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US election 2020 thread

So UK TV coverage is patchy, no C4. BBC not till later, SKY getting going at 22.30 but SKY....

What are people doing? Is it streaming CNN or MSNBC?
 
So UK TV coverage is patchy, no C4. BBC not till later, SKY getting going at 22.30 but SKY....

What are people doing? Is it streaming CNN or MSNBC?
Was about to ask that. ABC/NBC on youtube - I don't have fancy telly so dunno what else is out there
 
Am not a poll geek so hopefully not too biased but if the NPA's split right then FL is looking iffy for Trump?

 
Am not a poll geek so hopefully not too biased but if the NPA's split right then FL is looking iffy for Trump?



Me either initially but if you split the NPA/other 50/50 then Biden wins by some stretch (crude fag packet maths).

JTG or Streathamite may set me straight but that's what they are saying here.
 
cos they're imagining the NPA/Others voted heavily enough in favor for Biden that it would overturn the narrow lead in registered Dem/Rep voters
 
i dont understand this tweet or why it is - apparently - good for biden
First bit: party registration (or lack of it) of those who have voted so far
Last bit: counties that haven't reported right up to date

Treat with some caution (people don't necessarily vote their party registration and we don't know how the indies will vote) but Nate Silver was saying he reckons that it's good for Biden if the GOP have a +3.5% advantage or less in the final tally
 
First bit: party registration (or lack of it) of those who have voted so far
Last bit: counties that haven't reported right up to date

Treat with some caution (people don't necessarily vote their party registration and we don't know how the indies will vote) but Nate Silver was saying he reckons that it's good for Biden if the GOP have a +3.5% advantage or less in the final tally
This is definitely driving me to hard liquor...

(I'm glad there are people on here to explain what's going on mind... :oops:)
 
ah - got it. that does look pretty bad for trump then

NPA is more common amongst younger voters, who also tend to be less conservative. So looks positive.

Quite a few hours of voting to go though, and suggestion is more republicans coming out to vote today as democrats mostly voted in advance. Still plenty of uncertainty to contend with.
 
Is there a good UK twitter account to follow for an outsider's view of this? I don't really understand the American ones as I'm unfamiliar with their jargon. Apols if this has already been done further up thread.
 
On exit polls:


tl;dr - they change as the night goes on as more exit polling is added and anyway so many people have changed their method of voting this year that it's open to inaccuracy
 
I'm just praying there isn't a big hidden 'shy Republican' faction like the 'shy Tories' who won't admit their intentions to pollsters. They do tend to fuck things up.
It's fairly well established that this isn't really a thing
 
On exit polls:


tl;dr - they change as the night goes on as more exit polling is added and anyway so many people have changed their method of voting this year that it's open to inaccuracy
What time will the exit polls come in?
 
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