butchersapron
Bring back hanging
How many are they? People in affluent areas that the cuts haven't directly effected. Who else can they tailor their pleas to? They have fucked over pretty much every interest group.
How many are they? People in affluent areas that the cuts haven't directly effected. Who else can they tailor their pleas to? They have fucked over pretty much every interest group.
I think that's exactly what it's about and exactly in those areas.Do you think this may be what Cameron's thing about gay marriage is? It doesn't make sense to me otherwise, but if it takes out the LDs ability to portray themselves as nice social liberals against horrid tory reactionaries then it might win the tories seats off the LDs by collapsing the LD vote even further? I ahven't looked at the figures at all so just thinking off the top of my head here. I guess I'd be looking at fairly well-off socially liberal south-east seats, sw London etc, where the tories are second to the LDs.
Also possibly places like Hove where Labour ought to win (and will I suppose) but where there's a narrow tory margin vs Labour but there are a lot of LD votes - dunno if there are any examples of this.
I wonder what the results would have been if the same questions had been asked two or three years ago. Rather different, I suspect, given that it seems logical to suppose that a lot of the members the Lib Dems have haemorrhaged have been from the left of the party.
That was roughly my first reaction, but then I just thought 'fuck it - they've made their bed, and now they've got to lie in it.' Reeves and Cleggy and the rest of them can huff and puff all the like, but the reality is that they made a suicidal political miscalculation going into coalition with the Tories, and recovering from it will take decades, not years, if it's even possible.
There are some spectacularly deluded people around at the grassroots, though. I was talking recently with someone - not a fool, by any means - who worked for Tim Farron briefly a couple of years back. When I made some cynical remark about that being just as the Lib Dem collapse started he came back with a pile of clichés about how the situation on the ground actually wasn't too bad, and people would respect them for taking tough but necessary decisions, and so on and so forth. He also suggested that people in cities such as Hull (where this conversation took place) must be 'stupid' if they won't vote Lib Dem again. I took umbrage at that one and demanded to know why people should be expected to carry on voting for a party that had ditched all of its manifesto commitments, and allowed a right-wing Tory government to inflict the worst of the spending cuts on the poorest areas of the country, including a lot of former Lib Dem strongholds. He didn't have much answer to that, and still less when I pointed out the UKIP-esque opinion poll ratings, two rounds of disastrous local elections and Farron's own admission that the Lib dems will not be able to fight another election as a national political force if things don't improve for them. He still didn't seem to get it. Didn't stop us ending up in bed tbh.
Hang on:
That escalated quicklyI wonder what the results would have been if the same questions had been asked two or three years ago. Rather different, I suspect, given that it seems logical to suppose that a lot of the members the Lib Dems have haemorrhaged have been from the left of the party.
That was roughly my first reaction, but then I just thought 'fuck it - they've made their bed, and now they've got to lie in it.' Reeves and Cleggy and the rest of them can huff and puff all the like, but the reality is that they made a suicidal political miscalculation going into coalition with the Tories, and recovering from it will take decades, not years, if it's even possible.
There are some spectacularly deluded people around at the grassroots, though. I was talking recently with someone - not a fool.
How many are they? People in affluent areas that the cuts haven't directly effected. Who else can they tailor their pleas to? They have fucked over pretty much every interest group.
I spent my teenage years living in Werrington. It was shit.
I'm getting the distinct impression that they're hoping to nick Tory voters who're put off by the tories turning back into the nasty party that Cameron pretended they weren't at the last election.Serious question: what's the profile of potential lib-dem voters for may 2015?
Do you think this may be what Cameron's thing about gay marriage is? It doesn't make sense to me otherwise, but if it takes out the LDs ability to portray themselves as nice social liberals against horrid tory reactionaries then it might win the tories seats off the LDs by collapsing the LD vote even further? I ahven't looked at the figures at all so just thinking off the top of my head here. I guess I'd be looking at fairly well-off socially liberal south-east seats, sw London etc, where the tories are second to the LDs.
Yes, I think that very probably is it.
That said, I do think the Cameron types do genuinely believe gay marriage is at least no bad thing. Gay rights - or at least, the right of gay people to be 'good' Tory-voting, married, property-owning - is something that can be pretty easily incorporated into their view of the world.
Yep it's pretty reactionary really, extending the nuclear unit to gay people and generally universalising its wonderfulness.
I was more wondering about why he would go strong on it when he's already got a significantly large disgruntled trad clique grumbling on the sidelines but it may be that decent polling data will show him that the tories have more to gain from LD floating voters than he has to lose in UKIP defecting voters. But I haven't looked at the numbers in any seats so I don't know how well it stands up.
This is just my impression though, and I've no inside line on this stuff these days as my brother really doesn't like talking about it anymore, I think he just stays as a member mainly because he's now mates with quite a few of them in the local party after helping out for a decade or so. I can't remember the last time he actually delivered any of the leaflets that the lib dems keep dropping off for him to deliver. I think he may have done it once this year, the rest went in the bin - he spent about a month solid putting poster boards etc up for them at the last election.
I'm getting the distinct impression that they're hoping to nick Tory voters who're put off by the tories turning back into the nasty party that Cameron pretended they weren't at the last election.
I'm guessing that the idea for them would be that if they can do this then they might get enough off the tories to end up in coalition with Labour. I suspect that's their strategy, though I honestly think that those in ministerial positions don't give a shit who they're in coalition with as long as they get to keep their sniff of power.
I don't think Clegg really believes the Labour line that they might go into coalition with lib dems if needed, but not with Clegg as leader either.
This is just my impression though, and I've no inside line on this stuff these days as my brother really doesn't like talking about it anymore, I think he just stays as a member mainly because he's now mates with quite a few of them in the local party after helping out for a decade or so. I can't remember the last time he actually delivered any of the leaflets that the lib dems keep dropping off for him to deliver. I think he may have done it once this year, the rest went in the bin - he spent about a month solid putting poster boards etc up for them at the last election.
And the right of centre vote gets split 3 ways.
This thread's pretty good as a advance post-mortem on those reality-avoiding numpties
I am thirteen years old.I am an ardent Anglican. I started my political blog libdemchild in April 2010 to support the Liberal Democrat party. I have given 5 speeches at Lib Dem conferences.
This child was just on The BigIs Christmas about Rampant Capitalism or Baby Jesus?
After 65 years in the wilderness, the Liberal Democrats found themselves in government at just the right time for the UK.