The 2024 UK General Election - news, speculation and updates

[ska invita]

Maybe, but seeing as Brexit is ultimately the cause of the current disintegration of the vermin largely determining the outcome of this GE, it still looks like a relevant polling cross-break to me. Added to which, as a cross-break criteria, it still yields significantly different polling findings.

Also Reform are UKIP

 

[The39thStep]

Which politicians will release photos of them watching the England game tomorrow?

 

[Puddy_Tat]

two communications through the door from the lib dems this morning (so that's at least 3 this week)

one has "to make sure the conservatives are beaten vote tactically (big letters on red background) vote lib dem (big letters on yellow background)"

LDs would be an ideal and useful check on Starmer. PMQs would be meaningful, for once.

with or without ed davey performing acrobatic stunts on the front bench?

 

[Silas Loom]

With, naturally.

 

[TopCat]

Which politicians will release photos of them watching the England game tomorrow?

Wearing Stone Island

 

[gosub]

Which politicians will release photos of them watching the England game tomorrow?

Turns out it was cheaper for tax payers to pay for his jolly than have him watch it on ipad

 

[Wilf]

eric idle is still sound though

Yes, got a feeling he hates Cleese?

 

[tim]

I think not. We've adopted the American trait of putting people into boxes and that's hard to reverse.

Yes, once the fire doors are shut and the flames start charring the wood, reversing is pointless.

 

[MickiQ]

I still haven't seen a single party sign yet around here. There is a massive walled house a couple of miles away that has always had a big Vote Conservative sign at all previous elections but even they haven't put anything up this time. Had leaflets from Labour, Tory and the Frog Liberation Front.

 

[Leafster]

I still haven't seen a single party sign yet around here. There is a massive walled house a couple of miles away that has always had a big Vote Conservative sign at all previous elections but even they haven't put anything up this time. Had leaflets from Labour, Tory and the Frog Liberation Front.

No posters up here either. I've only had one leaflet through the door so far (LibDem).

However, I've just been to an event where the Tory and LibDem candidates were in attendance (the other candidates were invited but I didn't see them).

I saw the Tory talking to a few people but she left before I did. Not sure she went anywhere near the Extinction Rebellion stand though

Had a very quick chat to the LibDem candidate before she went to listen to a talk on Fast Fashion. She was still milling around (in the rain) when I left.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Also Reform are UKIP

UKIP is still going, and funny enough are standing against Farage.

 

[brogdale]

UKIP is still going, and funny enough are standing against Farage.

Splitters!

 

[Bingoman]

Which politicians will release photos of them watching the England game tomorrow?

Sunak unless he think he is watching wales

 

[Kid_Eternity]

Also Reform are UKIP

UKIP still exist. Reform is a company that Farage is the majority shareholder in and was called the Brexit Party.

 

[Sue]

UKIP still exist. Reform is a company that Farage is the majority shareholder in and was called the Brexit Party.

So what're the differences policy-wise between UKIP and Reform? (If anyone can be arsed to give me the highlights...)

 

[cupid_stunt]

No posters up here either. I've only had one leaflet through the door so far (LibDem).

However, I've just been to an event where the Tory and LibDem candidates were in attendance (the other candidates were invited but I didn't see them).

I saw the Tory talking to a few people but she left before I did. Not sure she went anywhere near the Extinction Rebellion stand though

Had a very quick chat to the LibDem candidate before she went to listen to a talk on Fast Fashion. She was still milling around (in the rain) when I left.

It's a bit surreal around here, it used to be a safe Tory seat, and it was very rare to see any posters at all, been into Worthing this morning and there're loads of Labour posters up, didn't see any for any other party.

In my village, I've had one flyer each from the Tories & LDs, four from Labour, it would have been five if I was out when a Labour canvasser called, I declined that flyer as I'll voting Labour anyway, no other canvassers.

I've got to say I am impressed with how hard Labour is working the area, considering last time they simply weren't on the radar at all.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Lots of green signs round here in my bit of Bristol Central (though would be surprised if there wasn’t given they’ve had all three local council seats for a decade or so), but not hugely confident of a Green victory. Although local results went their way across the city, there is a much broader range of people voting in a General, including those less politically engaged who might not even know that it’s in play. Plus Labour majority last time was huge, but likely many enthused by Corbyn who will switch easily to green.

I was in the room at the Green Party conference last year when they announced they would be targeting just four seats, and throwing everything they've got at those four, they seemed most confident of hanging onto their Brighton seat, despite Caroline Lucas standing down, and Bristol Central mainly due to their success in the council elections, boundary changes, and the feedback on the doorsteps.

I've just checked the electoral calculus site, their predication is that the Greens have a 86% chance of winning there.

 

[rasputin]

So what're the differences policy-wise between UKIP and Reform? (If anyone can be arsed to give me the highlights...)

As of 2017, Ukip had a policy to create an inter-stellar nano-probe fleet to start mining asteroids.

 

[Sue]

As of 2017, Ukip had a policy to create an inter-stellar nano-probe fleet to start mining asteroids.

I'd vote for that.

 

[Silas Loom]

… by 2026.

 

[Dogsauce]

The only good ones are schadenfreude tbh.

I want something that surpasses 1997. We all need that hit.

 

[quiet guy]

I still haven't seen a single party sign yet around here. There is a massive walled house a couple of miles away that has always had a big Vote Conservative sign at all previous elections but even they haven't put anything up this time. Had leaflets from Labour, Tory and the Frog Liberation Front.

There's one house on the edge of the village with a Labour placard in the garden. So far no canvassing material through the door, not even from Mark Fletcher the Tory scum incumbent

 

[chilango]

Surpringly little here, given how much there is for the locals. A couple of Labour placards, a couple of Green posters.

I guess both parties are focussed elsewhere as it's forecast as safe Labour.

We did get a Tory brochure through today. Very, very bland. Mostly potholes.

 

[belboid]

our next door neighbour has had a Vote Labour poster up in his window since the local elections.

He just took it down.

 

[kebabking]

The only Tory poster I've seen in my constituency - 20k Tory majority - is on the wall of the constituency party office.

I've seen 100+ houses with labour posters in the windows of Bewdley - the poshest town in the constituency - population 10k. Not one Tory poster.

My village has about 150 houses - four with labour posters, 2 LD, 3 Green.

 

[ska invita]

UKIP still exist. Reform is a company that Farage is the majority shareholder in and was called the Brexit Party.

Okay but this is like the SDP still existing, the latest Farage outfit is for all practical purposes continuity UKIP ( which is partly why Remain Leave has some traction)

 

[Smangus]

Just had my own Portillo moment, waiting at Paddington to get a train to Morton and the man himself sat 2 seats away from me. He looked considerably draber than his normal pastel festooned TV self.

 

[strung out]

I simply cannot see a shift of that magnitude. Even in 2017 when they did better they were still a distant second to the Tories whose majority has massively icreased since theytook the seat in 2010. If anyone is likely to unseat them it would be the previous incumbents, the libdems who held the seat for a while before. I just don't see it

The seat has lost a lot of the most Tory rural wards due to boundary changes. It’s going Labour.

 

[two sheds]

I see Useless Eustace isn't standing, doubtless to spend more time with some nice consultancies. Interested to see whether Labour takes Redruth & Camborne - 36% vs 53%.

 

[Flavour]

The important question: will George Galloway keep his seat? If farage wins in clacton will they become bezzie mates in the commons?