"I'm a lawyer specialising in divorce."Be a dear and translate that for us
I'm not at all sure about the Spanish policy of not letting people out for exercise. The mental health effects are obvious, but also elderly people who lose mobility due to lack of exercise will often not be able to recover it. There will be many earlier deaths just because of that.
Is it being debated much in Spain?
I spoke to friends in the UK yesterday. They are certain that this approach will work. They seem to think that as long as they go out on their own they cannot get or pass on the virus. They also commented on how kids being out in the streets, parks, etc was OK. I feel so sorry for them for what they are going to go through.904 dead in Madrid. There's your answer. British people who think social distancing means going for a walk on their own are in for a nasty shock in the coming days.
My brother who works in health policy thinks that tens of thousands of elderly people will die early if they are confined to their homes for months - lack of exercise and isolation both kill elderly people. He is worried that policy-makers are panicking and forgetting about other threats to people. I think if you work in health policy you are used to working with population-level numbers. A harsh winter can cause 50,000 extra deaths in the UK. From that point of view 10,000 extra dead from coronavirus shouldn't overshadow other threats, grim as it might seem.904 dead in Madrid. There's your answer. British people who think social distancing means going for a walk on their own are in for a nasty shock in the coming days.
904 dead in Madrid. There's your answer. British people who think social distancing means going for a walk on their own are in for a nasty shock in the coming days.
Actually to April 12Just been told the isolation has been extended to 29 April. Anyone able to confirm?
Because aerosol particles can last 2 to 3 hours in the air and it's a highly contagious airborne virus.Given that we're being told that it is spread through direct human contact, why would you be likely to contract Corona Virus by going for a walk on your own?
It would be hundreds of thousands not 10000. There's no way the isolation would kill as many as the virus.My brother who works in health policy thinks that tens of thousands of elderly people will die early if they are confined to their homes for months - lack of exercise and isolation both kill elderly people. He is worried that policy-makers are panicking and forgetting about other threats to people. I think if you work in health policy you are used to working with population-level numbers. A harsh winter can cause 50,000 extra deaths in the UK. From that point of view 10,000 extra dead from coronavirus shouldn't overshadow other threats, grim as it might seem.
Edit to add - I know there is a risk of hundreds of thousands of deaths with uncontrolled social contact, but just wondering if people are thinking about when diminishing returns kick in from social distancing measures.
If this were meaningfully true, rather than technically true under very specific circumstances, then social isolation, distancing and lockdown would have no effect.Because aerosol particles can last 2 to 3 hours in the air and it's a highly contagious airborne virus.
Link?If this were meaningfully true, rather than technically true under very specific circumstances, then social isolation, distancing and lockdown would have no effect.
No link. I know that in lab tests it's been shown to survive in air or on difference surfaces for given periods of time. But if under normal conditions it survives in air for significant periods of time, statistically often, such that it could be transferred on an isolated walk, then the measures being taken won't work. And they apparently do work.Link?
Measures been taken in UK or Spain? I still think it's obvious that having people walking around spreads the disease. They walk past each other, they sneeze, they touch things, they buy things. How 'isolated' can a walk be for people in a conurbation? Oh shit there's my neighbour - fucked it. Britons seem to be living pretty much as normal so far.No link. I know that in lab tests it's been shown to survive in air or on difference surfaces for given periods of time. But if under normal conditions it survives in air for significant periods of time, statistically often, such that it could be transferred on an isolated walk, then the measures being taken won't work. And they apparently do work.
I was thinking Italy has some demonstrable evidence of success.Measures been taken in UK or Spain? I still think it's obvious that having people walking around spreads the disease. They walk past each other, they sneeze, they touch things, they buy things. How 'isolated' can a walk be for people in a conurbation? Oh shit there's my neighbour - fucked it. Britons seem to be living pretty much as normal so far.
It will be extended again and again. Even the optimists think this is going to last months not weeks. I wish the restrictions had been brought in earlier.Actually to April 12
Spanish government to extend state of alarm for 15 days -
Spanish government to extend state of alarm for 15 days
I was thinking Italy has some demonstrable evidence of success.
I went for a long run in one of our large parks last week, before schools closed. I felt like maintaining at least 2m separation was entirely feasible. Now, with more people off, I don't know.
I think that the problem is that the UK government doesn't seem to be taking it seriously and so the people aren't either.Home | Blackpool Gazette
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Frotn page of my local newspaper back home has dozens of people infecting each other shoulder to shoulder outside Tesco. Britain doesn't seem to have got this yet.
I spoke to friends in the UK yesterday. They are certain that this approach will work. They seem to think that as long as they go out on their own they cannot get or pass on the virus. They also commented on how kids being out in the streets, parks, etc was OK. I feel so sorry for them for what they are going to go through.
This hasn't worked in Italy, why would it work in the UK?
It's NEVER not on.
I'm on an ERTE, too.More importantly Spanish coalition has moved to protect workers from being sacked during this crisis. Companies can apply for an ERTE (government subsidised temporary suspension) of permanent staff, but it can't sack them. This is a huge relief to me.
good point about older people and muscle wasteI'm not at all sure about the Spanish policy of not letting people out for exercise. The mental health effects are obvious, but also elderly people who lose mobility due to lack of exercise will often not be able to recover it. There will be many earlier deaths just because of that.
Is it being debated much in Spain?
I'm on an ERTE, too.
I have to fill in (or my employer has to fill in) an online form to go through the process which I hope will mean I get a little bit of money to tide me over.
Unfortunately, the form requires an expiry date for my NIE. My NIE has no expiry date. I don't know what to put. My empoyer doesn't know what to put. I cannot submit the form without putting a valid date in that field. Do you, or does your employer, know what date is required?
Given that we're being told that it is spread through direct human contact, why would you be likely to contract Corona Virus by going for a walk on your own?
what do you make of the above elbows ?Because aerosol particles can last 2 to 3 hours in the air and it's a highly contagious airborne virus.
Thanks. Yes, please let me know if your employer knows.This is an issue I've heard about before. Are you in the Comunidad de Madrid? I will ask my boss on Monday - maybe she'll know. In fact she'll have to find out because I've just seen that my NIE doesn't have an expiry date either.