Who will win the 2024 US election?

[Sasaferrato]

At least now there is a real choice. Who could have voted for either Biden or Trump?

I dare say Biden is a decent enough bloke, but the decline in both his physical and mental capacity was becoming very obvious. Given his age, little wonder.

 

[krtek a houby]

At least now there is a real choice. Who could have voted for either Biden or Trump?

I dare say Biden is a decent enough bloke, but the decline in both his physical and mental capacity was becoming very obvious. Given his age, little wonder.

You don't do too badly for someone born several centuries ago

 

[Sasaferrato]

You don't do too badly for someone born several centuries ago

True, but I wouldn't class myself as having the physical ability anymore to be a senior politician.

 

[Sasaferrato]

OK. I've got off the fence, I think Trump will win, but it will be the narrowest possible victory.

 

[Ax^]

At least now there is a real choice. Who could have voted for either Biden or Trump?

I dare say Biden is a decent enough bloke, but the decline in both his physical and mental capacity was becoming very obvious. Given his age, little wonder.

compared to trump?


at an age yourself sass would you say trump is in prime condition physically and mentally

 

[weltweit]

It goes on too long.

I am past caring who wins.

I just want the endless partisan reporting and obsessive news cycle to stop!

 

[kebabking]

compared to trump?


at an age yourself sass would you say trump is in prime condition physically and mentally

Bruv, Sass reckons that Oswald of Bebbanburgh has a bright future ahead of him if he can stop mithering about some minor flesh wounds...

 

[Wilf]

Like most people, I'm at the level of just viewing the polls and reading the news stories. But even at that level of 'analysis', there's a direction of travel towards a Trump win. There will be, pretty much as always, 'something' going on under the radar that the polls are not picking up, something in a particular state or in terms of turnout (overall or amongst specific groups). But the existence of that 'something' won't necessarily help Harris, could just as much benefit Trump. And similarly, you just don't get the sense that the Harris strategy is working, focusing on the 'threat to democracy'. It might firm up the people who were already voting for her, people deeply hostile to Trump, but that may not be enough. Ironically, if she does lose, Trump will be that threat to democracy.

 

[DotCommunist]

I think it'll be harris -usual dot based caveats apply to my thinking- but it shouldn't be this close and if it materialises as this close the election denials will be endless.

on pure selfish grounds the dems winning with harris gets me 70 quid so that may also be clouding my prognosticatory powers

 

[Jeff Robinson]

I think it's basically a coin toss isn't it?

 

[Sasaferrato]

It goes on too long.

I am past caring who wins.

I just want the endless partisan reporting and obsessive news cycle to stop!

It does, doesn't it? Effectively it is a three year term, year four is taken up with campaigning.

 

[petee]

At least now there is a real choice. Who could have voted for either Biden or Trump?

wel, i could.

 

[ohmyliver]

No idea, huge amounts of money going on a Trump win. https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election/winner

God help us.

Isn't that to bolster the 'stolen election' claims if needed/depress Harris voters?

 

[teqniq]

Bezos is scum. Who knew?

Why did Jeff Bezos kill The Washington Post's Harris endorsement?

Is billionaire Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos blocking his newspaper’s endorsement of Kamala Harris because he is afraid of Donald Trump?

articles.globalplayer.com

 

[Chz]

Bezos is scum. Who knew?

Why did Jeff Bezos kill The Washington Post's Harris endorsement?

Is billionaire Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos blocking his newspaper’s endorsement of Kamala Harris because he is afraid of Donald Trump?

articles.globalplayer.com

I'm shocked, and so is Pikachu.

 

[imposs1904]

I'm used to seeing politician's campaign posters in shopfront windows in the neighborhood but I'm not used to seeing a poster for the Party for Socialism and Liberation's Presidential candidates.

The shop's one block from my apartment.

 

[krtek a houby]

I'm used to seeing politician's campaign posters in shopfront windows in the neighborhood but I'm not used to seeing a poster for the Party for Socialism and Liberation's Presidential candidates.

The shop's one block from my apartment.

View attachment 448809

New York. My kinda town.

 

[ID47]

I'm used to seeing politician's campaign posters in shopfront windows in the neighborhood but I'm not used to seeing a poster for the Party for Socialism and Liberation's Presidential candidates.

The shop's one block from my apartment.

View attachment 448809

And glasses to drink tea out of too, what's not too like.

 

[bcuster]

This a keybstate and could turh the whole election

 

[Dogsauce]

Again, Trump is working really hard (with Musk’s PAC heavily involved) in getting out the vote and reaching people who don’t normally bother voting. Like Brexit, this is the sort of thing polling models may well be missing. I’m just hoping it’s balanced by voters motivated by abortion restrictions etc. as with the mid terms.