Fuck, I can't keep off this thread. Last post of the year:
Dwyer's problem, ultimately, seems to be the idea of 'blind' evolution. He wants there to be room somewhere for Paley's watchmaker. Perhaps the following outline is one possible way that evolution could have started entirely blind to any goal:
If you set a blob of oil in a maze filled with a solution with a pH gradient towards the exit of the maze, the blob of oil will find its way through the maze as if it had an intention to do so. Google it and you can see details - it's just a humble blob of oil with no intentions at all, but it will make it to the end of the maze.
Now let us suppose that as it makes its way through such a maze, it picks up more oil in some way so that it grows to twice its size, and that upon reaching twice its size, it will become unstable and divide into two. A blob floats around and by chance stumbles upon a suitable maze. It negotiates the maze, grows and divides at the exit. Its two 'offspring' float off, and in turn they encounter new mazes. Not all the mazes are the same, so the blobs will disintegrate in many of them. However, the division of the blob into two doesn't make perfect copies of itself - sometimes they will both be of equal size, sometimes not, and these new offspring may not fit into the same maze as their 'parent', but will fit into other mazes, where they in turn will grow and then divide.
So here we have a process of blob growth and division in the presence of various kinds of mazes whereby, from one original blob of a particular size, lots of different blobs of different sizes and qualities emerge, each capable of passing through different mazes. Feature upon feature can evolve from here, as new methods of finding suitable mazes emerge by chance from the uneven division of blobs, and if you didn't know better, you'd think that all these blobs had growth and division as their goal, because looking back retrospectively, that is what you see. Perhaps some blobs will be 'successful' by merging with others to grow and divide outside any maze. Who knows what apparent reproductive 'strategies' will be stumbled upon.
Add to this picture the building blocks of proteins - amino acids - which are probably found throughout the universe, and exist in comets - and perhaps you have the necessary conditions for the start of life through evolution by natural selection, and from there everything flows...