Local Elections (not that London) 2024

[The39thStep]

Labour Party seems rife with this sort of sentiment

 

[belboid]

I note that on the BBC running tally, the Conservative are getting a kicking, hardly unexpected.

I also note that the Conservative losses are not universally being picked by Labour. At this moment 12:44 03/05//2024, the Conservatives have lost 150 seats, of which Labour have picked up 60. It has so far been a better night for Independent candidates, they have picked up 49 seats.

I think you'll find 60 is a bigger number than 49

 

[Petcha]

The 'Tory' Mayor has won in Tees Valley for a third time...

Interestingly all his promo materials didnt mention anywhere that he was a Conservative, much less put the logo on there

 

[Tony_LeaS]

The 'Tory' Mayor has won in Tees Valley for a third time...

Interestingly all his promo materials didnt mention anywhere that he was a Conservative, much less put the logo on there

Leadsoms breakdown over this on Politics Live was quite the watch, Derbyshire mentioning that the win is more on the candidate, not the party.

Houchen and team knew what they were doing to an extent, making sure it was reflective on candidate and what he’s done for the area.

 

[Wilf]

So Labour's logic is:

We pissed the Muslims off over Gaza
That lost us votes and seats
The blame lies with our stupid policy over Gaza the Muslims

 

[Puddy_Tat]

The blame lies with our stupid policy over Gaza the Muslims

and jeremy corbyn...

 

[Petcha]

Leadsoms breakdown over this on Politics Live was quite the watch, Derbyshire mentioning that the win is more on the candidate, not the party.

Houchen and team knew what they were doing to an extent, making sure it was reflective on candidate and what he’s done for the area.

He didnt even wear a blue rosette during his victory speech. Quite damning.

 

[Sasaferrato]

I think you'll find 60 is a bigger number than 49

I think you will find percentage wise that a gain of 49 for Independent is proportionally greater than that of a gain of 60 for Labour.

 

[belboid]

3 Labour gains in Sheffield so far. A couple of places where there vote fell, almost definitely cos of Gaza, but not enough to unseat anyone.

 

[Dogsauce]

The longer Sunak delays an election, the greater the chance that Israel might have stepped down the murdering shit a bit and hence protest about it (and protest voting) might have diminished. Does he risk going sooner while there is a such a divisive issue for Labour that the tories could exploit?

 

[WouldBe]

He didnt even wear a blue rosette during his victory speech. Quite damning.

Being touted by the Tories as a significant win for them despite a 17% swing to labour.

 

[brogdale]

By-election in a Cheshire ward with the vermin scum sixth!

 

[The39thStep]

John Lawrence ex EDL, ex For Britain , ex Britain First and now leader of the National Housing Party stormed to 6.8% of the vote in Hollinwood ward, Oldham.

 

[Orang Utan]

John Lawrence ex EDL, ex For Britain , ex Britain First and now leader of the National Housing Party stormed to 6.8% of the vote in Hollinwood ward, Oldham.

View attachment 422971

Man can’t even wear spectacles!

 

[belboid]

Jamie Driscoll loses in the North East. 126000 votes tho, not far off the rest of them (bar Labour) put together.

 

[The39thStep]

Jamie Driscoll loses in the North East. 126000 votes tho, not far off the rest of them (bar Labour) put together.

Big vote for a candidate with no party machine behind them

 

[cloudyday]

looks like Driscoll lost on South Tyneside, the Reform candidate got more votes in sunderland.

 

[oryx]

Jamie Driscoll loses in the North East. 126000 votes tho, not far off the rest of them (bar Labour) put together.

Really disappointed about that - his politics look really sound, community wealth building etc.

ETA and the way he was barred from standing was shite.

 

[cupid_stunt]

I am keeping an interested eye on the Worthing Borough Council elections, despite having moved, because it has changed so much in recent years, and it will give a bit more of an indication of what will probably happened with the two seats in the GE, one of which this village falls within, both are predicted to change from Tories to Lab, for the first time ever.

1/3 is up for election, the current make up is -
Current council: 24 Lab, 11 Con, 1 Green, 1 LD
Seats up this year: 7 Lab, 5 Con, 1 LD

Labour won their first ever seat about 7 years ago, and year-by-year have taken more seats, taking full control of the council in 2022. Out of 24 current Lab seats, 22 were taken from the Tories, the other 2 from the LDs.

LDs used to have a lot of seats, occasionally taking a minority or even overall control, but since the coalition years, they were down to just 3 seats in the Tarring ward, but are expected to loss their last seat there to Lab.

Lab is also expected to take a seat each in Northbrook and Durrington wards from the Tories. It's possible, although fairly unlikely, that they may even win 1 or 2 more from the Tories.

Goring ward is a bit posh to vote Lab, but they did give the Greens their first ever win last year, and they are expected to pick up a second Goring seat this year.

Predication of the make up after this election - 27 Lab, 8 Con, 2 Green, 0 LD

I am now in the Arun District Council area, they operate the 'all up' election system, so there's no elections for them, nor for West Sussex County Council this year, I've just got a pointless police & crime commissioner election.

I think having the PCC election on its own is a pointless waste of money, it would be better to hold it the same year as county elections, but as the position is for all of Sussex, voting cycles would need to change, so both East Sussex and West Sussex County Councils elections, plus those for Brighton & Hove City Council, happened in the same years.

Strange one this year, the joint services of Adur & Worthing councils are counting both results at the same time, before they have counted Adur District Council first, and then did Worthing Borough Council, so it's making the local rag's live blog messy.

Anyway, in Worthing as predicted above, Labour has taken Northbrook from the Tories, and Labour has taken the LDs' last seat in Tarring, plus the Greens has taken Goring from the Tories, the Greens will be pleased with that, having won their first seat in Worthing, in the Goring ward (too posh to vote Labour) last year.

But, I am surprised Labour haven't taken Durrington, with 583 for the Conservatives 538 for Labour 77 for the Greens 168 for the Liberal Democrats, a bit more tactical voting from the LDs & Greens would have done it - the Tories will be surprised with their luck there.

So, I've got three out of four right, another 46 votes and I would have had a clean sweep.

Final results still to come.

I don't know much about the make-up of Adur District Council (Shoreham, Southwick, Lancing, etc.), but Labour seems to be taking seats from the Tories there too.

* Just in - Labour currently just one seat short of taking overall control in Adur.

 

[kebabking]

The longer Sunak delays an election, the greater the chance that Israel might have stepped down the murdering shit a bit and hence protest about it (and protest voting) might have diminished. Does he risk going sooner while there is a such a divisive issue for Labour that the tories could exploit?

It could be an attractive idea, but at the same time the earlier he goes, the less time he has for what limited effect stuff like NI cuts and reduction of inflation has to put money in pockets.

What he might gain with one hand, he might lose with the other.

 

[neonwilderness]

Really disappointed about that - his politics look really sound, community wealth building etc.

ETA and the way he was barred from standing was shite.

Yeah, it's a shame as he seems to have been doing a decent job as North Tyneside mayor for the last few years. He would have likely ended up as Labour mayor if they hadn't barred him

 

[Whagwan]

Labour Party seems rife with this sort of sentiment

View attachment 422962

 

[belboid]

Labour end up up 2 in Sheffield. Took more seats but lost one to a Green and another, massively, to a lefty independent standing (mostly) about Gaza. The small bunch of old fart Labourites who split when they were told to stand down from the leadership got nowhere and lost the members they had up for reelection. And the tories lost their one seat.

 

[chilango]

No shocks in Reading. Labour take a seat off the Tories, but lose one to the Greens.

Same pattern as many places it looks like.

 

[PR1Berske]

 

[PR1Berske]

Preston City Council results

Labour 9 (down 1)
Cons 1 (down 4)
LibDem 6 (up 5)

Total

Labour 30
LibDem 12
Cons 6

 

[brogdale]

Went to the back of the store-room and finally found all those party placards...

 

[PR1Berske]

 

[Bingoman]

They have a Tory mp too not sure weather they would lose it in GE

 

[brogdale]

rat-boy's desperation is palpable...