Pickman's model
Starry Wisdom
thank you for admitting - albeit tacitly - the complete vacuity of your position.I tell you what,Pickman's, why dont you give us your take on these election results? I'm sure people can't wait for your analysis.
thank you for admitting - albeit tacitly - the complete vacuity of your position.I tell you what,Pickman's, why dont you give us your take on these election results? I'm sure people can't wait for your analysis.
On Tories making inroads into leave or labour areas this is worth a look :From Mathew Goodwin :
Some of the more notable Tory advances:
Dudley -70% Leave
Nuneaton 65% Leave
Peterborough -62% Leave
Epping Forest -61% Leave
Basildon -67% Leave
Havant -62% Leave
Amber Valley -65% Leave
Bolton -60%ish Leave
Castle Point -73% Leave
Cannock Chase -69% Leave
Still waiting for your take.thank you for admitting - albeit tacitly - the complete vacuity of your position.
you show no sign of answering the questions i asked you and until you do so i am not going to respond to your demands for my analysis.Still waiting for your take.
Interestingly the Labour woman on five live said much the same as me, Labour were connecting with metropolitan voters but not in smaller towns in eg the East and West Midlands.
But then I suppose people who use words like 'vacuity' listen to Five Live, or understand the demographic that Labour seems to be failing with.
What questions are you so desparate to know the answer to?you show no sign of answering the questions i asked you and until you do so i am not going to respond to your demands for my analysis.
Automatic no, but estimates from polling had 45-57+% of UKIPs 2015 GE vote going Tory in the 2017 GE.I also don't buy the general belief that the Tories are automatic beneficiaries of a collapse in the UKIP vote,
the ones i asked youWhat questions are you so desparate to know the answer to?
And what % to Labour, does it say?Automatic no, but estimates from polling had 40-50+% of UKIPs 2015 GE vote going Tory in the 2017 GE.
11% according to YouGov, 18% Ashcroft.And what % to Labour, does it say?
You see I think Labour can do better than that. Obviously some kippers we don't want, but a sizable minority should be natural Labour voters who could be key in future.11% according to YouGov, 18% Ashcroft.
(((((labour party)))))So you're a member of the Labour party now?
No. I'm (or was) a registered supporter. I don't know if they still do that?So you're a member of the Labour party now?
The Conservatives have gained control in more councils than they have lost. Conservatives +6 councils, two lost to NOC and one to Labour, so nett, +3.
It doesn't say how many councils have still to declare though.
21% turnout in my ward - the results aren't up yet as I gather they're counting this afternoon.
21% turnout in my ward - the results aren't up yet as I gather they're counting this afternoon.
That's not quite right. They've lost LB Richmond to the lib dems.
That is appalling.
still plenty of ukip councillors. Not everywhere was even up for election last night, and most that were only had a third of their councillors up.I hope this means we'll stop seeing UKIP spokespeople on TV given you can get all their councillors in an Uber.
i saw you chucking - delivering - tory leaflets into the canalWell well. Our Labour candidate won by over 400 votes. I thought he would make gains but never thought he would win not sure how long this has been a safe Tory seat but am told over a decade
ETA: Had been Tory for 21 years
I am taking full credit for delivering leaflets
vernon williams' manifesto was a fucking messHackney mayoral election result just in:
"Phil Glanville, Labour: 42,645
Imtiyaz Lunat, Conservative: 7,183
Alastair Binnie-Lubbock, Green: 6,774
Pauline Pearce, Lib Dems: 4,846
Harini Iyengar, Women's Equality Party: 2,659
Vernon Williams: 577
Turnout was 36.9pc"
the Women's Equality Party didn't do badly