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Who is going to win the 2018/2019 Tory Leadership election?

Who is going to win the 2018/2019 Tory Leadership election?


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Anyway, that was shit. They were all competing to say the same thing apart from Stewart, who's pitch seems to be to an audience outside the Tory party. No-one landed any blows, no-one fucked up very badly. I can't see it effecting what comes next at all.
 
Anyway, that was shit. They were all competing to say the same thing apart from Stewart, who's pitch seems to be to an audience outside the Tory party. No-one landed any blows, no-one fucked up very badly. I can't see it effecting what comes next at all.
Agree apart from Maitlis and Nazhanin issue if the pack hadn't rallied round at that point I think that could have counted as a blow.Ditto the mention of pillar-boxes.
 
Stewart came closest with his bit about transforming Social Care to match the NHS it was particularly at that point that his colleagues started to treat him as a hostile witness so to speak.
Given the age demographic of the membership I would say the inadequacies of adult social care would be a bit of specialist subject for a lot of them
 
Did Johnson fuck it up or was he gaffe-free? If the latter it's his race to lose now.

He was underpowered. A poor performance, but gaffe-free. Gove was the best performer I thought. Attacks on Corbyn and lots of repeated ‘detailed plans’ that can be chopped up for social media.
 
Stewart isn't even trying to win this is he? It's positioning for later right?

(Someone - killer b ? - said as much up thread iirc)

Yes, although I suppose its possible to draw some parallels with Corbyn, who wasnt exactly accused of initially standing with the intention of winning, or in his case of even building something for the future.

Stewart may also only be interested in this sort of party politics and debate if he can get somewhere using his particular form of 'realism'. I suppose this sort of realism actually offers a vast landscape of different policy options, different ways to sell out to various interests etc, but it does limit the flavours of rhetoric and propaganda that you have available to you. It appears he can still talk for eternity using the remaining rhetorical devices, but whether such messages will ever resonate with the tory party is another matter. Given that I've seen him get rather excited about the political crisis that Brexit has generated, perhaps he thinks this situation is a good test for this form of realism too.
 
He was underpowered. A poor performance, but gaffe-free. Gove was the best performer I thought. Attacks on Corbyn and lots of repeated ‘detailed plans’ that can be chopped up for social media.

One of Goves new debate techniques, to look straight at the camera, was thwarted by the BBC at times tonight.

Johnson did a bit of the trick that Clegg used too much years ago, the whole 'remember the name of the question asker and mention it' thing, though not as blatantly as Clegg.

Stewart failed to clinically dissect Boris, Maitlis probably got in more attacks on Boris than the rest of them.

I wasnt expecting much but even with low expectations it still felt like a damp squib.
 
Yes, although I suppose its possible to draw some parallels with Corbyn, who wasnt exactly accused of initially standing with the intention of winning, or in his case of even building something for the future.

Stewart may also only be interested in this sort of party politics and debate if he can get somewhere using his particular form of 'realism'. I suppose this sort of realism actually offers a vast landscape of different policy options, different ways to sell out to various interests etc, but it does limit the flavours of rhetoric and propaganda that you have available to you. It appears he can still talk for eternity using the remaining rhetorical devices, but whether such messages will ever resonate with the tory party is another matter. Given that I've seen him get rather excited about the political crisis that Brexit has generated, perhaps he thinks this situation is a good test for this form of realism too.
Corbyn had some base in the Labour Party membership and for bad or worse that was enhanced by Momentum. The Tories lack any appeal to the under 25yr olds and Stewart hasnt built anything on the ground . Whilst those outside of the Tory membership want him to do well I'm not sure that he has a message among the actual Tory membership .
 
Corbyn had some base in the Labour Party membership and for bad or worse that was enhanced by Momentum. The Tories lack any appeal to the under 25yr olds and Stewart hasnt built anything on the ground . Whilst those outside of the Tory membership want him to do well I'm not sure that he has a message among the actual Tory membership .

Yes I wasnt meaning to draw any comparison between Corbyn and Stewart in terms of likely success. Not that people found it easy to predict Corbyns level of success back then either, doh there I go again!

I have no way to actually judge Stewarts aims with great confidence. I do think these sorts of self-proclaimed realists love the opportunity to see if they can get their way of seeing and describing things to resonate. It plays into the whole 'appeal to peoples rational side' thing that is probably quite seductive for those with the means to play a gig on that stage, and supreme confidence in their own rationale and rationality.
 
I've never seen such a shitshow of people talking over and interrupting each other.

I reckon about 30-40% of the programme was this. It would have been interesting for them to be probed on how they intended to do things (the most obvious example being take the UK out of the EU by 31 October) rather than that they intended to do them.

Of course, they don't know...but it would have been good to at least attempt some scrutiny of their shallow undertakings.
 
It would have been interesting for them to be probed on how they intended to do things (the most obvious example being take the UK out of the EU by 31 October) rather than that they intended to do them.
they were probed, but no-one had an answer. I dont think there is an answer, which is why.
 
The problem is that, short of revoking article 50 (which won't get through parliament), all attempts to put off no-deal require the EU to maintain patience and keep extending deadlines. With a right-wing Tory leader as PM I don't think they'll see the point in that. So whatever parliament votes for, the EU will see the PM won't negotiate a new deal seriously, so they'll refuse any further extensions. At that point we crash out and Johnson can and will blame the EU. The economy will tank, foreigners will be blamed for it, and Johnson will thrive. I'm afraid this is the path I see as increasingly likely.

I hope I'm wrong.
In all the blame apportioning, you left out remain voters. They'll definitely be in for their share of blame-shifting if it all goes to shit. "Enemy within" type hysteria from the right wing press, frothing vitriol and death threats on social media etc.

Just to add a cheery note to the prediction...
 
ETA Wrong thread.

Best boy band names so far on twitter are Take Twat, No Direction & Eton Mess. Anyone heard any better?
 
ETA Wrong thread.

Best boy band names so far on twitter are Take Twat, No Direction & Eton Mess. Anyone heard any better?

No but I've heard the title of their latest single is based on a slight tweak of the BBC debates title. Our next prime sinister.
 
Stewart came closest with his bit about transforming Social Care to match the NHS it was particularly at that point that his colleagues started to treat him as a hostile witness so to speak.
Stewart's competing to lead the government of national unity that will be foisted on us after Johnson fucks up.
 
Yes I wasnt meaning to draw any comparison between Corbyn and Stewart in terms of likely success. Not that people found it easy to predict Corbyns level of success back then either, doh there I go again!

I have no way to actually judge Stewarts aims with great confidence. I do think these sorts of self-proclaimed realists love the opportunity to see if they can get their way of seeing and describing things to resonate. It plays into the whole 'appeal to peoples rational side' thing that is probably quite seductive for those with the means to play a gig on that stage, and supreme confidence in their own rationale and rationality.
Yes understand what you are saying .He comes across quite well if a little leftfield but his voting record is tells a different story
 
Yes understand what you are saying .He comes across quite well if a little leftfield but his voting record is tells a different story

I look at his record and mostly see that so far in parliament his 'realism' has involved much loyalty to his party and government.
 
What was all that stuff about being in a room called parliament?

They're all under strict instructions not to say anything that might give Labour any ammunition, basically they might as well just wave their hands about for an hour with the sound off.

I didn't see it but did Stewart really take his tie off :D:D:D
 
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