US election 2020 thread

[Smokeandsteam]

We could very easily get Biden on 264 needing one of PA or GA to go his way

I think GA is going Trump. PA is the whole game..

 

[JTG]

What is still to call today/night? Is there a rough timeline?

Not Nevada if it's nearly a dead heat. They can carry on accepting mail ballots for the next few days

 

[littlebabyjesus]

I think GA is going Trump. PA is the whole game..

Is there reason to think Nevada will go to Trump from the remaining votes?

tbh exactly this, PA the whole game, was my one nagging worry coming into the vote.

 

[JTG]

Just throwing in here that Maine 2nd hasn't been called yet

 

[scifisam]

It's not the whole state that matters either, is it? On the other board people are talking about the significance of Nebraska 2, which looks likely to go in favour of Biden even though the other half of Nebraska hasn't.

 

[Smokeandsteam]

tbh exactly this, PA the whole game, was my one nagging worry coming into the vote.

PA won’t declare until Friday. I don’t see a ‘path’ for either candidate without it

 

[JTG]

Is there reason to think Nevada will go to Trump from the remaining votes?

tbh exactly this, PA the whole game, was my one nagging worry coming into the vote.

I think the majority are in Clark County ie Vegas. Where Biden currently leads by 60,000 votes. Mail ballots still arriving (and acceptable) too

 

[Bahnhof Strasse]

It didn't occur to me that Cuban and Venezuelan expats would vote Republican because they consider themselves to had fled communist/socialist dictatorships.

Always been anti-Castro, hence the Bacardi boycott some years back, company playing on Cuban heritage whilst being explicitly anti-Cuban (anti-American too, moving their supposed HQ to Bermuda, but you know, scumbags will scumbag).

 

[redsquirrel]

PA won’t declare until Friday. I don’t see a ‘path’ for either candidate without it

I think Michigan, Wisconsin and Maine-2 would (just) get Biden over 270.

 

[beesonthewhatnow]

Why was it so close IYO?

Because the world has carefully, skilfully and very deliberately been polarised over the last couple of decades. A platform upon which a small group make obscene wealth balanced by tension from all surrounding sides.

 

[JTG]

I think the majority are in Clark County ie Vegas. Where Biden currently leads by 60,000 votes. Mail ballots still arriving (and acceptable) too

Also a chunk in Washoe County (Reno) where Biden leads. Everywhere else negligible really

 

[JTG]

I think Michigan, Wisconsin and Maine-2 would (just) get Biden over 270.

Not hopeful about Maine 2 tbh but there's v little info

 

[pesh]

Thatcher now tweeting from beyond the grave according to the BBC

 

[redsquirrel]

Because the world has carefully, skilfully and very deliberately been polarised over the last couple of decades. A platform upon which a small group make obscene wealth balanced by tension from all surrounding sides.

Right, so how do the Democrats "act accordingly" then?

 

[Smokeandsteam]

I think Michigan, Wisconsin and Maine-2 would (just) get Biden over 270.

272 I think. But he’s not doing to win Maine is he?

ETA it’s too tight to call Maine... but Trump looks narrowly favourite

 

[JTG]

Nevada:

 

[JTG]

272 I think. But he’s not doing to win Maine is he?

ETA it’s too tight to call Maine... but Trump looks narrowly favourite

The county totals look Trumpish but also quite low counts so presumably (you guessed it) mail ballots to be done?
Obvs Maine 1 and statewide have gone for Biden, it's just the second district we don't know about

 

[redsquirrel]

272 I think. But he’s not doing to win Maine is he?

ETA it’s too tight to call Maine... but Trump looks narrowly favourite

Even if Biden loses ME-2 he would still win 268-270, I think

 

[keybored]

Biden now favourite again.

 

[littlebabyjesus]

The simplest path for Biden appears to be Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, forget the rest.

 

[Smokeandsteam]

Even if Biden loses ME-2 he would still win 268-270, I think

I’m missing a state somewhere....

 

[Sasaferrato]

From the BBC map, of the states still to declare, from the projections:

(Fuck me, according to the BBC Margaret Thatcher has just tweeted )

Biden: 25

Trump: 70

At present:

Biden: 224

Trump: 213


Sooooooo if the predictions hold:

Trump: 283

Biden: 249.

Even if Biden wins Wi, (10) Trump wins.

On Oddschecker, Trump overtook Biden in September.

Someone please tell me I have this completely wrong.

 

[JTG]

The simplest path for Biden appears to be Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, forget the rest.

Yeah and I think he gets all three... but a speedy resolution in NV & WI at this point would be handy

I imagine Georgia will be counting again this morning. Five hours behind so maybe lunchtime

 

[Flavour]

Those BBC predictions are shit Sas, I don't think Trump will stay ahead in all those states.

 

[Argonia]

Fuck I really don't want Trump to win this

 

[JTG]

Oh for FUCK'S SAKE

 

[ManchesterBeth]

The 2017 version came mightily close.

But this morning I'm not going to claim to know much about anything. We don't live in a world in which people like Bernie Sanders win elections atm. And hatchet job of some kind could easily have been done on Sanders during the campaign.

You mean he dropped out and without hesitation endorsed* Biden...

 

[littlebabyjesus]

Oh for FUCK'S SAKE

Well, according to Trump logic, that should now be it. Biden wins!

 

[Smokeandsteam]

Trump vote 2016: 62,984,828. Trump vote so far 2020: 66,093,546. Trump expanded his base beyond the core and with non-Whites.

 

[ManchesterBeth]

What would Biden have to do to emulate Trump ?

he actually went further to the right than Trump.

Biden to ABC's Robin Roberts: 'I don't want to defund' the police, but Trump does

Biden and Harris' first joint interview airs Sunday at 8 p.m. ET on ABC.

abcnews.go.com

Richard Spencer Reiterates Support for Biden, Disavows 'Traitorous' GOP

Replying to a tweet Tuesday morning, Spencer wrote that he recognized how "ineffective, useless, and traitorous the GOP is," reaffirming his decision to vote for Biden in the November election.

www.newsweek.com