Who is going to win the 2018/2019 Tory Leadership election?

[Kaka Tim]

It’ll be Hunt.

the members will choose the most brexity of the last two candidates - and i cant see that being Hunt.

 

[Bahnhof Strasse]

the members will choose the most brexity of the last two candidates

Only if a majority want a hard Brexit, which afaik they don’t.

 

[Kaka Tim]

Only if a majority want a hard Brexit, which afaik they don’t.

majority of tory members very much do want a "no deal" hard brexit. 76% of them according the the article below. And its them who make the final choice.

Brexit: most Tory members would choose no deal over May's plan

 

[redsquirrel]

majority of tory members very much do want a "no deal" hard brexit. 76% of them according the the article below. And its them who make the final choice.

Brexit: most Tory members would choose no deal over May's plan

Hang on, that's not really an accurate reading of that piece. 76% of members would rather no deal than remain. That does not mean that there is a majority for no deal rather than any deal.

 

[Kaka Tim]

Hang on, that's not really an accurate reading of that piece. 76% of members would rather no deal than remain. That does not mean that there is a majority for no deal rather than any deal.

yes - slightly misleading - its 57% who are hard for no deal (although that may well be higher now than it was when this survey was done in January). But still - anyone who wants to win the leadership will have to promise they will go "no deal" if the EU wont shift. Even if hunt - or Gove - promise that, they wont be trusted as johnson or raab.

 

[brogdale]

FWIW, back in January the ESRC found 57% of tory members in favour of 'No-Deal'...may well have changed since then.

 

[brogdale]

snap

 

[Poi E]

Oh dear. right, off to conservative home for a gloat.

 

[Dogsauce]

FWIW, back in January the ESRC found 57% of tory members in favour of 'No-Deal'...may well have changed since then.

View attachment 171566

That’s no deal vs May’s deal or remain. Another (non-May) ‘deal’ could be possible but that option wasn’t given.

 

[Badgers]

Is Leadsom out of the running then?

 

[killer b]

I don't think so. Why would she be?

 

[littlebabyjesus]

Is Leadsom out of the running then?

Was she ever in it? From what I remember, she was exposed as something of a fuckwit when she stood for the leadership last time.

 

[Puddy_Tat]

she was exposed as something of a fuckwit

is that a bar to the position, though?

 

[littlebabyjesus]

is that a bar to the position, though?

yes, I was wondering the same thing as I typed. I think there is a certain kind of fuckwittedness - the kind that sees you making stupid statements to the press all the time - that might be a bar. Then again Boris Johnson. Hmmm.

 

[brogdale]

I don't think so. Why would she be?

Yesterday's spectacle looked more like an attempt to wrest headlines away from her main rival tbh than anything vaguely connected with Brexit.

 

[Pickman's model]

Is Leadsom out of the running then?

come the glorious day she'll run, until then the best we can hope for is a brisk walk

 

[Puddy_Tat]

come the glorious day she'll run, until then the best we can hope for is a brisk walk

the proverbial long walk off a short pier, for preference

 

[cupid_stunt]

the proverbial long walk off a short pier, for preference

She's welcomed to come to Worthing for that, in fact I'll give her a push, to help her on her way.

 

[brogdale]

A.L. chapters this rather well, I think...

 

[steveo87]

It's going to be Boris, isn't it?

 

[brogdale]

Now, another unelected Prime Minister

 

[MickiQ]

It's impressive so many of them want the job, Brexit has killed the careers of 2 Tory PM's, I reckon it will claim a third before too long.

 

[Sprocket.]

It's impressive so many of them want the job, Brexit has killed the careers of 2 Tory PM's, I reckon it will claim a third before too long.

Kevin Maguire just saying that’s the last four Tory prime ministers brought down by Europe.

 

[brogdale]

Kevin Maguire just saying that’s the last four Tory prime ministers brought down by Europe.

2 during Corbyn's leadership.

 

[LDC]

Jacob Rees Mogg for the win/laughing stock of the world.

 

[Sprocket.]

If anything the BBC coverage within the last ten minutes has just galvanised the belief in the country that the Tories are nothing more than two-faced, back stabbing snakes.

 

[Pickman's model]

If anything the BBC coverage within the last ten minutes has just galvanised the belief in the country that the Tories are nothing more than two-faced, back stabbing snakes.

and confirmed it beyond any reasonable doubt

 

[Sprocket.]

They’ve just dug David Mellor up.

 

[Pickman's model]

They’ve just dug David Mellor up.

from beyond the grave

 

[steveo87]

2 during Corbyn's leadership.