled, voted out. The ultimate humiliation for the ultimate scarecrow stuffed with custard.

 

[stavros]

Boris has still got a parliamentary suspension to serve, hasn't he? Elected, suspended, recalled, voted out. The ultimate humiliation for the ultimate scarecrow stuffed with custard.

Yes, I had presumed PR1Berske was referring to the disgraced former PM.

And yes, as far as I know the suspension continues to stand into such time as he is re-elected, and quite possibly if some dickhead puts him in the Lords too.

 

[Wilf]

National service, say what?

 

[Silas Loom]

Monkey tennis

 

[Kevbad the Bad]

National service, say what?

Bring back hanging! And fox hunting!

 

[PR1Berske]

National service, say what?

Feels like the first result to come from today's "Rishi is tired and just needs a rest" period. What can they say to prove how truly Conservative they really are? National Service! Goes down well with traditionalists, people are always telling phone ins and Question Time about 'kids today' not having any discipline. Perfect headline grabber. Tories can now say that your teen can enjoy all the delights of being put on the treadmill of the local cadets, and they get to please the neighborhood watch types.

 

[ddraig]

Proper lolled at national service!! trolling now

 

[Silas Loom]

Yes, and ho!

 

[PR1Berske]

 

[Wilf]

Feels like the first result to come from today's "Rishi is tired and just needs a rest" period. What can they say to prove how truly Conservative they really are? National Service! Goes down well with traditionalists, people are always telling phone ins and Question Time about 'kids today' not having any discipline. Perfect headline grabber. Tories can now say that your teen can enjoy all the delights of being put on the treadmill of the local cadets, and they get to please the neighborhood watch types.

Doubt the NHS army and the rest are on board with this nonsense.

 

[Silas Loom]

Doubt the NHS army and the rest are on board with this nonsense.

Wouldn’t be surprised to see a chief constable or a general going on record tomorrow to say they simply don’t have the manpower to babysit peevish conscripts and there’s nothing useful they can do.