US election 2020 thread

[Pickman's model]

Assuming he takes Nevada, he needs any two of the remaining states.

So if wi then JB on 248 electoral votes, NV moves him up to 254, and Georgia would pop him dead on 270. Be a nasty situation if it stops there

 

[Smokeandsteam]

Latest from NYT which has been on the money app night;

 

[Ted Striker]

This is a ray of hope - He's been fairly on point through tonight

 

[JTG]

Assuming he takes Nevada, he needs any two of the remaining states.

Arizona has been in an on/off battle, it's been called for Biden at least once I think

 

[Flavour]

thank god

 

[JTG]

So if wi then JB on 248 electoral votes, NV moves him up to 254, and Georgia would pop him dead on 270. Be a nasty situation if it stops there

I think he gets Michigan tbh

 

[Ted Striker]

Points of order relate to the conduct of meetings, eg a call for a quorum count. Your point of order is a point of information

(I know (honestly!)...I've no idea why I thought the post needed such an addition. )

 

[scifisam]

From the other board, CNN's stats:


Georgia - 16 EV’s. 92% reporting. Trump leads by 102K. Biden needs 68% of remaining vote to win.

North Carolina - 15 EV’s. 95% reporting. Trump leads by 77K. Biden needs 64% of remaining vote to win.

Pennsylvania - 20 EV’s. 74% reporting. Trump leads by 408K. Biden needs 65% of remaining vote to win.

Michigan - 16 EV’s. 72% reporting. Trump leads by 310K. Biden needs 64% of remaining vote to win.

Wisconsin - 10 EV’s. 83% reporting. Trump leads by 108K. Biden needs 61% of remaining vote to win.

Alaska - 3 EV’s. No numbers, but predicted for Trump.

That’s 80 EV’s for Trump. He’s at 213 so if he wins those six states, he’ll have 293 EV’s.



However, some of those percentages are not unlikely at all, apparently.

 

[JTG]

Apparently that last update didn't include the 9,000 vote boost from Kenosha. So Biden up by c29,000

 

[chilango]

That's not Nebraska! Fucking BBC

 

[Smokeandsteam]

Is it too early to remind everyone that Sanders would have pissed this?

 

[beesonthewhatnow]

Is it too early to remind everyone that Sanders would have pissed this?

No, he wouldn’t.

 

[JTG]

Jesus, how many did Trump win Wisconsin by last time? 22,000?

 

[Smokeandsteam]

No, he wouldn’t.

He’d have walked the rust belt. He’d have been the insurgent. He’d have been the necessary rejection of the establishment and the PMC. He would have been the populist candidate.

 

[Spymaster]

That's not Nebraska! Fucking BBC

I was thinking WTF, and actually googled it!

I think she was pointing to North Carolina.

 

[beesonthewhatnow]

He’d have walked the rust belt. He’d have been the insurgent. He’d have been the necessary rejection of the establishment and the PMC. He would have been the populist candidate

A bit like Corbyn was here?

 

[JTG]

He’d have walked the rust belt. He’d have been the insurgent. He’d have been the necessary rejection of the establishment and the PMC. He would have been the populist candidate

Also put in a lot of work with Latinos in the sunbelt to the extent that he may have stood a chance of them coming through for him in states where they clearly didn't for Biden

 

[NoXion]

Is it too early to remind everyone that Sanders would have pissed this?

What does that mean?

 

[1927]

He’d have walked the rust belt. He’d have been the insurgent. He’d have been the necessary rejection of the establishment and the PMC. He would have been the populist candidate.

If the Democrats hadn’t cooked the books he’d have been POTUS for the last 4 yrs.

 

[beesonthewhatnow]

What does that mean?

It means that people - in spite of what’s playing out there right now - are still in a fantasy as to how the world is right now.

 

[weltweit]

Hoping for some clarification as the day wears on, so far it doesn't look like the wholesale drubbing of the orange one which the pollsters were predicting. Far from it possibly.

 

[ska invita]

Professional Middle Class:

On the Origins of the Professional-Managerial Class: An Interview with Barbara Ehrenreich - Dissent Magazine

How do we recognize the similarities between people of different class positions without papering over the differences?

www.dissentmagazine.org

That was a great read, thanks

 

[Spymaster]

It didn't occur to me that Cuban and Venezuelan expats would vote Republican because they consider themselves to had fled communist/socialist dictatorships.

 

[Pickman's model]

Good luck to anyone in the US who's been criticizing/protesting against Trump recently.

we're all lucky there's so little air travel ATM, don't imagine any of us bar marty1 and possibly marty21 in error would get an easy trip through us immigration

 

[killer b]

I'm not sure Bernie would've pissed it, but it would definitely have been a better fight.

 

[Plumdaff]

It didn't occur to me that Cuban and Venezuelan expats would vote Republican because they consider themselves to had fled communist/socialist dictatorships.

What's odd is why Hispanics in Texas have swung to Trump.

 

[JTG]

Green Bay the last city in Wisconsin not to have reported a single vote. Last absentee ballots gone through just now...

 

[Monkeygrinder's Organ]

Green Bay the last city in Wisconsin not to have reported a single vote. Last absentee ballots gone through just now...

Where's the best reliable up to date source for this stuff?

At the moment the best i can find is basically here...

 

[redsquirrel]

Jesus, how many did Trump win Wisconsin by last time? 22,000?

22,748

 

[redsquirrel]

What's odd is why Hispanics in Texas have swung to Trump.

Lower turnout rather than direct HC->DT? Suggestion not knowledge.