butchersapron
Bring back hanging
Manslaughter conviction from ages back means he's disbarred from standing - he's not even allowed to lead the party he leads in fact.
Wow (really).Manslaughter conviction from ages back means he's disbarred from standing - he's not even allowed to lead the party he leads in fact.
Manslaughter conviction from ages back means he's disbarred from standing - he's not even allowed to lead the party he leads in fact.
Hollande has said he's not standing again and unsurprisingly Valls has put himself forwards.
Le Pen is concentrating her rhetoric on what she will do for working people. She says she has no problem with Islam, only with fundamentalist Islam. Fillon, OTOH, makes no bones about his problems with Islam generally. And he wants to do away with half a million civil service jobs in a country where unemployment is twice the rate it is here. It looks as though Le Pen is laundering her image to make a bid for the socialist vote, the socialists having at present no realistic candidate.
More polling...
Popularity rating around 4 % . Really makes you wonder about that 4 % .
Unemployment has gone down for the third successive month, so maybe it's them.
Anne Hidalgo, the PS mayor of Paris, has run some interesting transport schemes in the last month to counter the shitty air quality. These include free public transport, free Vélib (their Boris Bikes) and only allowing odd or even number plates on alternate days. I'd love it if the UK tried these, whether in London or elsewhere. Sadly London didn't join Paris, Athens, Mexico City and Madrid in pledging to ban diesel cars by 2025.
The upshot of this is that I haven't heard of riots on the streets of Paris at the nanny state, so maybe the PS aren't that unpopular as a whole (unless there's a Parisian metropolitan bubble).
Going off the Brexit and US polls Le Pen will win by a narrow majority.Of course, recent events have taught us that us that the polls are infallible.
I suspect also, that there are Le Pen voters who won't publicly admit to being so.
It will be tight, I think.
Would a President Le Pen be able to put through her extreme policies? Le Front national only have two seats in the National Assembly and none in the Senate (although there are elections this year for both). I'm not entirely sure how legislation gets enacted in France yet, but my understanding is that even Les Républicains won't play nicely with the FN.
Though no actual figures of the rise given.Macron is becoming a growing phenomenon in the highly unpredictable French presidential election campaign. In recent weeks, the maverick former economy minister has begun to rise so steadily in polls that he is now seen as capable of causing a major surprise in the spring vote – perhaps able to reach the final round by knocking out one of the current top contenders: the rightwing, social conservative, free-market reformist François Fillon and the far-right, anti-immigration, anti-EU Marine Le Pen.
former investment banker
No, it would be a cohabitation, so the Prime Minister would be from another party (LR, presumably). Where you have a cohabitation, the Prime Minister is in many respects more powerful than the President, because they basically run the legislative programme and have the Assembly votes. I wouldn't be so confident that LR and FN are incapable of colluding on some pretty nauseating stuff, though.
Going off the Brexit and US polls Le Pen will win by a narrow majority.
They're not always different parties though, are they? Hollande and Valls are both PS, for example. Wikipedia seems to suggest the President has a free choice, even being able to go outside the National Assembly, but is there any kind of expectation that the PM is from the largest party in the NA?
. Marine Le Pen also foresees danger. She has argued that Macron was “the bankers’ candidate”, and she may have a point: before entering the political arena, Macron was an investment banker with Rothschild. While working for the company, he was behind a high-profile deal between Nestlé and Pfizer that made him a millionaire. Yet Macron astonishingly portrays himself as an “anti-system” candidate in a struggle with all “types of corporatist and conservative powers”. This is an audacious claim from someone who is a media favourite and who has close connections with business circles.
Emmanuel Macron will not be able to fool the public for much longer: his “anti-system” stand is a sham. His ideas are totally embedded in a failed economic system that he supported when he was in government. Yet he may still pull off a major upset in the spring: French voters are in the mood for kicking out the discredited old hands of French politics. Macron, although a man of the system, is not perceived as one of them.