French Presidential elections

[Sue]

the French people living in London must on average be far richer than those living in France.

I go to a French meetup group in London sometimes. A lot of of the French people I meet at that are here working in IT and banking.

 

[The Boy]

There's a ban on publishing any sort of polling in France for 48 hours before polls close. That said, Belgian outfit La Libre have published a preliminary exit poll:

Macron 24%
Le Pen 22%
Fillon 20,5%
Melenchon 18%

 

[bluescreen]

Have a look at #RadioLondres on twitter. Overseas coming in strong for Mélenchon.

 

[J Ed]

There's a ban on publishing any sort of polling in France for 48 hours before polls close. That said, Belgian outfit La Libre have published a preliminary exit poll:

Macron 24%
Le Pen 22%
Fillon 20,5%
Melenchon 18%

Here if anyone wants to see it Présidentielle: Macron devant Le Pen selon un sondage sortie des urnes (DIRECT)

 

[The Boy]

Here if anyone wants to see it Présidentielle: Macron devant Le Pen selon un sondage sortie des urnes (DIRECT)

Cheers. I'm supposed to be cramming for an exam, and totes failing at multitasking.

 

[bluescreen]

People use code to avoid prosecution on the Radio Londres hashtag, eg:

 

[The Boy]

translation?

 

[littlebabyjesus]

translation?

Le Pen, Macron, Fillon, Melenchon? I presume Fillon is 'rothschild', although that's a bit obscure to me.

 

[J Ed]

translation?

I assume Nuremberg = Le Pen, Rothschild = Macron, Money Money = Fillon, Caracas = Mélenchon

 

[bluescreen]

translation?

OK, I'm not 100% sure but my hunch is Nuremburg = Le Pen, Money Money = Fillon, Rothschild = Macron and Caracas = Mélenchon.

ETA: Fillon's party apologizes for anti-Semitic attack on French rival Macron

 

[J Ed]

No idea why we are trusting it though

 

[The Boy]

Le Pen, Macron, Fillon, Melenchon? I presume Fillon is 'rothschild', although that's a bit obscure to me.

Aaaaaah. I got the Rothschild reference as being MAcron - was them he worked for.

edit: but I didn't realise that it was supposed to be an exit poll of sorts,.

 

[DownwardDog]

translation?

Putin's Catspaw 24
Crook 22
GILF Specialist 20
Mental Communist 16

 

[littlebabyjesus]

Aaaaaah. I got the Rothschild reference as being MAcron - was them he worked for.

Ah, you're probably right then. So they have Le Pen v Fillon second round!

 

[bluescreen]

Poll's not closed yet!

 

[The Boy]

I still don't know who the 'they' is though.

 

[bluescreen]

I still don't know who the 'they' is though.

It's a hashtag anyone uses to post up clandestine exit polls but of course it can be trolled as well. It's a bit addictive to follow. Here's the latest


Someone else pointed out that by midday there'd been only 30% turnout so any polls can't be trusted.

 

[littlebabyjesus]

It's a hashtag anyone uses to post up clandestine exit polls but of course it can be trolled as well. It's a bit addictive to follow. Here's the latest
View attachment 105091

Someone else pointed out that by midday there'd been only 30% turnout so any polls can't be trusted.

And if I'm translating that one right, they're a bit all over the place, too.

If they're posting up clandestine exit polls, are these just snapshots of little bits of the country?

 

[butchersapron]

The more relevant questions are surely who has carried out these polls and on what basis?

 

[Idris2002]

Strong showing for the mental commie in les departments d'outre mer:

Ce n'est qu'un debut! Continuons le combat!

 

[Dr. Furface]

GILF Specialist 20

 

[bluescreen]

The more relevant questions are surely who has carried out these polls and on what basis?

It's totally untrustworthy unless you know the poster. Don't take it too seriously. Someone's just put a tweet mocking fantasy numbers.

 

[hot air baboon]

I still don't know who the 'they' is though.

 

[Sue]

Guyane is interesting, especially in light of recent events -- Melenchon and Le Pen pretty much equal.

French Guiana strikes lifted after aid package agreed with Paris

 

[Idris2002]

Of course, you know our boy Mellie is a Freemason?

 

[littlebabyjesus]

Strong showing for the mental commie in les departments d'outre mer:

Ce n'est qu'un debut! Continuons le combat!

Damn those bourgeois Guadeloupe splitters!

 

[Kaka Tim]

when do we get any results? do we get official exit polls after the voting closes (10pm tonight?)?

 

[bluescreen]

when do we get any results? do we get official exit polls after the voting closes (10pm tonight?)?

Should have a clearer idea some time after 8 pm BST.

Every French election ends with a projection broadcast on national TV at 20:00 (18:00 GMT), as the polls close in the big cities. But this one may well be different. For a start, outside the main cities, voting will close an hour later than usual at 19:00 so there is less time to collate initial results.

And then there is another factor that is straining the nerves at the big TV channels. Two candidates will go through to the second round run-off, but the race has been so close that the main channels have even planned for showing three faces at the top of their eight o'clock bulletin: just in case they are not 100% sure who will go through.

Live coverage of the French presidential election first round - BBC News

ETA: 7pm

 

[Sue]

when do we get any results? do we get official exit polls after the voting closes (10pm tonight?)?

Voting finishes at eight tonight (French time). Think we get some polls then -- not sure if exit polls or just polls done since Friday night.

 

[hot air baboon]

We expect to have exit polls from around 5pm BST, and an indication of the results around 7-8pm BST. It is expected that results will be confirmed by midnight BST.


turnout looks slightly down on prev 2 elections