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Ukip - why are they gaining support?

New TNS-BMRN Euro elections poll:

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Here's hoping the LDs don't manage to make double figures.
 
They were out campaigning on my local high street today, not for the first time.

Only party I've seen doing it recently.

Putting in the leg work round here at least.
 
did you catch Farange on HIGNFY last night? Laughed off/joined in the mockery in a self deprecatin way.

Hislop got his digs in. I've seen people take a worse beasting on that prog.
 
did you catch Farange on HIGNFY last night? Laughed off/joined in the mockery in a self deprecatin way.

Hislop got his digs in. I've seen people take a worse beasting on that prog.
I can't see two rather pompous private schoolboys and oxbridge media luvvies failing to land a blow on him would do him much harm with the part of the electorate he's appealing to.
 
I can't see two rather pompous private schoolboys and oxbridge media luvvies failing to land a blow on him would do him much harm with the part of the electorate he's appealing to.

Presumably he knows it all too well otherwise he wouldn't have agreed to go on there.
 
What are UKIP benefiting from in current polling -- all-round 'None of the above'-ism generally I suppose. If they're in any way profiting from the Maria Miller story just now, that's pretty ironic given how their MEPs have their snouts really deep in the Brussels trough themselves.
 
I wonder if there's something else: Farage is a leader; Cameron, Clegg, and Miliband are not.
Farage has consistently returned even lower ratings than Clegg when polls ask about him as national leadership material - apart from this single comres poll (which still finds 2/3 of those polled do not look on him at all favourably). And he polls worse then his party - if your scenario were accurate we would expect the opposite.
 
As far as I can tell, UKIP's main appeal to our local elderly is the promise to reintroduce smoking in pubs.

And if they get a couple of extra MEPs they'll be ideally placed to deliever on that promise.

Either that or they'll just cozy up to a few more of Europe's racist fringe parties and mouth off about women, gays, immigrants, gay immigrants and other simillarly vital issues.
 
I wonder how the tories are going to deal with Farage? Smeer campaign? Try to steal their clothes (Back) whilst reminding everyone that UKIP want win?
The poisiton of the right wing media is intersting as well - the tory papers seem to be trying to use UKIP to force the tories rightwards on immigration and europe - but by bigging up UKIP they are helping labour. Are they going to turn on Farage come spring 2015?
 
Are they going to turn on Farage come spring 2015?

I think it will depend upon how well UKIP do in the Euro elections and the response of the Tories. If UKIP do extremely well at the expense of the Tories, then Cameron might be forced out, and then it's anyone's guess. If they merely do well, then it will be a case of 'Rally round so as to not let Labour win and jeopardise the recovery.'
 
Where do you come up with your utter misreadings of basic politics from? Cameron is not going to be forced out no matter how well UKIP do or how badly the tories do. They didn't become the most electorally successful party in history by making such basic mistakes when in power.
 
Where do you come up with your utter misreadings of basic politics from? Cameron is not going to be forced out no matter how well UKIP do or how badly the tories do. They didn't become the most electorally successful party in history by making such basic mistakes when in power.

Tbf they made some pretty basic mistakes in power under Major's leadership. Put up or shut up, and all that. But you're right IMO: they're not going to go unseating Cameron now. Even some of the backbench malcontents are falling into line, partly because they've too much to lose and nothing to gain from a bout of bloodletting before next year.
 
I wonder how the tories are going to deal with Farage? Smeer campaign? Try to steal their clothes (Back) whilst reminding everyone that UKIP want win?

Smears would be easiest, but also have the most chance of blowing up in the Tories' faces.
The poisiton of the right wing media is intersting as well - the tory papers seem to be trying to use UKIP to force the tories rightwards on immigration and europe - but by bigging up UKIP they are helping labour. Are they going to turn on Farage come spring 2015?

35 years ago, that's pretty much the pattern the media followed with regard to the NF and the Tories, and then in '83 Thatcher pretty much stole the NF's clothes policy-wise.
 
What are your criticisms of the piece?

Also, how unusual for you moan about media covering UKIP.

Just saw that it's Goodwin. I'll make an exception for that.

Eta: It honestly didn't tell me anything I didn't know though. I'd be surprised if you or many here are different.
 
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