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Who is going to win the 2018/2019 Tory Leadership election?

Who is going to win the 2018/2019 Tory Leadership election?


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The same could be said for being an MP. I think it was Billy Connelly who said wanting to be an MP should be grounds for being banned from doing so.

The quote was way before him, it was along the lines of 'Those who desire high office are the least suited', or words to that effect.
 
Johnny Mercer is a long shot I think, but he hasn't really been there long enough (2015 I think). I listen to UK radio and his name has come up often from people claiming to be Tory's, it would seem they like the cut of his jib, being an Ex-Army man I'm not sure that is a good phrase (navy term I think). Iirc he was a Remain supporter but gave May a kick when he spoke in the withdrawal debate, but as I say a long shot because of lack of time served, one for the future maybe.

From this distance I have to say I'm not sure May will lose the No Confidence Vote later today but if she does I guess Sajid Javid or Dominic Raab will replace her, although if Boris Johnson could get to the last two I think the party members would pick him.
 
We could do with a 'national interest' watch thread. May has claimed that she must keep her job 'in the national interest'.

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We could do with a 'national interest' watch thread. May has claimed that she must keep her job 'in the national interest'.

It's in the national interest that I get a million quid and Fender Jazzmaster. One of the Japanese-made ones from the 90s. If the nation fails to provide these then it only has itself to blame for the chaos that will surely follow.
 
I bet even before the vote of no confidence , a fair few of them have already gone full Portillo and set up phone banks or whatever the modern equivalent is, to assess possible support
 
If that is true then that means no challenges for a year? The party will implode if so :)
The optimum result has to be somewhere between 158 (50% +1) & 210 (66% ...some credibility ?); she'd be weakened but staying on to rile the swivel-eyed loon faction.
 
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