The Day of Reflection ended a couple of hours ago. Later today people vote and we'll know the results tonight.
I didn't notice people being especially reflective yesterday, but you never know. I hope people are a bit more thoughtful about which party to vote for than they have been over the last couple of days in their comments about the UK and the British people. I don't mind some of the stereotypes too much. We have probably earned our reputation for being stupid drunken hooligans, but if I had a euro for every time I have been told, confidently, ignorantly and with a tone of mind exasperation, that the UK is the only country in the world where people drive on the left, I'd have enough money to get pissed for a week.
In the last week before an election, opinion polls cannot be published, but lots of publications, especially online, don't like being told they can't publish this or that bit of news. Following some ingenious people who may or may not be in Andorra, the Spanish have found a way around this law. Instead of saying that their figures are from polls of Spanish voting intentions, the websites say the figures are about tourism in Andorra or the price of fruit in Andorra or some such thing. My favourite was about the best beaches in Andorra. It is 100% clear from the colours used and the figures given that the data is about Spanish voting intentions, percentages of the vote and projected number of seats.
My favourite site for opinion polls has adopted this joke/subterfuge.
Electomanía You can find the same approach used now in El Mundo and probably lots of other places.
An example (this one's about teeshirts in Andorra):
All opinion polls that I've seen predict a result not very different from the result on December 20th, but most predict that Unidos Podemos will overtake PSOE. Some of those polls predict an overtaking in votes and seats, others in votes but not necessarily in seats, as in the example above.
PSOE has been conducting a bit of (illegal?) campaigning today for its supporters to get out and vote to defeat the predicted overtaking by Unidos Podemos. The PSOE slogan, following the Andorran fruit idea, is #sorfresa: a combination of sorpresa [surprise] and fresa [strawberry].
The most interesting of the polls suggest that the sum of Unidos Podemos seats and PSOE seats will be a majority or, if not a majority, very close to half the seats in Congress. If that is the result, Sánchez and PSOE will be under great pressure (even greater pressure) to do a deal with Unidos Podemos and a lot of that pressure will be from PSOE people. However, it remains almost as difficult as ever to see how PSOE and Unidos Podemos could do a deal. The two big stumbling blocks are (i) the question of Catalans being allowed to vote on independence and (ii) important people in PSOE, including Felipe González, who would rather cut their own noses off with a rusty penknife than do a deal with Podemos.
The other option for PSOE would be to support or allow (through abstention) the formation of a PP-based right-wing government, perhaps including Ciudadanos. That would be one way of avoiding a deal with Unidos Podemos, but it is difficult to see how PSOE could survive such a decision. A chunk of PSOE supporters would see the decision as an unforgivable betrayal and shift their votes to Unidos Podemos, the remaining anti-PP party.
I almost feel sorry for Pedro Sánchez.