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The 2019 General Election

Something that really doesn't get talked about a lot - but which the landlord and property-owning/investing sectors I'm sure are very aware of, which basically means pretty much all rich people because they've all invested in property even if they don't manage it - is that any successful* housing policy is going to mean a property price crash. There just isn't any way around it.

* Successful in the sense of "making it possible for people to have secure homes for amounts that they can afford".
Absolutely. We were promised sure fire vote winners though.
 
Property needs to crash - I've been saying this for years, decades in fact. The longer it takes the worse it will be when it does, and if you can guarantee anything it will be that it _will_ crash eventually, so let's get it over with ASAP. Right now it won't be fun because of how much the financial system in this country is tied to property, including pension funds etc, and you can bet they will try to take us down with them (or first). But it will just be worse the bigger the bubble gets.

Brexit could easily cause a property crash. If offshore capital no longer thinks that luxury flats in London or Manchester are a good place to piggybank cash, that could be a lot of money disappearing from the system more or less overnight. This is one of the reasons I'm ambivalent on the whole leave/remain thing.
 
Property needs to crash - I've been saying this for years, decades in fact. The longer it takes the worse it will be when it does, and if you can guarantee anything it will be that it _will_ crash eventually, so let's get it over with ASAP. Right now it won't be fun because of how much the financial system in this country is tied to property, including pension funds etc, and you can bet they will try to take us down with them (or first). But it will just be worse the bigger the bubble gets.
There was a crash in 2007, which many parts of the country haven't recovered from yet.
 
There was a crash in 2007, which many parts of the country haven't recovered from yet.

And property and home debt was protected thoroughly.

Though I feel we have long reached the point where the defict between homes needed and homes actually in existence is such that there is no possible way to reduce housing costs to manageable levels. There just aren't enough empty properties.
 
Brexit could easily cause a property crash. If offshore capital no longer thinks that luxury flats in London or Manchester are a good place to piggybank cash, that could be a lot of money disappearing from the system more or less overnight. This is one of the reasons I'm ambivalent on the whole leave/remain thing.
Property crashes are one potentially good thing about Brexit, though given the Tories, if they were in control I'd assume they'd find some way to keep prices as they are.
 
How do impose low cost rentals on private landlords (e.g rents at break even plus a little extra for improvement repairs)? It can be done but imagine the media outcry you were so concerned with earlier.

I mentioned tax breaks, or 100% forgiven tax on selected building projects, but only with agreement as to maximum sales and rental prices. Add council house building with no possibility of sale, and that's more cheap rents.
These cheap houses would force other rentals down because buy to let landlords would have no choice, and they'd probably go under bit by bit. That means even more downward pressure on house prices as they sold up. The only thing the tories could moan about is estate agents and greedy landlords that made the housing market go mad losing their businesses, and who likes that bunch?
The tories would be arguing for high rent and house prices, so shooting themselves in the foot. They aren't that idiotic as to complain, and involving private builders means they can't moan about projects and public without saying capitalism is bad and .. err, what public spending?
They could moan on about lost tax revenue, but tax that would never have been taken isn't lost.
However, the goal of cheap housing is realised.
 
There are an enormous number of empty properties though. It's the pricing and distribution that is the big issue.

Eg Number of empty homes in England rises to more than 216,000 - ignore the nonsense quotes by the survey starters as they are a construction company :rolleyes:

Which is less than a year's supply.

We are in a 30 year defict of housing, not enough have been built for years and we are fucked.

Not helped by many low value empty homes being where there's no work and to many industries focused in London.
 
You mean like Labour's policy to build loads of new council houses?

A good policy, but private builders under strict pricing rules will mean less public spending and builders will love the massive boost in work, something the tories will have no answer to.
Cheap housing as a popular, vote winning policy, supported by the building industry who stand to gain in big ways, and shitall the tories can say against it.
 
A good policy, but private builders under strict pricing rules will mean less public spending and builders will love the massive boost in work, something the tories will have no answer to.
Cheap housing as a popular, vote winning policy, supported by the building industry who stand to gain in big ways, and shitall the tories can say against it.

Building homes is not a vote winner sadly because while everyone wants more they also don't want them built anywhere near them.

"There's no room"
"Think of the green belt'
"I paid 300k for my house and more houses will lower the selling price"
"There's no services here as it is, we're not made of doctors"
 
Which is less than a year's supply.

It's no supply at all because people can't afford the idiotic prices. The problem, as was said in the post you quoted, is pricing.
The solution to the housing crisis is fucking over estate agents and cheap building and cheap rents by contract does exactly that.
 
Building homes is not a vote winner sadly because while everyone wants more they also don't want them built anywhere near them.

"There's no room"
"Think of the green belt'
"I paid 300k for my house and more houses will lower the selling price"
"There's no services here as it is, we're not made of doctors"

Also the houses built are almost universally bad, and in poorly planned estates.

Saw a new development that's going up near me the other day. It's called Rivendell, because just like the magical Elven city from Lord of the Rings it's nestled between an industrial estate, a sewage works and a dual carriageway. And it's on a flood plain.
 
Building homes is not a vote winner sadly because while everyone wants more they also don't want them built anywhere near them.

True, hence using brownfield sites. Many old business areas still have very good roads, so more costs saved.
 
I mentioned tax breaks, or 100% forgiven tax on selected building projects, but only with agreement as to maximum sales and rental prices. Add council house building with no possibility of sale, and that's more cheap rents.
These cheap houses would force other rentals down because buy to let landlords would have no choice, and they'd probably go under bit by bit. That means even more downward pressure on house prices as they sold up. The only thing the tories could moan about is estate agents and greedy landlords that made the housing market go mad losing their businesses, and who likes that bunch?
The tories would be arguing for high rent and house prices, so shooting themselves in the foot. They aren't that idiotic as to complain, and involving private builders means they can't moan about projects and public without saying capitalism is bad and .. err, what public spending?
They could moan on about lost tax revenue, but tax that would never have been taken isn't lost.
However, the goal of cheap housing is realised.

You still haven't addressed where the money to buy these homes is coming from; remember these are to be homes that those on low incomes (including those on social security?) can afford? Why are you so willing to effectively get the poor (the potential target home owners) to pay the affluent developers (alongside your promised tax breaks) to make homes that local authorities could provide and maintain for less?

You seem to want to appease pro-marketeers regarding the market's fitness to provide housing to everybody; a fitness which has been demonstrably lacking at least since the industrial revolution...it can't do it and it hasn't done it which is why we have had council/social housing and various forms of rent controls. You are putting much too much effort into not upsetting 'the tories' and missing the bigger prize of actually using capital 'sensibly' - i.e. cheaply and accountably - to provide the thing you claim to want; homes that meet people's needs, that they are secure in and that they can afford.

Cheers - Louis MacNeice
 
Also the houses built are almost universally bad, and in poorly planned estates.

Saw a new development that's going up near me the other day. It's called Rivendell, because just like the magical Elven city from Lord of the Rings it's nestled between an industrial estate, a sewage works and a dual carriageway. And it's on a flood plain.
They're all ripoff leasehold deals as well.
 
It's no supply at all because people can't afford the idiotic prices. The problem, as was said in the post you quoted, is pricing.
The solution to the housing crisis is fucking over estate agents and cheap building and cheap rents by contract does exactly that.

Estate agents are not responsible for house prices. Think about what happened to the availability of credit and council housing between 1979 and now? Both of these have had a far greater impact than the desire of estate agents to make a bob or two.

Cheers - Louis MacNeice
 
You still haven't addressed where the money to buy these homes is coming from; remember these are to be homes that those on low incomes (including those on social security?) can afford? Why are you so willing to effectively get the poor (the potential target home owners) to pay the affluent developers (alongside your promised tax breaks) to make homes that local authorities could provide and maintain for less?

Between council house building and contracted low cost private building, there will be lots of homes available for all groups.
The beauty of using developers is zero public spending for those houses, and screwing up any arguments the tories can use against it.

Money for home owners to buy a house comes from the usual places, banks and so on, exactly as it does now, but the houses would be far cheaper and the sales contract would mean the buyer couldn't resell for a quick profit.
 
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