Who will win the 2024 US election?
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According to Newsnight just now, we could have a fair idea of the winner as early as Wednesday lunchtime UK time. (Obviously depends on how close it is in key states but I'm a bit surprised it could be that early.)
Eta And what a fucker Santorum is. I mean we did know this but I at least had managed to forget he'd ever existed.
Eta And what a fucker Santorum is. I mean we did know this but I at least had managed to forget he'd ever existed.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
I need some coffee first!
So, which way do you think it'll go?
(My American colleagues reckon Arizonans (sp) are weird. Apparently they don't change their clocks -- some court ruled they had to but they all just ignored it or something.)
Nine Bob Note
Self-Isolating before it was fashionable
Still not sure how I'm spending my election night yet. On hols so I can stay up as late as I like, offering my insightful commentary, but I'm enjoying my book so I may just lie in bed eating Haribo and dip between that and Sky News.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
can't we say east coast? the yanks say 'seaboard' because they think it sounds grander. or something.
Also, polls close at either 8 or 9pm over there, so the very first announcements should start shortly after 1.
petee
no gods, no malarkey
last-minute GOP legal bullshittery here
Democracy Docket
The leading progressive platform for information, analysis and opinion about voting rights, elections and democracy.www.democracydocket.com
more of it
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
I have absolutely no idea, beyond it not being as close as currently predicted. I'm more hopeful of a Harris win than I was a week ago, if absolutely forced to choose I would say her, but I wouldn't be at all surprised by Trump winning all, or all but one, of the swing states.
Time Bandits ahoy!
bcuster
Well-Known Member
Final polls show harris in solid positions
www.yahoo.com
Harris or Trump? What the polls are saying a day before the 2024 election
The final batch of major national polls and swing state surveys shows the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is as tight as it's ever been.
redsquirrel
This Machine Kills Progressives
TBF that is what most models seem to be predicting - a wide, flat distribution of results that are centred around a toss-up. The single most likely Trump or Harris win's according to the most recent 538 simulations have them win by ~90 EC votes.
kebabking
Not a Girly Swot, but I like them....
I'm afraid I'm far less sanguine about what the polling says - because I'm less convinced than ever that the votes matter.
I'm afraid I take the view that radicalised MAGA activist penetration of the district & state electoral system is such that the votes in those places just don't matter, that all that matters is who runs the elections, and who counts the votes, and who decides what those votes mean.
I'm not particularly convinced that who wins the election is relevant to the question of who is going to be president come the end of January.
I'm afraid I take the view that radicalised MAGA activist penetration of the district & state electoral system is such that the votes in those places just don't matter, that all that matters is who runs the elections, and who counts the votes, and who decides what those votes mean.
I'm not particularly convinced that who wins the election is relevant to the question of who is going to be president come the end of January.
The39thStep
Urban critical thinker
Some country needs to issue a statement not recognising the elections as being fair and free
krtek a houby
Merry Xmas!
Send in UN observers.
The39thStep
Urban critical thinker
Send in Georgia Dream
cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
Final polls show harris in solid positions
Harris or Trump? What the polls are saying a day before the 2024 election
The final batch of major national polls and swing state surveys shows the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is as tight as it's ever been.
I wish those polls did show Harris in solid positions, but they are all within the margins of error.
krtek a houby
Merry Xmas!
Send in D Ream
cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
The first result is in, from a wobble-top town called Dixville Notch, that has just 6 voters, all votes were in within 15 minutes of the poll opening, so they've been able to declare - 3 for Harris / 3 for Trump.
I kid you not.
www.forbes.com
The hi-tech scoreboard -
I kid you not.
Dixville Notch Midnight Vote Split 3-3 Between Trump And Harris—But Small Town Is Not Much Of A Bellwether
As part of a long-running tradition, the small New Hampshire town became the first in America to declare its results for the 2024 election.
www.forbes.com
The hi-tech scoreboard -
PR1Berske
Alligator in chains by the park gates.
Was 5-0 Biden last time!The first result is in, from a wobble-top town called Dixville Notch, that has just 6 voters, all votes were in within 15 minutes of the poll opening, so they've been able to declare - 3 for Harris / 3 for Trump.
I kid you not.
Dixville Notch Midnight Vote Split 3-3 Between Trump And Harris—But Small Town Is Not Much Of A Bellwether
As part of a long-running tradition, the small New Hampshire town became the first in America to declare its results for the 2024 election.
Serge Forward
Just enjoyin' my coffee.
Rigged!!!!!The first result is in, from a wobble-top town called Dixville Notch, that has just 6 voters, all votes were in within 15 minutes of the poll opening, so they've been able to declare - 3 for Harris / 3 for Trump.
I kid you not.
Dixville Notch Midnight Vote Split 3-3 Between Trump And Harris—But Small Town Is Not Much Of A Bellwether
As part of a long-running tradition, the small New Hampshire town became the first in America to declare its results for the 2024 election.
The hi-tech scoreboard -
View attachment 449785
klang
klang
Skip that, straight to the blue helmets.
Dogsauce
I’ve got Skol but I’m not a Scholar
I reckon the surge of early voting is Trumpists. They have the energy and motivation and the campaign is working hard on social media and podcasts etc. to build grievances and get out the vote. They’re specifically targeting those who don’t usually vote, just like the Brexit campaign, and it will work. Forget about half-empty stadiums, that’s old politics. Trump will take the popular vote too.
Bingoman
Well-Known Member
I demand a recountThe first result is in, from a wobble-top town called Dixville Notch, that has just 6 voters, all votes were in within 15 minutes of the poll opening, so they've been able to declare - 3 for Harris / 3 for Trump.
I kid you not.
Dixville Notch Midnight Vote Split 3-3 Between Trump And Harris—But Small Town Is Not Much Of A Bellwether
As part of a long-running tradition, the small New Hampshire town became the first in America to declare its results for the 2024 election.
The hi-tech scoreboard -
View attachment 449786
Dogsauce
I’ve got Skol but I’m not a Scholar
None of the voters were registered democrats (think it was four republican and two independents). All voted for Nikki Haley in the primaries.
Comparisons with last time don’t quite work because three of the voters weren’t registered at this place last time round.
But anyway, have fun extrapolating from these numbers!
krtek a houby
Merry Xmas!
The echo chambers are strong in this one.
Skinny Ethel
Well-Known Member
Ditto
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