Glastonbury 2007 pt1: the build-up

[bluestreak]

if there's a rumour and you lot aren't playing silly buggers can someone just tell me so i can pretend to be cool and in the know.

 

[William of Walworth]

I heard a rumour. It may have been different from the other rumour that I haven't heard, though, but that someone else's mate had ...

 

[William of Walworth]

if there's a rumour and you lot aren't playing silly buggers can someone just tell me so i can pretend to be cool and in the know.

Just pretend anyway!!

Works for me!!!

note double bluff there ...

 

[Crispy]

nobody's told me, so I think it's all a game. rumours will fly round the site anway

 

[Firky]

Sorry.

Just thought I'd start a rumour of a rumour

 

[david dissadent]

Ian Dales webblog had a post yesterday about David Cameron making an unanounced secret guest appearence at Glastonbury, but the post was taken down about an hour later.

 

[DrRingDing]

Ian Dales webblog had a post yesterday about David Cameron making an unanounced secret guest appearence at Glastonbury, but the post was taken down about an hour later.

That'd be a joy to watch piss filled bottles being lobbed his way.

 

[Skim]

How's this for a rumour:

Tony Blair to end his farewell tour with a lil' evening in Pilton. Apparently he's going to join "a popular British beat combo" for a jam on his Fender, then will be joining Cherie for a game of roulette down at Lost Vagueness.

You heard it here first.


















Even if it's a great big fib, tee hee

 

[david dissadent]

That'd be a joy to watch piss filled bottles being lobbed his way.

Glastonburys is pretty much a political vacum these days and most of the kids wont know who he is anyway.

 

[bouncer_the_dog]

Sorry.

Just thought I'd start a rumour of a rumour

Oh... so you don't know

 

[nosos]

Will someone please tell me the rumour?

 

[citydreams]

*deleted to protect the innocent*

 

[Superape]

Pink Floyd to headline, the whole Killers thing was an enormous scam, Kylie will guest vocal. Special guest appearance by Page & Plant in the encore, after which they walk among us as Gods

Really? Wow!

 

[MsShirlLaverne]

Hope you're all remembering to dress for Dame Shirley.

My stuff finally arrived

That's

I'm still working on my sequins and feathers

 

[Firky]

How's this for a rumour:

Tony Blair to end his farewell tour with a lil' evening in Pilton. Apparently he's going to join "a popular British beat combo" for a jam on his Fender, then will be joining Cherie for a game of roulette down at Lost Vagueness.

You heard it here first.


















Even if it's a great big fib, tee hee

Pains me to say it but he is quite good on the guitar.

Makes you sick doesn't it??

 

[Firky]

Oh... so you don't know

Well apart from that one but that would be irresponsible of me to tell the public, it would only spoil it for them. Still, they'll find out a week on friday.

 

[JTG]

Hope you're all remembering to dress for Dame Shirley.

Yep. Boots, combats, hoody and a location as far away from the Pyramid as it's possible to be and remain on site.

Sorted.

 

[Skim]

Pains me to say it but he is quite good on the guitar.

Makes you sick doesn't it??

 

[William of Walworth]

Yep. Boots, combats, hoody and a location as far away from the Pyramid as it's possible to be and remain on site.

Sorted.

 

[William of Walworth]

If you hate WEATHER talk, avoid this post NOW!!

Been pissing about today delving around for various updates to the 'forecasts' for Glastonbury 2007. See my earlier post (3929, above) for caveats!

Lets start with nursery school, the BBC 4 weeker

Updated this morning (Monday 11th) and set to become increasingly irrelevant and uninformative (if the latter's possible!) until the next update next Monday (18th).

<for those setting up the festie onsite>

Monday 11th to Sunday 17th June 2007

“More unsettled conditions ”

This week starts with mostly dry, fairly warm and humid weather. Persistent low cloud and mist in eastern areas will continue through Monday and Tuesday with some scattered heavy and possibly thundery showers thrown into the mix.
We start to see a more significant change in the weather on Wednesday across northern Britain as a weather front brings rain down in to Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England followed by a northerly breeze and subsequent drop in temperatures.
By Thursday, the rest of the UK will also start to see a drop in temperatures as an Atlantic low pressure system brings plenty of rain northwards across most parts along with a fresher breeze.
The weather will remain changeable through Friday and the weekend, with further spells of rain or showers likely in most parts and temperatures close to the seasonal average.

<Glastonbury week>

Monday 18th to Sunday 24th June 2007

“Warming up in the east”

After a spell of cooler weather in eastern coastal areas, winds will arrive from the west or southwest so the highest temperatures will be in the sheltered east. Areas of low pressure are expected over the north of Scotland at times bringing some rain or showers.
On the whole, southern parts of Britain will stay drier. However, many parts of the UK can expect to see at least some rain at times with the greatest amounts across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Sunshine amounts are expected to be near average.

<post-Glasto week, infuriatingly>

Monday 25th to Sunday 8th July 2007

“Becoming drier”

Pressure is expected to rise slightly across the UK which should mean drier conditions for all. Low pressure will remain close to Scotland and Northern Ireland giving some occasional rainfall with temperatures close to or just slightly above the average.
Once again, the warmest weather will be in the east. Rainfall amounts away from the northwest are likely to be around average but there will be parts of East Anglia and the southeast that see below average rainfall.

Glasto week forecast very vague, short on regional detail, and deliberately so I suspect . .. the bit I've bolded supplies a miniscule amount of positivity ...

Bad start you think?

Well ... we then move from the BBC amateurs who are specialists in popularising/simplifying the Met Office's castoffs bits, to the SERIOUS (OK geeky) amateurs.

Netweather. They are nice guys who know what they're doiing (aka geeky amateurs)

Glastonbury-specific forecast for the 22-24 June period. Updated 4 am this morning, Monday

Rubbish temperatures, but rain looks light ... at this stage!

Which seems somewhat better than Netweather's text-descriptive and Festival specific forecast, this was, however, updated no more recently than Saturday (9th)

Glastonbury 2007 weather forecast -- Update - Saturday 9th June

This is the second forecast for the Glastonbury festival, which has been extended to cover the period from the 20th to the 25th June for those arriving on the Wednesday and leaving on the Monday.

We are now less than two weeks before the festival starts, and GFS has produced several days of forecasts running to the start of the festival and beyond. GFS has shown a wide variety of runs, which is not unusual at this stage, but we are still looking for patterns at this range, and the following is starting to emerge.

Most GFS runs have gone for a rather unsettled period, with varying amounts of rain or showers. This has also been reflected in the ensembles, with quite a wide variation of outcomes, although low pressure is generally forecasted, there has been a slight increase in the average pressure, with a possibility of the Azores High ridging for a time, which is a good sign.

So on this basis, the revised forecast for the Glastonbury festival, is for a higher than average chance of an unsettled spell of weather. The chance of showery days is well above average, and there is also the possibility of 1 or 2 days of mainly damp/wet weather with longer spells of rain. Sunshine amounts are likely to be close to or slightly below normal with the chance of the Azores High riding up for a day or so, and as a result the sunshine is likely to be concentrated on these days. Extremes in weather seem unlikely with both a washout and a heat wave becoming increasingly unlikely. Temperatures on the whole seem to be on the cool/average side for Late June, but detail on this will come later.

During the coming week, we should get more of a confirmed picture as we move into the reliable timeframe, and also other forecasting models will come into range.

As it was very popular in 2005, the mudbath to heatwave rating has returned - on each forecast we will rate the weather prospects for the festival between 1 and 5 - with 1 being a mudbath and 5 being a heatwave. For this first update we've given it a 2, looking unsettled but not too extreme.

This forecast will be updated in 3-4 days. <ie Tuesday??>

Looks like 2004-ish rubbish then. Not especially warm, plenty of showers, maybe a day or at most 2 of sunshine?

But of the two bits I've bolded above, look at the first bit which is slightly positive ...


You think that's it?

I'm only doing this today in any detail at all before next Monday, so you have more .... shortly ......

 

[Skim]

Here's a vintage pic I found of William doing the forecast for the 1971 Glastonbury Festival:

Note sturdy suede jacket for storage of Watney's Party Seven and jazz cigarettes...

 

[david dissadent]

9 days

 

[Skim]

Those nine days are going to drag.

I'm buying a poncho tomorrow.

 

[Diana]

Can't wait for this. I always get 1.5 days off for Glastonbury as it's where my friend Andrew haad his ashes scattered years ago. They usually give me some of it paid. The first day or so we talk about him, then we enjoy the festival as we used to with him. It's bitter sweet, but we love doing it anyway. This year there are only 3 of us though (half what there was before) - but I'm looking forward to meeting up with two or three people from another board over the weekend (and one from here that I've been emailing if he doesn't chicken out).

 

[William of Walworth]

If Glasto WEATHER chat bores you, move along, nothing to see ...PART TWO!

Metcheck 14 dayer for Glastonbury

See 3929 (previous page) for the full gen on what these weird computer-weathermen are like. Enjoy checking that link out four times a day for the next ten. I guarentee their projections will change wildly at least 67** times before that.

**at least ...

No further comment on AcidCheck ....

uk.weather.com outline for Glastonbury -- so far up to Wednesday 20th.

Mildly positive. Updated daily. Keep an eye ...

Here's a very general, regionally unspecific outlook (they do these ) from The Weather Outlook (TWO)

TWO! Here you go, optimisim addicts

Weekend 16/06
Possibly drier and brighter than during recent days. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average, although in southern areas it maybe on the warm side.
Week beginning 18/06
Confidence is low, but it does look as though there may be a good deal of dry and sunny weather during the week, with above average temperatures in southern areas.

Confidence
Week 1 : 70%, week 2 : 35%
Issued 10/06/2007 (next scheduled update 14/06/2007)

Note well that 35% confidence. though!

Pessimists say : Only 35% confidence means that the summery conditions they 'predict' won't happen (I tend to share this view at this stage)
Optimists say : Only 35% confidence might mean prospects are so ever-changeable that things could get even better, or anyway, that the only way for 35% confidence is UP! (Disagree. Your forecast can go down as well as up!)

And a very fast improvement did happen between the forecast posted on the Tuesday before Strawberry Fair (washout predicted), and Strawberry Fair only the Saturday following (hot and sunny).... same true for Wychwood and Sunrise the same weekend, I believe.

But can dramatic improvements strike TWICE (TWO-ice??)

Then we come to the US based Accuweather, but they're the only people who can 'forecast' specifically for PILTON ... again probably computer modelled, but being nicer to us (at the moment) ...

Accuweather for Pilton, Sat 16th to Weds. 20th

Accuweather for Pilton, Thurs. 21st to Mon. 25th

These get updated daily and you may need to play with the settings a bit.

Rain on the Saturday of the fest. Not for the rest. Crap temps, but apply this rule rule too ....

Don't worry about those low temps. All forecasts at this time frame are in low-resolution at the moment. Those forecasted temps don't have the strength of the sunshine modified in....so add on at least 2-3 degrees (providing it's also saying sunshine!)

Thats yer lot for the time being, more in detail next week. Only passing comments from me, I and everyone hopes, before that .... but there you go, a lot of links for you to keep checking if you're in the mood ...

See what I meant earlier up about take your pick???

<people to whom the weather at Glasto is irrelevant can now wake up again >

chopped about and self-plagiarised, largely, from earlier posts from me ... elsewhere ....

 

[bluestreak]

Here's a vintage pic I found of William doing the forecast for the 1971 Glastonbury Festival:

Note sturdy suede jacket for storage of Watney's Party Seven and jazz cigarettes...

*loves you*

 

[paolo]

Keep it going William... tis' all part of the build up, even if it can't be taken too seriously at this stage.

 

[William of Walworth]

Anyway, I heard this rumour, right, and ...

 

[Firky]

Well this year is the first year I am taking waterproofs. Black goretex jacket and leggings, I am also going to take some wellies but mine are HUGE

Just had a little pack as I leave on Friday.

Gas light
Hand gel
Pen
Duck tape (handy as fuck)
Goretex gear
Wooly hat
Wellies
Garden flare candle things
Kettle (for the morning coffee)
Plastic beaker
Plastic cutlery
Leatherman
Torch
Spare lighter
Spare skins
Spare blunts
Cigar tube (for pre-rolled spliffs)
Sunglasses
Cap
Manbag
Wallet on a chain attached to a carabina

 

[paolo]

I've just noticed that one of Accuweather's forecasters is called "Joe Bastardi".

I've not clicked through, but presumably he says something like "It's going to rain every fucking day, and you are all a bunch cunts."