Dogsauce
I’ve got Skol but I’m not a Scholar
I don't think low turnout would have any effect on opinion polling would it?
I'm not arguing the swing hasn't happened, or that Corbyn & Abbott aren't widely loathed by much of the trad Labour base: I'm just wondering why this swing has happened since January - what's made all those people jump now instead of last June?
I reckon the skripal/Syria stuff will have had an effect - very easy to paint Corbyn as a dithering pinko who’s soft on ‘our enemies’, he’s just come across as a bit muddled on both these events, ‘waiting for evidence’ isn’t a strong populist line. I just hope we don’t get any ratcheting up of bellicose rhetoric by the tories to exploit this.