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Italian politics and elections - news and discussion

Lots of strikes that have nothing to do with Green Pass stuff going on besides the more heavily-publicized strikes of port workers in Trieste, Genoa and Ravenna (which are all No Green Pass strikes)

A 22 year old worker in a courier/delivery sorting warehouse in Bologna has died after only 3 days on the job - his name was Yafa Yaya. Si Cobas have immediately called a strike and are picketing the "interporto" (a massive collection of warehouses and sorting depots outside Bologna).

 
posting this link in english but it's misleading > https://www.thelocal.it/20211110/italy-cracks-down-on-covid-green-pass-protests/

The fact is that ALL PROTEST is banned, not just protest against the Green Pass /antivax protests.

News in Italian here is more revealing:

Says a Senator (my translation):

«There doesn't exist a right to paralyze entire cities, mobility and the liberty of citizens, the holding of cultural, entertainment or commercial activities."

... err... yes there does! But from today, Nov 10, it is "temporarily" suspended.

Weird times
 
Italian base unions calling for "No Draghi Day" on December 4th:

Appeal of basic and conflictual trade unionism

4 December No Draghi Day - National day of protest


Against the economic measures of the Draghi government

Against layoffs, privatizations, relocations and high cost of living

Regional parades in the main cities

Freedom to demonstrate is a non-negotiable democratic right

The Budget Law produced by the Draghi government confirms the new and heavy attack on the living conditions of the weakest social sectors in the country while allocating additional resources for large companies and financial revenues.

The political line of increasing inequalities is confirmed, rather than reversing course.

The increases in the prices of raw materials and energy cause an increase in bills and the high cost of living which affect workers with wages blocked by non-renewed contracts and even worse the poorest strata of the population, such as pensioners at a minimum or earners. Basic income.

Regarding pensions, the infamous Fornero system remains, therefore an increase in the retirement age, even if to soften a quota of 102 for next year, always far below expectations also to guarantee a necessary generational change.

On the Citizenship Income, measures are introduced to restrict the audience and to force the recipients to accept any job: part-time, fixed-term and long distance from residence. On the tax side, the abolition of the IRAP, that is the only unavoidable tax for companies, is announced, while the reductions for workers will be directed towards medium-high incomes (between 28 and 55 thousand euros).

In a phase in which the total release of layoffs is now operational, deaths at work are growing and the very heavy effects of the pandemic crisis are still visible, the economic maneuver concentrates resources on large companies, exactly with the same logic with which it was elaborated. the PNRR, and the dramatic problem of reducing very strong social inequalities through the redistribution of income does not arise.

Public investments in key sectors of social life, such as health, school and urban transport, are almost non-existent, which are also essential to combat, in addition to the necessary vaccines, the spread of the pandemic. There are and are no interventions to raise wages in a country where poor work is growing rapidly. The very dangerous project of differentiated autonomy is also resurrected, destined to increase territorial and social differences. And once again there are no interventions on the dramatic housing issue to increase the supply of social housing, nor are there any answers to the tragedy of evictions.

To complete Draghi's plan there is instead the government's draft law on competition which prepares a wild privatization of everything that still remains of the public in our country: from local transport to energy, from water to environmental hygiene, from ports to the liberalization of taxis and a major revival of private healthcare. It is the definitive liberalist opening to the iron law of the market, in contempt of any concern for social rights, the safeguarding of common goods, rebalancing and social justice. A confirmation of the empty government rhetoric regarding environmental protection and the fight against climate change since putting the common goods, starting with water and energy resources,in the hands of large private companies it can only encourage new environmental disasters and further lower the health and safety safeguards for workers and citizens.

With the budget law and the draft law on competition Draghi is carrying out the diktats of the European Union and satisfying all the requests of Confindustria, without encountering any real opposition on the political level and with the complicit silence of CGIL, CISL, UIL.

Strengthened by the support it has from the entire parliamentary arc, this government is marching compactly in the direction of reducing the rights of the working class, using the repressive techniques of the Salvini decree and providing cover for the illegal actions by the employers when it uses paid squads to beat up workers on strike.

The successful general strike of 11 October, promoted by all the conflicting and grassroots trade unionism, with its platform of struggle, precisely identified the issues on which to continue the mobilization. No to layoffs and privatizations. Fight for wages and guaranteed income. Cancellation of the Fornero Law, contrast to the high cost of living and the diktats of the European Union. Contract renewals and fight against precariousness for full employment. Strong investments in school, health, transport and public welfare, against military expenses and missions abroad, in favor of a necessary social expenditure. For a fair tax that attacks income and reduces social inequalities. The program of struggle of 11 October is today strengthened by the new measures presented by Draghi,which confirm the strongly anti-popular address.

It is therefore urgent to build a vast popular movement that contrasts with the mobilization and struggle of this authoritarian plan destined to deepen inequalities and increase poverty.

The grassroots trade unionism proposes and undertakes to build a national protest day for next December 4th called “No Draghi Day” and therefore invites all movements and social and political realities to build mobilization in a unified and shared form.

The day will be characterized by regional parades that will have the aim of defending the freedom to demonstrate against any hateful ban on parading under the buildings of the institutions.
 
the FT are describing a strike due to take place today as a General Strike - sounds like an exaggeration to me, but it still seems big:

" The CGIL and UIL labour unions — which have a combined membership of more than 7.5m people — said the announced budget was “unsatisfactory”. Their main objection is to an envisaged €8bn of tax cuts, which unions say favour higher earners. Retirement rules and labour contracts are other causes of disagreement. Pierpaolo Bombardieri, the UIL secretary-general, said the government had prioritised political compromise over social demands.

“When there’s a [complicated] political mediation, there’s no room for one with the [unions],” he told the Financial Times. Under the measures announced by the government, workers earning between €28,000 and €55,000 per year will benefit from a reduction in their tax rate, unlike the poorest part of the population. Unions say the government has not devoted enough of its attention to those who were affected the most by the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic. CISL, Italy’s other main trade union, has said it will not take part in the strike, saying it risks “radicalising positions at a delicate time for the country”.
 
the FT are describing a strike due to take place today as a General Strike - sounds like an exaggeration to me, but it still seems big:

" The CGIL and UIL labour unions — which have a combined membership of more than 7.5m people — said the announced budget was “unsatisfactory”. Their main objection is to an envisaged €8bn of tax cuts, which unions say favour higher earners. Retirement rules and labour contracts are other causes of disagreement. Pierpaolo Bombardieri, the UIL secretary-general, said the government had prioritised political compromise over social demands.

“When there’s a [complicated] political mediation, there’s no room for one with the [unions],” he told the Financial Times. Under the measures announced by the government, workers earning between €28,000 and €55,000 per year will benefit from a reduction in their tax rate, unlike the poorest part of the population. Unions say the government has not devoted enough of its attention to those who were affected the most by the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic. CISL, Italy’s other main trade union, has said it will not take part in the strike, saying it risks “radicalising positions at a delicate time for the country”.

The Italians have "General Strikes" fairly frequently. I doubt that things will be going 1926.
 
After a week of pathetic political theater in which the members of parliament and senators were asked to elect a new President (as the incumbent, Mattarella, is 80 years old, has been in the job for years already and has publicly stated that he wants to step down, hence the election) the decision seems to be, after neither the left or right coalitions were able to get a majority for any candidate, to ask Mattarella very politely with a cherry on top will be he please stay as President for another term. He says yes. A total waste of time. But it has shown the friction and instability of both coalitions. Interestingly, the left coalition is a little bit more solid, as it is dominated by one party (PD) while the right coalition is more evenly split in terms of power nowadays between Lega and Fratelli. The latter group oppose the re-election of Mattarella (and are not part of the ruling government) while Lega, who are part of the "supergroup" government together with both PD and the increasingly-irrelevant Five Star, have decided to go for it.

Brussels and the stock exchanges will be happy with this result.

But the polls, I am quite confident, will show further hemorrage of support from Lega and other parties to Fratelli. I am quite confident that after the next general election, the next Prime Minister of the country will be Meloni, the leader of Fratelli, with Lega in coalition as minor partner.
 
After a week of pathetic political theater in which the members of parliament and senators were asked to elect a new President (as the incumbent, Mattarella, is 80 years old, has been in the job for years already and has publicly stated that he wants to step down, hence the election) the decision seems to be, after neither the left or right coalitions were able to get a majority for any candidate, to ask Mattarella very politely with a cherry on top will be he please stay as President for another term. He says yes. A total waste of time. But it has shown the friction and instability of both coalitions. Interestingly, the left coalition is a little bit more solid, as it is dominated by one party (PD) while the right coalition is more evenly split in terms of power nowadays between Lega and Fratelli. The latter group oppose the re-election of Mattarella (and are not part of the ruling government) while Lega, who are part of the "supergroup" government together with both PD and the increasingly-irrelevant Five Star, have decided to go for it.

Brussels and the stock exchanges will be happy with this result.

But the polls, I am quite confident, will show further hemorrage of support from Lega and other parties to Fratelli. I am quite confident that after the next general election, the next Prime Minister of the country will be Meloni, the leader of Fratelli, with Lega in coalition as minor partner.
Yeah ridiculous nonsense.
Jacobin had a couple of reasonable pieces on Italy recently (though you are probably aware of all the stuff they cover).

Another “unity candidate” following the same program may eventually be chosen, perhaps an elderly figure not likely to complete their term. But whatever happens in the halls of Parliament, this election epitomizes the sorry state of Italian democracy, as it continues its never-ending “transition to normality.” In this eternal crisis, presidential “institutionalism” perennially butts heads with an inchoate “populism” — with neither able to find a route out of the impasse.
Whoever is chosen as president, the most remarkable story is the picture of decline that this process has demonstrated. Italy is a republic in which the government is led by a technocrat with parties accepting their futility; in which, while the Right has radicalized its position, the center-left continues to see its mission as securing the stability of the system, regardless of its implications for voters; and in which Parliament is under the blackmail of “transformists,” politicians-for-hire crossing from one group to another and ready to join in all sorts of intrigues. The country is thus bound to remain locked in eternal transition — the nihilist fight between institutionalism and populism, each feeding the other, while Italy’s real problems go unaddressed.
In this regard, it is worth emphasizing the concept of industrial policy that shines through from the Italian NRRP, which perfectly reflects the definition advocated by the EU. The state must limit itself to making those investments that are not sufficiently profitable for private businesses to make themselves — in the case of the Italian NRRP, mainly meaning network infrastructure. In other words, the cost of these investments is to be socialized, while the profits are privatized.
Another myth that needs dispelling is the idea that innovation is always a good thing, no matter in whose interests it is carried out. Productivity gains imply a reduction in the number of working hours needed to produce certain goods and services. That’s a good thing if it lowers the time workers have to work for the same wages, but not if it just means a rationalization of the labor process in the interest of boosting profits. Organizations that aim to represent the working class should recognize this fact — and stop framing their demands as if they’re partners seeking to help boost company profitability.
 
wanted to answer redsquirrel question from a Ukraine thread about how it's splitting the Italian Far(ish) right.

Lega

Lega have long-standing ties with Putin: Salvini is "their" man, to some extent (insofar as Trump or Farage are... probably more so than Farage but less so than Trump). Though Salvini's leadership of Lega has been tumultuous to say the least, with his authority over the party looking fairly rocky nowadays (especially as their star wanes in favor of Fratelli), you see a fairly common pro-Moscow line among Lega politicians. Against sanctions, casting doubt on atrocities, talking about the risks of allowing all the Ukrainians in (cos who knows who might come/amongst them?).

What we also see, however, is an attempted "rehabiliation" of Lega by Berlusconi's party, Forza Italia, who think an alliance between Forza and Lega could prevent the domination of Fratelli among the right vote. This has meant "reeling in" some of the more sensible Lega politicians and encouraging them not to go around spouting off about how it's all fake news and how great Putin is, cos they know it goes against a significant chunk of public opinion, including many of their own voters.

Five Star and the coalition

Interesting to note: the party who was MOST absent during Zelensky's speech to the Parliament was... Five Star! As they are generally the biggest kool-aid drinkers, conspiracy theorists, therefore it's all NATO, fake news, etc. There are some Lega politicians (like Francesca Donato) who are also on this side of the camp, so to speak, but I think there are also many more pragmatic Lega politicians.

Important to note at this point: Lega, Five Star and Forza are all in the "mega coalition" and therefore are eating from a slightly more comfortable position at the dining table at the moment. They have more to lose, in that, in the next election they will have to take some shared responsibility for the actions of the government (which is led by realpolitik technocrat banker Mario Draghi and largely devoid of any social program at all, besides "saving the Italian economy".)

Fratelli d'Italia

So then, on to the only major party (in terms of polling) that isn't in the current government coalition: Fratelli. What are they saying? Well, it's sort of predictable: they don't want to take sides too keenly with either Ukraine or Russia, as hey, they may need to be friends with whoever wins down the line, so better to be a little vague. What they are openly cheering, and perhaps unique in doing so (and to be honest, respect, cos it's a ballsy position and one that I couldn't see the Tories so openly taking) is how the great war is for the Italian armaments industry! "We're the only Party that's been pushing for increased military spending since even before the war, and now look: we were right all along."

Obviously Meloni is heavily critical of the European Union for being an impotent force (militarily) and decries its reliance on the US for foreign policy. This might make you think she's anti-Putin, but I have no doubt she'd one of the first to congratulate him if Russia were ever able to declare any sort of meaningful victory.

Which is of course quite hilarious, what with Putin's main propaganda message being one of denazification, and Fratelli not really being very far from Nazis themselves (and being the direct heirs of Republic of Salo)
 
Possibility of early election
Italy’s coalition government is teetering on the brink of collapse after the Five Star Movement refused to participate in a confidence vote, raising the spectre of a snap general election.
Though the president refused to accept Draghi's resignation
talian Prime Minister Mario Draghi has tendered his resignation after populist coalition partner Five Star withdrew its support in a confidence vote.
The former head of the European Central Bank has led a unity government since February 2021.
In a statement, he said the pact of trust that had sustained the unity government had gone.
However, the president refused to accept his resignation.
Considering that the main benefactor of a collapse with be the FdI I suspect more than a few interested parties will be trying to make sure it does not come to an election but who knows.

Italian workers are going to be screwed whatever - Draghi or the FdI.
 
Five Star have committed suicide over the last few months, its amazing. First they kicked out Luigi Di Maio (who has started a new party which will go nowhere at next election) and now Conte withdrawing support for Draghi government. But they must know that at the next election they will cease to exist as a meaningful political force. Its over. And thank fuck. Mattarella apparently won't let Draghi resign but not much draghi can do without five star support. Elections will deliver the meloni premiership I've been predicting for ages, in coalition with lega and forza italia beside them. They will talk the talk in terms of helping people with cost of living crisis (provided they are ethnic Italians) but I'd expect a massive surge in industrial unrest too
 
Some pieces from the FT giving the view of capital

Subscribe to read | Financial Times
“It would be extremely difficult to deliver further reforms before the next elections,” said Lorenzo Codogno, former director-general of Italy’s Treasury. “If you have an emergency and elections are in the distant future, parties are more willing to compromise. As elections approach, this situation becomes more and more difficult.” Codogno said Draghi now “prefers to step down and go for early elections”, likely believing such a move to be in Italy’s best interests. “If you wait, it would be a wasted year because nobody would be able to do anything,” he added. But Lucrezia Reichlin, a professor of economics at London Business School, said, “there still a possibility that the Draghi government will survive — it’s not over. In Italy, traditionally, creative solutions have always been found.”
While Five Star boycotted a vote this week on an economic aid bill that included approval of the plant, Salvini expressed support for a disruptive taxi driver strike against a new competition law, which was required for Italy to receive its next tranche of Covid funds. By offering his resignation, many analysts believe Draghi has strengthened his hand against the coalition parties, many of whose members dread the prospect of an early poll given their poor chances of re-election to a parliament that is being reduced in size.

Subscribe to read | Financial Times
Italy’s political parties should commit to Draghi’s reforms and urge him to remain until the elections. But they must also credibly plan for a post-Draghi future. So too must the EU and the ECB: they both clutch to the former ECB president as a reliable and crisis-hardened partner. The window for structural reform in Italy that Draghi opened may be rapidly closing. Italian politicians, including Draghi himself, must ensure it does not slam shut this week. Whatever it takes.

Subscribe to read | Financial Times
The ECB’s scheme, dubbed the “transmission protection mechanism” by the central bank, is expected to be used to counter what it considers unjustified increases in a country’s financing costs — which it calls fragmentation — by buying its bonds. Lagarde told EU lawmakers last month that the ECB would not let this “fragmentation risk” happen and “hamper” the smooth transmission of its policy decisions. “You have to kill it in the bud,” she said. But economists warn the upheaval in Italy highlights just how difficult it will prove for the ECB to disentangle the impact of unjustified speculation from more justified movements in yields based on a bleaker economic outlook.
Francesco Papadia, a senior fellow at Brussels-based think-tank Bruegel and former head of market operations at the ECB, wrote on Twitter: “The ECB can’t do anything for countries that damage themselves.” Silvia Ardagna, senior European economist at UK bank Barclays, agreed, saying: “Italy will not benefit from the activation of this tool if political uncertainty increases, Draghi resigns and early elections are held.”
 
Sounds like there's a harsh crackdown going on against SI Cobas and the other base unions. English-language stuff I've been able to find is this official statement, via twitter:

#SICobas statement from today: The national coordinator of the rank-and-file union #SICobas has been placed under house arrest, together with three union organisers in the city of #Piacenza, & 2 local organisers of the @usbsindacato union.

Charges are "criminal association","private violence", resistance to public official, sabotage & interruption of public service, in order to achieve advantages for the union members over & above the national collective agreement, & to achieve personal advantages.

This attack is aimed at isolating combative workers of the logistic sector from the rest of the working class in a moment when wages are being battered by inflation spurred by the war and a strong, generalised struggle is needed.

The state judicial and police apparatus also aim at criminalising strikes and pickets, and restoring monopoly powers for the official unions that have become a pillar of the system and are supporting the bosses' governments.

Logistic workers have given a strong response with a general strike and demonstrations in more than a dozen cities. Next Saturday a national demonstration in Piacenza will take place. (SI Cobas International Solidarity Committee)
Also found this solidarity statement from Greek tankie types:

And this from Italian leftcoms, saying pretty much what you'd expect:

If anyone speaks Italian or fancies messing around with a translator, much more here:
 
SI Cobas can call all the general strikes it wants but the CGIL, CISL, UIL, UGL and other "bought" unions will never support it. it's membership however seems to have grown quite a bit in the last few years, but still concentrated in the main logistics and industrial hubs of the north
 
Piece from David Broder
For most of the last week, Italian media was immersed in speculation on whether Mario Draghi wanted to remain prime minister — with some outlets almost begging him to do so. Even before his appointment as head of government in February 2021, the ex-European Central Bank chief was widely painted in both domestic and international media as the “Super Mario” who would “save Italy like he saved the euro.” In Italian centrist outlets, this praise never wavered, and in his final days in office, there were even some (very small) street protests to call for him to stay on. For the most sycophantic, Draghi was “the prime minister Italy needs, not the one it deserves.”
Yet, with the parliament in any case set to reach its natural end in spring 2023, it seems plausible that such considerations factored into the play of opportunisms that has brought the vote forward. So far, there is no electoral list of Draghi supporters, akin to the Scelta Civica party set up by allies of technocratic premier Mario Monti ahead of the 2013 election. Yet the soft-left Democrats look particularly keen to defend Draghi’s record as their own, damning the right-wingers who forced early elections and praising the Forza Italia ministers who quit Berlusconi’s party in response.
Shortly ahead of the Draghi government’s collapse, La Repubblicareported that Fratelli d’Italia group chats were identifying potential members of a new right-wing administration “a team of technocrats with a reassuring face,” perhaps even with someone other than Meloni as prime minister. Any such arrangement will clearly also have to reckon with the pressure from the other right-wing parties, with the Lega’s regional governors especially keen to occupy the departments best able to disburse cash. But one telling name mentioned was Giulio Tremonti, economy minister throughout almost all of Berlusconi’s years in office scattered between 1994 and 2011.
Doubtless there are many reasons to expect that the next Italian government, including one formed by hard-to-far-right parties, will not be able to spend five years calmly implementing the policies it sets out during the coming election campaign. The war in Ukraine, soaring inflation, and the continued effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on public health care are only the crises that we can see already. But even should reactionary forces in government stumble into these obstacles — testing their efforts to show a ”reassuring” face — alternatives on the Left are still sorely lacking. With the right-wing bloc radicalizing and the liberal center tying its colors to technocratic figures like Draghi, the spaces for alternatives based on renewed social solidarity seem ever weaker.
That last paragraph is very much on target IMO. The circumstances are going to limit things to a certain extent, and I suspect infighting will also be a factor, but a Fdi/Lega/FI government is going to attack workers. Yet so will any technocratic alternative.
 
Compare the above with the liberal perspective

As it became clear this week that Mario Draghi would resign as Italian prime minister, the hashtag #poveraItalia — poor Italy — trended on social media. Why, anguished Italians were asking, are we discarding a statesman of rare quality when our often misgoverned country is most in need of wise, efficient and principled leadership? Why do we harm ourselves so needlessly? “We played with the future of Italians,” lamented foreign minister Luigi Di Maio. “The effects of this tragic choice will remain in history.”
Draghi’s experience as a former Italian central bank chief and ECB president appeared of the utmost importance at a time of intensifying market pressure on Italian sovereign bonds. Recently widening yield spreads between German and Italian debt tell a familiar story about the lack of market faith in the Italian political classes. It is not so much that Italy’s public debt of about 150 per cent of gross domestic product is unmanageable as that financial markets and its eurozone partners want to see a disciplined hand on the economic tiller.
If Draghi’s resignation was abrupt and undesirable, it was nonetheless entirely consistent with political practice in Italy’s post-1945 democratic era. His national unity administration lasted 17 months, slightly longer than the average term for the 69 governments since the second world war. Prime ministers fall like ninepins because of rebellions, desertions and tactical manoeuvres among the coalitions that provide their legislative majority. Draghi was particularly vulnerable partly because he was a non-party technocrat with no natural base, and partly because the politicians who supported him in 2021 are rivals who disagree on most things except the need to keep an eye on the next elections. He stood out because unlike most Italian prime ministers — honourable exceptions include fellow technocrats Carlo Azeglio Ciampi and Mario Monti — he was not beholden to the opaque networks of influence that pervade the political system and public administration. These are reinforced by an electoral system that allows party leaderships to control who stands for parliament. Many political careers depend less on winning voters’ trust than on displaying loyalty to party bosses.
(my emphasis) bring back the honourable technocrats!
 
Exit polls out at around 10pm UK time --- my prediction:

Fratelli d'Italia 27%
Lega Nord 16%
Forza Italia 8%
PD 24%
Five Star 15%
Others combined 10%
 
I have literally no idea what Fratelli's economic programme is going to be like but I predict:
1) enormous reduction in Mafia arrests
2) enormous increase in the "grey economy" and fiscal evasion
3) point 2 leads to an "on paper" (but not in reality) shrink in Italian GDP
4) total hypocrisy in terms of strong words against North African migrants and "stopping the boats" going hand in hand with enormous monetary kickbacks to Libya for preferential gas treatment
5) tax cuts for the rich
6) "keep it quiet" but very real selling off of Italian state assets to European private investors in order to continue receiving EU support
 
"A good thing" according to Hilary Clinton, because Meloni's win is "a step forward for women."



Identity politics eh :rolleyes:
 
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