West Lancashire by-election

[PR1Berske]

There is to be a by-election in West Lancashire following the resignation of Rosie Cooper to Chair the Merseyside NHS Foundation.

 

[danny la rouge]

There unlikely to be an upset, I take it?

 

[belboid]

Cooper was a right wing turd, no loss at all. Easy Labour hold

 

[platinumsage]

All eyes on the PPC selection then.

 

[PR1Berske]

There unlikely to be an upset, I take it?

It was once marginal. Not so much now, the majority hasn't been tested for years

The seat doesn't have the same boundaries as the council of the same name, what's missing is very healthy Tory countryside. Ormskirk and Skelmersdale would have to have changed a lot to swing Tory this time.

 

[strung out]

I'm sure once the Lib Dems encourage disaffected Tory voters to swing behind them, they'll be nailed on to pick up the seat.

 

[PR1Berske]

Guardian story:

Labour MP Rosie Cooper to stand down and trigger byelection

Member for West Lancashire, a strong Labour seat, is taking new role with NHS

www.theguardian.com

 

[tim]

There unlikely to be an upset, I take it?

I'm sure we'll be told otherwise

 

[moochedit]

I'm sure we'll be told otherwise

View attachment 343718

Maybe with a helpfull bar chart to make it easier for us to understand?

 

[Bingoman]

What made her resign?

 

[killer b]

She's got a job somewhere else

 

[Bingoman]

She's got a job somewhere else

Right ok I've just seen the article on her departure

 

[PR1Berske]

Ashley Dalton has been chosen for Labour.

Linked in https://www.linkedin.com/in/ashley-dalton-95621632?originalSubdomain=uk

Twitter

https://twitter.com/Ashley__Dalton?t=FPRiU1nJBoQUCe85UfXq6Q&s=09

 

[PR1Berske]

Rosie Cooper is yet to resign.

Local voices are now getting a bit annoyed: MP must quit now after missing votes - councillor - BBC News

The Times (behind a paywall) reported that she is holding out for a peerage: Labour MP Rosie Cooper hangs on to seek peerage

 

[kenny g]

The Times (behind a paywall) reported that she is holding out for a peerage: Labour MP Rosie Cooper hangs on to seek peerage

archive.ph should work

 

[PR1Berske]

 

[PR1Berske]

Ballot paper confirmed, polling day is 9 February

Only 6 candidates, one of the shortest ballots I can remember for years. A sign of the times, particularly economic, as it does cost £500 per candidate.

Jo BARTON (Liberal Democrats)
Peter CRANIE (Green Party)
Ashley DALTON (Labour Party)
Howling Laud HOPE (Official Monster Raving Loony Party)
Jonathan KAY (Reform UK)
Mike PRENDERGAST (The Conservative Party Candidate)

 

[The39thStep]

No Rejoin candidate?

 

[ska invita]

Laud Hope is leader no less of the OMRLP

 

[PR1Berske]

Today was the polling day for this by-election, perhaps the most anonymous that I can remember. Results due around 1-2am.

 

[Bingoman]

How bad will the Tories do here I wonder

 

[belboid]

31.36% turnout, 22,639 votes.

Labour want to be about 14k or more to actually match national polls

 

[JimW]

Hold then but not seen final figures ETA Sky says "Ms Dalton secured a majority of 8,321 over Conservative candidate Mike Prendergast." Increase in share apparently

 

[belboid]

210 for the MRLP

 

[Raheem]

210 for the MRLP

So what does that mean? Are Labour taking Henley?

 

[SpookyFrank]

31.36% turnout, 22,639 votes.

Labour want to be about 14k or more to actually match national polls

If I was Kier Starmer I'd be more worried about turnout than votes.

 

[PR1Berske]

To move the share of the vote by a nice round 10% either side is good for Labour. With only the usual parties on the ballot paper it gives us a realistic prediction that the 'floating' voter is ditching the Conservatives. No coincidence that the other parties barely moved, we're into that 1997 territory.

 

[PR1Berske]

 

[marty21]

Reform beat the Lib Dems & the Greens , but can't see them crowing about it , still lost their deposit.

 

[JimW]

It's another vindication for do-nothing rightward creeping Starmerism sadly, isn't it?