US election 2020 thread
- Thread starter petee
- Start date
Far too early
Raheem
Well-Known Member
What page was it when someone said "No no no, you don't understand that betting odds are not the same as real world odds. Hilary will take Wisconsin and we can all go to bed."?
Ted Striker
Foot's on the other hand
I think that has perhaps some merit for UK markets betting on forren stuff (although surely it's international? And you can't bet in the US iirc?), but isn't it a fairly true maxim that betting markets are great at predicting results? The money goes where people have impact and influence (i.e. a vote)? I've bet on Politics twice, and lost both times. That stopped me whacking an emotional hedge on Trump before tonight.
Ted Striker
Foot's on the other hand
They're modelling is much better than the relatively absurdly amateurish TV "current state of play" predictions.
Smokeandsteam
Working Class First
Agreed. The TV coverage seems to be mainly noise and babble from pundits.
Nine Bob Note
Self-Isolating before it was fashionable
OK, I've just realised you quoted me from four years ago and weren't being a snidey cunt (I was thrown by the allcaps as I'm much more polite these days).
Yes, I am the harbinger of doom. Fear me
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
Sorry, it does look a bit confusing and not obviously quoting on a phone
strung out
💩 🤣 🍆 💦 🧐 👻 🐝 🐈⬛
Hover over the date stamp and you can see the time.
Ted Striker
Foot's on the other hand
It's just such niave analysis. Doesn't seem to account for any patterns in the unreported counties, like they're completely unknown 50/50. It's a data analysis (or science) textbook method of prediction, and they just want to show off the (admittedly impressive) fast talking non rapper guy. And his never-failing touchscreen.
I'm not clear on when they were doing mail ballots there but my feeling is it'll be a miss. Always at the outer edge of Dem ambitions tbhOhio drifting in trump's direction.
My issue with CNN is that they've shown a lot of urban/suburban counties with swings to Biden but not enough of others to balance it out. Frustrating
redsquirrel
This Machine Kills Progressives
two sheds
Least noticed poster 2007
and he has to roll back to show the clinton/trump vote but only does one at a time so you can't get an overview there either
Smokeandsteam
Working Class First
Ohio drifting in trump's direction.
Trump is now ahead in Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. The latter 3 are far too early to call tbf. The main point is that this isn’t going to over tonight (our time). I’m off to bed as I’ve got to be up for work in 3 hours...
Nine Bob Note
Self-Isolating before it was fashionable
What the fuck is it with Ohio? The most I know about the state is that famous people from there I know of seem to apologise for the fact? 
Nine Bob Note
Self-Isolating before it was fashionable
Looking at the results so far - what could make things worse?
I'll tell you what makes things worse. Running out of alcohol already. And not even being especially drunk
25% off wine in Asda currently. I bought ten bottles
Older, whiter, lost loads of industry. SE of the state is more akin to Appalachia (ie West Virginia) than anywhere elseWhat the fuck is it with Ohio? The most I know about the state is that famous people from there I know of seem to apologise for the fact?
Raheem
Well-Known Member
Reckon it may just come naturally.
Calamity1971
If Mr Peanut says It's okay, then it is.
Night shedsy. We will all panic on your behalf.
Lord Camomile
Yipchaa!
Part. Timers.
farmerbarleymow
I'm Petee's spirit animal
It'll probably take so long to get the result you've got time to brew some fresh booze.
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