The Scottish independence referendum polling thread

[TheHoodedClaw]

The full pdf of the Survation poll for those that like tables

http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Better-Together-Voting-Intention-Tables.pdf

 

[Sue]

It's going to be interesting to see the effect of the current crop of 'business and jobs fleeing, financial meltdown' stories. Think this could have the opposite effect intended if they're not careful.

 

[TheHoodedClaw]

It's going to be interesting to see the effect of the current crop of 'business and jobs fleeing, financial meltdown' stories. Think this could have the opposite effect intended if they're not careful.

The Survation fieldwork was done from the 10th to the 12th, so right bang in the middle of those stories. It's just one poll, obviously.

 

[butchersapron]

This survation onw must be seen as a stand-alone poll rather than a continuation of their series as it's a phone poll rather than an on-line one. So we can't say the vote is up or down for either side, just that this is what this poll found.

 

[danny la rouge]

Society Disagrees Scotland is “Better Together”

"From my analysis, it looks like the Yes campaign will beat the No campaign on polling day. As I write this I am personally very disappointed as I think Scotland would be stronger in the union. We predicted it correctly for the Mayor of London, and Obama vs Romney – so we do have a track of calling these things."

http://blog.majesticseo.com/research/scottish-election-poll/

 

[treelover]

I really want Scotland to choose its own way although there is no guarantee it will be a progressive one, but personally i' m very worried that it may be a Tory England though I'm aware plenty on here have said that won't automatically follow, surely the political centre of gravity will move to the right.

 

[danny la rouge]

I really want Scotland to choose its own way although there is no guarantee it will be a progressive one, but personally i' m very worried that it may be a Tory England though I'm aware plenty on here have said that won't automatically follow, surely the political centre of gravity will move to the right.

Why would the political centre of gravity in England move at all?

 

[butchersapron]

Latest ICM rumours are (ICM well leaked last time):

YES - 54%
NO - 46%

 

[danny la rouge]

 

[butchersapron]

That's him reporting the rumour as fact mind.

 

[butchersapron]

And thiis what it's based on - it's supposed to be a bit from the ST piece on their/ICM polling:

Here is the article.

 

[weltweit]

There is only one poll that matters.

 

[butchersapron]

ICM poll now confirmed.

Stop saying stupid things weltweit.

 

[butchersapron]

25-30% smaller sample size than normal for some reason.

 

[butchersapron]

Opinium:

NO 53
YES 47

 

[butchersapron]

So, one more to come today, but so far:

54/46 NO
56/48 YES
53/47 NO

 

[Theisticle]

The ICM 'Yes' poll has major caveats:

http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2014/09/icm-put-yes-ahead-perhaps/

 

[treelover]

If Yes lose, there is going to be a lot of genuine anger about how big business intervened in the last week, etc.

 

[Flavour]

The ones who really sicken me are the people on the marginalized remnants of the "Socialist" left who are supporting NO. SPGB, Socialist Appeal etc

 

[ferrelhadley]

an ICM survey of 700 Scots for The Sunday Telegraph gave the Yes vote an eight-point lead;

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukn...rve-the-UK.-What-will-their-families-say.html

Seems like a confirmation unless I missed it earlier.

Edited no its upthread

 

[J Ed]

The ones who really sicken me are the people on the marginalized remnants of the "Socialist" left who are supporting NO. SPGB, Socialist Appeal etc

All 5 of them?

 

[ska invita]

The ICM 'Yes' poll has major caveats:

http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2014/09/icm-put-yes-ahead-perhaps/

interesting, especially about the landlines

 

[ibilly99]

6th verse of the 'National Anthem'

Lord grant that Marshal Wade
May by thy mighty aid
Victory bring
May he sedition hush
And like a torrent rush
Rebellious Scots to crush
God save the Queen

 

[danny la rouge]

http://whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/should-scotland-be-an-independent-country-1#line

 

[ibilly99]

Still good money to be won if you think Yes will get it.

1/4 No
7/2 Yes

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/scottish-independence/referendum-outcome

 

[butchersapron]

If Yes lose, there is going to be a lot of genuine anger about how big business intervened in the last week, etc.

Yeah, murdoch etc

 

[butchersapron]

The ones who really sicken me are the people on the marginalized remnants of the "Socialist" left who are supporting NO. SPGB, Socialist Appeal etc

Sicken you? From italy, via Manchester? Having principles they stand by? This sickens you? Get out of the treehouse.

 

[Geri]

The ones who really sicken me are the people on the marginalized remnants of the "Socialist" left who are supporting NO. SPGB, Socialist Appeal etc

Get to fuck.

 

[Spanky Longhorn]

The ones who really sicken me are the people on the marginalized remnants of the "Socialist" left who are supporting NO. SPGB, Socialist Appeal etc

get a life you lunatic

 

[ibilly99]

I googled Robert the Bruce and I got this - but at least I know what shinty is now !