Originally posted by stevendurrant
consumer135 mentions the supreme council for the islamic revolution.
I heard one of their guys on radio 4 this morning.
I cant help thinking they'll want a piece of any post Saddam Iraq pie if they assist in his downfall.
They are backed by Iran, an "axis of evil" country that already has militias moved into northen Iraq.
Are the US really counting on assistance from the kind of person who labels them "the great satan"?
This isnt to mention the complications of the Turks and the Kurds or the distinct possibility of a Shia / Sunni civil war.
What a sorry fucking mess, as predicted by just about everyone with a passing knowledge of the region.
Still, george and tony must know best.
Firstly - the Iranians would be very happy to see the back of Saddam Hussein - the man who said that Persians and Jews were a lower form of life than flies.
Secondly - the Iranian militia activity in Northern Iraq is fairly difficult to confirm. Rumsfeld spent rather a lot of time a couple of weeks ago saying that there were Al-Qaeda cells operating in Northern Iraq, and couldn't make up his mind whether Iran or Iraq should be accused of supporting them.
Thirdly - the couple of missiles that the Yanks have launched into Iranian territory are an obvious shot across Iranian bows, and it is unlikely that the Iranians will insert regular troops into the region.
And finally - the SCIRI is not the biggest Shi'i party in Iraq. The Da'wa party is a lot more substantial, and a lot less wedded to the mujtahids in Iran.