European Elections 2019

[8ball]

& tactical voting is more or less pointless, the only way this election is going to be interpreted is based on the percentages each party receives nationally, seats won’t matter in how this is reported and the consequences thereof.

Your point being?

 

[Dogsauce]

Your point being?

The consequence of these elections is more about the narrative created from the result, and how that is used as leverage against the leaders or policies of the two ‘main’ parties. The result won’t be measured in number of seats won but in terms of percentage vote per party. So if you were one of those people wanting to send a signal in support of remain (and didn’t find Labour remainy enough) then it barely matters if you vote for LibDems/Green/Chuckles wherever you are as that percentage is all going to be lumped together as remain anyway when the results are discussed.

 

[imposs1904]

Nevermind no leaflet, the Squeegees don't even mention it on their own website

 

[Winot]

Why is there so much emphasis of leaflets here? Sign of U75 poster age? If they were ever relevant they no longer are (other than a secondary indication).

 

[killer b]

The consequence of these elections is more about the narrative created from the result, and how that is used as leverage against the leaders or policies of the two ‘main’ parties. The result won’t be measured in number of seats won but in terms of percentage vote per party. So if you were one of those people wanting to send a signal in support of remain (and didn’t find Labour remainy enough) then it barely matters if you vote for LibDems/Green/Chuckles wherever you are as that percentage is all going to be lumped together as remain anyway when the results are discussed.

The only percentage that anyone will be paying attention to is the margin of victory for the Brexit party. Remain supporters will try to add together the various remain parties' support to construct some pro-remain narrative, but the better they do, the higher the margin of victory for the Brexit, so they'll be drowned out whatever.

 

[brogdale]

Why is there so much emphasis of leaflets here? Sign of U75 poster age? If they were ever relevant they no longer are (other than a secondary indication).

Older voters vote, and they expect leaflets and interpret their delivery as an indication that the sending party ‘cares’ about them & their area etc.

Still relevant for them.

 

[joustmaster]

15 to 20 leaflets a day in the communal hall way (three flats).
A mix of different types. None read so I couldn't tell you who they were from.
All straight in the bin.

 

[Pickman's model]

15 to 20 leaflets a day in the communal hall way (three flats).
A mix of different types. None read so I couldn't tell you who they were from.
All straight in the bin.

Recycling I hope

 

[maomao]

I've passed the polling station three times this morning and I was the only person I saw voting so far. And I only voted because they''re in the church itself instead of the church hall this time and I wanted to have a gawp because I'd never seen inside before.

 

[Monkeygrinder's Organ]

Quite a few people voting at ours this morning - hardly a massive rush but not totally dead either. Although that would be peak 'pop in on the way to work' time.

Enjoyed the pleasingly lengthy list of pointless Independents. Anyone know anything about any of them?

 

[Pickman's model]

Quite a few people voting at ours this morning - hardly a massive rush but not totally dead either. Although that would be peak 'pop in on the way to work' time.

Enjoyed the pleasingly lengthy list of pointless Independents. Anyone know anything about any of them?

roger hallam is co-founder of extinction rebellion.

 

[Pickman's model]

pointless Independents. Anyone know anything about any of them?

they should have among their number richard osman and alexander armstrong for them to be genuinely pointless

 

[skyscraper101]

Guys, the most important thing we must all remember today is:

#dogsatpollingstations hashtag on Twitter

 

[Sprocket.]

roger hallam is co-founder of extinction rebellion.

What!

 

[Miss-Shelf]

Quite a few people voting at ours this morning - hardly a massive rush but not totally dead either. Although that would be peak 'pop in on the way to work' time.

Enjoyed the pleasingly lengthy list of pointless Independents. Anyone know anything about any of them?

'We can make a stand': the Extinction Rebellion activist hoping to be an MEP
Daze Aghaji is one of the independent candidate from XR

 

[brogdale]

Take yer pick...I reckon the ComRes looks a pretty good chance of coming closest FWIW.


Source.

 

[Pickman's model]

What!
View attachment 171855

 

[Ranbay]

Done...

 

[killer b]

it's an insane spread - something for everyone.

 

[brogdale]

it's an insane spread - something for everyone.

Yeah, but bin the YG 'outlier' and the spreads don't look *so* wild:
UKIP 2% - 4%
Lab 17% - 24%
Con 12% - 14%
Green 4% - 8%
LD 12% - 17%
Change 3% - 5%
Brexit 27% - 38%

Obviously struggling with Farage though.

 

[Sprocket.]

Of course that hippy, I’ve met him before!

 

[Wilf]

At least, on the eve of the election, the tory party has got their act together.

 

[teuchter]

A couple by region. Which is what people should be looking at if they want to do tactical voting.

 

[brogdale]

A couple by region. Which is what people should be looking at if they want to do tactical voting.

View attachment 171856

View attachment 171857

"tactical" voting?

 

[Pickman's model]

"tactical" voting?

it's teuchter, you have to expect this sort of thing

 

[brogdale]

it's teuchter, you have to expect this sort of thing

Ah

 

[Pickman's model]

Ah

 

[Wilf]

A couple by region. Which is what people should be looking at if they want to do tactical voting.

View attachment 171856

View attachment 171857

In mine, north east, tories on 5%, lagging behind greens and libs but tied with the mighty chunks.

 

[killer b]

regional crossbreaks have too small a sample to mean anything guys.

 

[cupid_stunt]

A couple by region. Which is what people should be looking at if they want to do tactical voting.

View attachment 171856

View attachment 171857

Blimey, in the south, Brexit 40%, LDs 22%, Greens 14%, both Lab & Con on just 8%.