Well given that out we haven't beaten you in the 6N since 2014, I would say that there is a legitimate reason to be pessimistic about Saturday for us. I think also that we struggled against 10 and 14 placed teams in the world and in both games leaked tries means that we have reason to worry. Added to that depressing scenario the brilliance of Welsh play this 6N. It's recipe for singing sad mournful songs on Saturday night's lock ins up and down the country.
I too am worried, given that Tadgh Furlong is been given until Thursday morning to prove his fitness. That a game made for JvdF, is going to see either Jordi Murphy or Leavy at 7, both of whom will miss tackles. That Chris Farrell will partner Bundee Aki in the centre.
Tbh I can't call it, its a season defining game for us. You've had a loss, you've got nothing to lose (as it were) whereas we've struggled thus far. But given that we are slow starters, pulled it out of the bag against France and gave Carbery some game time in that last game that strikes me as a plus, as is the fact that both Bigger and Liam Williams can't be 100% fit. So heart overruling the brain I'd say Ireland by 3.