Karl Masks
Birds Angel Delight
What will that crisis be?No
The strategy is 2029 and to reshape the right between now and then. Either Farage and Co have a decisive influence in a populist reconfiguration of the Tories or Reform attempt to displace it as the oppositon to centrism/elite liberal opinion.
No.
Regardless of the result (and I think Reform are going to a) poll extremely well but b) due to first past the post this won't translate into more than 4-6 seats) the conspiracy/hidden hand of the establishment stuff is here to stay. He's learnt from the US that this type of stuff has traction due to popular despair/hatred of the elite/political class. Regardless of the result we can expect his tik tok/social media to pump this stuff out and for it to be shared over and over again.
Farage packed out the NEC in Birmingham at the weekend. The biggest event of the GE by a distance and the sort of numbers that flaccid centrists like Starmer and Sunak can only dream of. In recent memory only Corbyn could connect in a similar way. He will win Clacton and poll millions of votes. On 5th July as the rump of the Tory Party surveys the scale of the defeat - and with a Labour Government probably 6 months away from crisis - don't expect anything but a gloating and empowered Farage to step forward with his 'contract' for 2029.