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    Lazy Llama

US election 2020 thread

Although obviously everything else was in no way reasonable...
He's been annoyed by Biden talking about winning apparently. But he clearly doesn't get that Biden only did that cos Trump claimed to have won himself. In a reasonable election, neither side would have claimed victory at all yet - they'd both just be saying 'wait, be patient, let the count happen'.
 
He's been annoyed by Biden talking about winning apparently. But he clearly doesn't get that Biden only did that cos Trump claimed to have won himself. In a reasonable election, neither side would have claimed victory at all yet - they'd both just be saying 'wait, be patient, let the count happen'.
Yeah, I heard something the other day about the Democrats feeling in 2000 they'd let the Republicans shape the narrative of being the winners so they were determined not to let them have that space again.
 
Yeah, I heard something the other day about the Democrats feeling in 2000 they'd let the Republicans shape the narrative of being the winners so they were determined not to let them have that space again.
Absolutely. Bush won that in part because he claimed victory first. But it seems someone told Trump that, so he tried to copy it. But Bush was speaking after about the second recount or something, not right in the middle of the first count.
 
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He's been annoyed by Biden talking about winning apparently. But he clearly doesn't get that Biden only did that cos Trump claimed to have won himself. In a reasonable election, neither side would have claimed victory at all yet - they'd both just be saying 'wait, be patient, let the count happen'.

Biden probably did it in part because the Democrats remembered lessons from 2000 that included failing to keep putting in convincing public performances on crucial days of delay, a failure to have Gore come across like the winner with real momentum on his side. And this time they knew Trump would take the low road so it wasnt very hard to come up with a script for Biden to take the high road with.

edit - oops I was too late with this point.
 
So how do we explain the late swing of mail votes to Trump in Arizona and Nevada?
No postal vote bias to Biden in the west. More accustomed to everyone voting postally. Different dynamic. Nevada hasn't swung to Trump, though.

Arizona could go, tbf. Won't need it.
 
So how do we explain the late swing of mail votes to Trump in Arizona and Nevada?

Arizona - state that has a history of mail-in voting prior to this election, so mail-in votes not as Dem heavy as elsewhere. Possible could remain Republican
Nevada - remaining votes all in highly Dem areas - less likely to go Republican.
 
I'd love it if trump's lawyers had to stick word for word to the claims he made when they go to court:

'Would you make your opening statement counsel?'

'Certainly, your honour... bad people... fake votes!... I won easily... what happened there... everybody knows... Florida... Florida... Florida... if they count the legal votes... very bad things... a very corrupt place'
 
Forget Georgia tonight. There are 3,500 (I think) provisional votes to count they haven't looked at yet and 9,000 overseas/military votes that dont even have to arrive before tomorrow
 
NYT says 440k but those numbers aren't especially reliable tbh
The AZ counties reporting so far today have been Cochise & Pinal which are both ones in which Trump leads. The biggie is Maricopa (Phoenix) which dominates the state to the extent that you can't win it without carrying that county. Biden leads handily there but it's still trad Republican so no guarantee that it'll be wildly positive for Biden
 
and they've only counted 75% of the californian vote - that's worth another million on that tally alone
The entire national popular vote lead is attributable to California at this point - Biden is up 4m in the state
 
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