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Ukraine and the Russian invasion, 2022-25

Do the maths. It’s not a difficult sum. It’s closer to a one to six kill ratio claim.
Worth noting that Russian KIA figures don't generally include PMC troops, and we know that the KIA:WIA ratio is a lot less favourable, there.

There could be a very significant additional number unaccounted for either by exclusion of PMC numbers, or ignoring the profound slant in favour of KIA of those numbers.
 
Why would he stop there?.
For reasons we can't see, Putin is different from every other strongman in history. Not a one of which defeated their neighbours and said "You know what? I'm sated. My lust for power only goes so far and I'd like to take a break."

Of course it's correct that we don't know he's going to keep pushing boundaries. But it would seem pretty foolish, in the face of both recent and distant history, to assume he won't because the first you'll hear about being wrong is Latvians dying in numbers. I do note that Topcat's not saying he won't do this, just that you can't assume he will.
 
Have you read any of the reports from the likes of Bakhmut?


If Ukraine stops fighting what exactly do you expect Putin to do? Shake hands and go home call it over? Or is it more likely the deaths continue and the country is looted to the ground by an avenging army?
im not bothered if they stop fighting or carry on. they are getting beat is all im saying.
 
It’s pretty thin to base the claims you have made on that article which is based on a 17 page leaked document that may or may not be genuine. The article itself uses loads of caveats.
 
So the likes of Finland and Norway are unsuccessful states, to say nothing of the United States and Japan. Not persuaded you've given this matter the consideration it merits
Speaking of Finland i just read this article from a Finnish publication (you will need Google translate or an equivalent). They very much have their own ideas/outlook wrt to Russia and it seems to be pretty much gloves off:

 
Speaking of Finland i just read this article from a Finnish publication (you will need Google translate or an equivalent). They very much have their own ideas/outlook wrt to Russia and it seems to be pretty much gloves off:

Yeh we're speaking of Finland not being a failed state. What's your view on that?
 

Not sure I agree with that much of that article.

The problem is that the situation of Ukraine and Belarus really are, to a much greater extent than the Baltics or Finland, critical national security issues for the Russian state - that is any Russian state, Putin or otherwise. From the border of Belarus to the centre of Moscow is less than 300 miles; it would be hugely destabilizing for those places to be a part of what Russia sees as a hostile alliance. In that context I think the really key thing behind the rise in tensions over the past five years is what almost happened in Belarus; he (Putin) probably realised that the old system of having mates in those places had reached its end.

Of course, a lot of the reasons why the nationalist movements in Belarus and Ukraine gained such strength over the past twenty years is precisely because of the actions of the people that Putin was relying on to keep those two countries friendly, and the actions taken by Putin to coerce them into remaining friendly. Like so many leaders from "great" countries he has apparently failed to recognise that it is the oppression and coercion that creates and sustains a national identity.

In that sense I am not sure this is a case of empire building, so much as it is an attempt by someone who largely created a mess to escape the consequences of that mess by similar methods to those that created the mess.
 
The overall narrative in that piece is pretty fair I think, other than it paints the west as an inactive party merely standing back and observing, but crucially the piece only mentioned Belarus ( already aligned with Russia) and Ukraine.... Doesn't actually mention any other countries, or did I miss something ( quite possible I did tbh, my eyes are blurry)
 
Speaking of Finland i just read this article from a Finnish publication (you will need Google translate or an equivalent). They very much have their own ideas/outlook wrt to Russia and it seems to be pretty much gloves off:

What do you expect given their Nazi alliances and attitudes?
 
In that sense I am not sure this is a case of empire building, so much as it is an attempt by someone who largely created a mess to escape the consequences of that mess by similar methods to those that created the mess.
I know what you mean but it's still imperialist action in my book ...
 
You could try ex PM Medvedev, the Baltics belong to Russia.

I don't think I'd trust any article about him which didn't mention Medvedev's stint as Russian president. Or that he'd been russia pm from 2012-20. Oh, and counter to your article's claim Medvedev wasn't Russian pm 2000-2004, it was mikhail khasyanov. Why do you think it's a reliable piece?
 
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